Up 5%, Treasury Wine (ASX:TWE) share price continues its climb

The Treasury Wine Estates Ltd (ASX: TWE) share price continues to push higher after yesterday's investor presentation. Let's take a look.

| More on:

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

Treasury Wine Estates Ltd (ASX: TWE) shares are continuing to climb today following the company's investor day presentation on Thursday. At the time of writing, the Treasury Wine share price is trading 5.09% higher at $10.74. This comes after the wine giant added almost 3% to its value during yesterday's session.

Cork popping out of wine bottle.

Image source: Getty Images

Why the Treasury Wine share price is pushing higher 

The Treasury Wine share price is now up almost 8% since Wednesday's close after the company's investor day presentation highlighted key earnings and operational updates. 

Treasury Wine appears to be paving a new growth story beyond its historical dependency on the Chinese market. The investor day presentation noted the "effective closure of [the] Chinese market to Australian COO [country of origin] wine" with a renewed focus for its premium portfolio in core geographies including North America, Europe and Asia (ex-China).  

The presentation forecasts FY21 earnings before interest, tax and SGARA  (the difference between the fair value of harvested grapes and the cost of harvested grapes) to be in the range of $495 million to $515 million. This represents growth of around 33% compared to a year ago. 

What brokers are thinking 

After reviewing the company's strategy and earnings update, Macquarie retained a neutral rating with a $10.50 target price. Despite the Treasury Wine share price currently trading above this, the broker's commentary was largely positive. 

Macquarie noted that Treasury Wine's EBIT guidance of $495 million to $515 million was 8% ahead of the broker's forecast. Macquarie also highlighted the company's global supply chain optimisation program, which is expected to deliver annualised benefits of more than $75 million, an increase from the prior guidance of $50 million. 

Macquarie highlighted Treasury's 2025 strategy, "focused on growth brands and distribution in priority markets to drive premium wine consumption and offset the impact of China". 

Foolish takeaway 

Today's gains will come as welcome news for shareholders after the Treasury Wine share price faced multiple sharp selloffs due to the imposition of Chinese tariffs. Judging by the upswing in the company's shares late this week, investors appear buoyed by Treasury's new growth story.

Motley Fool contributor Kerry Sun has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia owns shares of and has recommended Macquarie Group Limited and Treasury Wine Estates Limited. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Bruce Jackson.

More on Broker Notes

A woman leans forward with her hand behind her ear, as if trying to hear information.
Broker Notes

Buy, hold, sell: Goodman Group, Endeavour, Resmed shares

We review three fresh buy, hold, and sell calls from expert market analysts. 

Read more »

a man in a business suite throws his arms open wide above his head and raises his face with his mouth open in celebration in front of a background of an illuminated board tracking stock market movements.
Broker Notes

Why these ASX shares could rise 20% to 30%

Analysts have good things to say about these shares. Let's find out why.

Read more »

Man sits smiling at a computer showing graphs.
Broker Notes

Broker tips 20% and 23% upside for these 2 ASX stocks

These two stocks are set to rise according to Bell Potter.

Read more »

Happy diverse colleagues or team of people give high five together to celebrate great teamwork and results.
Broker Notes

7 ASX 200 shares given buy ratings this week

Brokers are recommending these shares to clients.

Read more »

Business people discussing project on digital tablet.
Broker Notes

Buy, hold, sell: CAR Group, Judo Capital, and Worley shares

Ord Minnett has given its verdict on these shares. Is it bullish or bearish? Let's find out.

Read more »

Broker looking at the share price on her laptop with green and red points in the background.
Broker Notes

Why I want to own these ASX shares brokers rate as buys

Short-term concerns have weighed on these businesses, but brokers see reasons for investors to remain optimistic.

Read more »

Happy female farmer holding fresh produce.
Broker Notes

Is this ASX 300 stock a buy-low candidate after crashing 20% this year?

This consumer staples stock could be a buy-low candidate.

Read more »

A man and a woman sit in front of a laptop looking fascinated and captivated.
Broker Notes

Buy, hold or sell, PEXA, ASX and Qantas shares

Which stock is Morgans most optimistic on?

Read more »