Up 5%, Treasury Wine (ASX:TWE) share price continues its climb

The Treasury Wine Estates Ltd (ASX: TWE) share price continues to push higher after yesterday's investor presentation. Let's take a look.

| More on:

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

Treasury Wine Estates Ltd (ASX: TWE) shares are continuing to climb today following the company's investor day presentation on Thursday. At the time of writing, the Treasury Wine share price is trading 5.09% higher at $10.74. This comes after the wine giant added almost 3% to its value during yesterday's session.

Cork popping out of wine bottle.

Image source: Getty Images

Why the Treasury Wine share price is pushing higher 

The Treasury Wine share price is now up almost 8% since Wednesday's close after the company's investor day presentation highlighted key earnings and operational updates. 

Treasury Wine appears to be paving a new growth story beyond its historical dependency on the Chinese market. The investor day presentation noted the "effective closure of [the] Chinese market to Australian COO [country of origin] wine" with a renewed focus for its premium portfolio in core geographies including North America, Europe and Asia (ex-China).  

The presentation forecasts FY21 earnings before interest, tax and SGARA  (the difference between the fair value of harvested grapes and the cost of harvested grapes) to be in the range of $495 million to $515 million. This represents growth of around 33% compared to a year ago. 

What brokers are thinking 

After reviewing the company's strategy and earnings update, Macquarie retained a neutral rating with a $10.50 target price. Despite the Treasury Wine share price currently trading above this, the broker's commentary was largely positive. 

Macquarie noted that Treasury Wine's EBIT guidance of $495 million to $515 million was 8% ahead of the broker's forecast. Macquarie also highlighted the company's global supply chain optimisation program, which is expected to deliver annualised benefits of more than $75 million, an increase from the prior guidance of $50 million. 

Macquarie highlighted Treasury's 2025 strategy, "focused on growth brands and distribution in priority markets to drive premium wine consumption and offset the impact of China". 

Foolish takeaway 

Today's gains will come as welcome news for shareholders after the Treasury Wine share price faced multiple sharp selloffs due to the imposition of Chinese tariffs. Judging by the upswing in the company's shares late this week, investors appear buoyed by Treasury's new growth story.

Motley Fool contributor Kerry Sun has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia owns shares of and has recommended Macquarie Group Limited and Treasury Wine Estates Limited. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Bruce Jackson.

More on Broker Notes

A financial expert or broker looks worried as he checks out a graph showing market volatility.
Broker Notes

Morgans names 2 ASX shares to buy and 1 to accumulate

What is the broker recommending investors do with these shares?

Read more »

A man in a business suit rides a graphic image of an arrow that is rebounding on a graph.
Broker Notes

2 ASX 200 shares to buy ahead of anticipated rally: expert

After a 9.1% drop between 27 February and 23 March, the ASX 200 reversed course last Tuesday.

Read more »

A group of people in a corporate setting do a collective high five.
Broker Notes

3 reasons to buy Ramsay Health Care shares today

A leading analyst expects Ramsay Health Care shares to keep outperforming in the months ahead.

Read more »

A woman presenting company news to investors looks back at the camera and smiles.
Broker Notes

Bell Potter says this ASX 200 stock can rise 38% and pay a 6% dividend yield

Major upside and a generous dividend yield could be on offer with this name.

Read more »

Middle age caucasian man smiling confident drinking coffee at home.
Broker Notes

Is this ASX defence stock the next DroneShield?

Bell Potter thinks this stock could be the next to rocket. Let's find out why.

Read more »

Happy, tablet or doctor in a laboratory with research results or positive feedback after medical data analysis. Smile, vaccine or healthcare worker reading or working on futuristic science innovation.
Broker Notes

This ASX healthcare stock could almost double in value according to Bell Potter

The broker believes this stock is making major breakthroughs.

Read more »

Smiling man sits in front of a graph on computer while using his mobile phone.
Broker Notes

Top brokers name 3 ASX shares to buy today

Here's what brokers are recommending as buys this week.

Read more »

a miner holds his thumb up as he holds a device in his other hand.
Resources Shares

Experts name 3 ASX mining shares to buy after March sell-off

Investors took profits amid fears the fuel crisis could impact miners' production and earnings.

Read more »