Is the ANZ (ASX:ANZ) share price a buy following its half year results?

Is the Australia and New Zealand Banking GrpLtd (ASX:ANZ) share price in the buy zone after its half year results? Here's what this broker thinks…

| More on:

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

On Thursday morning, the Australia and New Zealand Banking GrpLtd (ASX: ANZ) share price is edging lower.

At the time of writing, the banking giant's shares are down 0.5% to $27.77.

This means the ANZ share price is now down 3.5% since the release of its half year results.

A teacher in front of a classroom chalkboard filled with questionmarks, indicating share market uncertainty

Image source: Getty Images

Is the weakness in the ANZ share price a buying opportunity for investors?

According to a note out of Goldman Sachs, its analysts believe the ANZ share price is in the buy zone.

In response to its half year results, the broker has retained its buy rating and increased its price target to $30.20.

This price target implies potential upside of approximately 9% over the next 12 months excluding dividends.

And if you include the 5% fully franked dividend yield that Goldman Sachs is forecasting, this potential return stretches to 14%.

What did the broker say?

Goldman gave its verdict on ANZ's half year result.

It stated: "ANZ's 1H21 cash earnings grew 112% on pcp to A$2,990 mn, with the beat largely driven by a lower than expected BDD charge. 1H21 PPOP came in 3% lower than GSe, driven by trading and fee income, partially offset by better NIMs and expenses. The proposed interim DPS of A70¢ implies a payout ratio of 67% (DRP to be neutralised) and 1H21 CET1 ratio of 12.4% (18.1% globally-harmonised), 44 bp stronger than GSe."

Why is Goldman Sachs bullish?

Goldman Sachs is positive on the ANZ share price due to its valuation and cost reduction plans. It expects the latter to offset income pressures.

The broker said: "We maintain our Buy rating on ANZ given our expectation that cost reductions, if achieved, will more than offset income pressures, while valuations remain supportive."

"To this end, we note that i) ANZ's NIM is being very effectively managed in the face of weaker volumes; a trend we expect to continue through FY21E, ii) the resulting revenue pressures, which are also being adversely impacted by fees (and Markets in 1H21), should be offset by productivity benefits in outer years, iii) the stock is trading more than one standard deviation cheap versus the sector on PPOP multiples (24% discount vs. 11% long-run average discount), despite our expectations that it will deliver 5% PPOP/share CAGR in the two years to FY23E (with upside from capital management), with a c. 5% dividend yield; and iv) our TP offers c. 13% TSR [now ~14%]," it concluded.

Despite this recent weakness, the ANZ share price is up 20% year to date.

Motley Fool contributor James Mickleboro has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Bruce Jackson.

More on Bank Shares

Woman looking at her computer and pondering something.
Bank Shares

Is NAB a good passive income stock?

I like the combination of income and earnings growth here.

Read more »

Bank building with the word bank on it.
Bank Shares

How much must I invest in ANZ shares to earn $1,000 in passive income in 2027?

What would it take to unlock $1,000 in dividends from ANZ?

Read more »

Numerous Australian dollar notes laid out.
Dividend Investing

The 2 top yielding ASX 200 bank stocks revealed (Hint: Not CBA shares)

CBA is the biggest ASX bank stock, but it doesn't offer the highest dividend yield.

Read more »

A woman with her hands over her face splits her fingers over one eye so she can peep through it.
Bank Shares

Are ASX bank shares a buy in September?

The experts now have a sell rating on three ASX shares.

Read more »

Time to sell written on a clock.
Broker Notes

Sell alert! Why this expert is calling time on Westpac and CBA shares

A leading expert forecasts growing headwinds for Westpac and CBA shares.

Read more »

Corporate businesspeople group discussing strategies in professional indoors setting.
Bank Shares

CBA vs Westpac shares: Which is the best buy?

One is cheaper. The other has the stronger franchise in my view.

Read more »

View from below of a banker jumping for joy in the CBD surrounded by high-rise office buildings.
Bank Shares

CBA shares bounce after settling long-running class action

The bank is back in the green after a difficult month.

Read more »

A little girl wearing a gold crown sulks and pokes her tongue out.
Bank Shares

Will CBA shares ever get back to the top of the ASX 200?

Can CBA take back what it lost?

Read more »