Why this broker thinks the Westpac (ASX:WBC) share price is great value

The Westpac Banking Corp (ASX:WBC) share price has been on fire in 2021 but could continue its ascent according to one leading broker…

| More on:

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

The Westpac Banking Corp (ASX: WBC) share price was on form on Friday.

The banking giant's shares ended the week with a 1% gain to $25.41.

This means the Westpac share price is now up 30% since the start of the year.

Three different hands against a blue backdrop signal thumbs up, indicating share price rise on the ASX market

Image source: Getty Images

Why is the Westpac share price on fire in 2021?

Investors have been buying Westpac and other banks this year due to the improving outlook for the sector.

This is thanks to the strong economic recovery from the pandemic, the easing of responsible lending rules, and the booming housing market.

These improvements have been on show for all to see this month with the release of half year and quarterly results.

In respect to Westpac, at the start of the month, the bank released its half year results and reported a statutory net profit after tax of $3,443 million. This was an increase of 189% over the prior corresponding period and 213% over the second half of FY 2020.

Its cash earnings were also strong. They came in at $3,537 million for the half, which was a 256% increase over the prior corresponding period and a 119% lift over the second half of FY 2020.

And even if you adjust for notable items from all periods, Westpac's earnings were strong. Excluding notable items, Westpac reported cash earnings of $3,819 million, up 60% year on year and 35% on the second half of FY 2020. This ultimately allowed the Westpac board to declare a fully franked interim dividend of 58 cents per share.

Also giving the Westpac share price a lift was news that it is planning to cut costs materially.

Westpac is targeting an $8 billion cost base by financial year 2024 to materially improve its efficiency. This compares to a ~$10.2 billion cost base in FY 2020.

Where next?

One leading broker that still sees a lot of value in the Westpac share price is Citi.

According to a recent note out of Citi, its analysts have a buy rating and $29.50 price target on its shares.

Based on the latest Westpac share price, this represents potential upside of 16% over the next 12 months. And if you include the dividend yield of 4.5% that it is forecasting, this potential return stretches beyond 20%.

Citi commented: "The market received WBC's 1H21 result positively, with core earnings upgrades near-term from a better than expected NIM; and over the medium term, from lower costs. WBC's target for FY24 costs of $8bn was lower than we anticipated, and management are confident and ambitious. We see many of the building blocks in place for the strategy, even if obvious sensitivities prevent their more fulsome disclosure. The premise of multi-year core earnings upgrades, layered on sector-wide asset quality improvements, leave WBC with a differentiated investment thesis. It remains our sole Buy in a sector that has rallied strongly in the COVID recovery."

Motley Fool contributor James Mickleboro owns shares of Westpac Banking. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Bruce Jackson.

More on Bank Shares

Man with a hand on his head looks at a red stock market chart showing a falling share price.
Bank Shares

Buying ASX 200 bank stocks like Westpac and CBA shares? Here's why these funds are betting against you

Leading fundies are lining up to short ANZ, Westpac, NAB and CBA shares. But why?

Read more »

Australian dollar notes and coins in a till.
Bank Shares

How many NAB shares do I need to buy for $10,000 of passive income?

NAB is projected to deliver investors pleasing dividend income…

Read more »

A young man wearing a bright yellow jumper and glasses purses his lips together and moves them to the side of his face as he wonders about something.
Bank Shares

NAB and ANZ shares: One I'd hold and one I'd sell

ASX banking giants' shares have been under huge pressure this year.

Read more »

Time to sell written on a clock.
Broker Notes

Sell alert! Why this expert is calling time on NAB and Westpac shares

A leading analyst foresees looming storm clouds over NAB and Westpac shares.

Read more »

Young woman thinking with laptop open.
Bank Shares

Hedge funds are shorting the big four bank shares. Should investors be worried?

Hedge funds have amassed a record $11 billion short position against Australia's big four bank shares. Here's whether investors should…

Read more »

A toy house sits on a pile of Australian $100 notes.
Bank Shares

What are the big 4 banks worth as the housing market falters?

Not all of the banks are ranked equally.

Read more »

Buy and sell on yellow paper with pins on them and several share price lines.
Broker Notes

Sell alert! Why this expert is calling time on Westpac and CBA shares

A leading analyst forecasts growing headwinds for Westpac and CBA shares.

Read more »

A young man clasps his hand to his head with a pained expression on his face and a laptop in front of him.
Bank Shares

Why Morgan Stanley expects CBA shares to plunge another 22%

Morgan Stanley expects CBA shares have a lot further to fall. But why?

Read more »