IDP Education (ASX:IEL) share price sinks 5%: Time to buy?

The IDP Education Ltd (ASX:IEL) share price is down 5% on Monday. Is this a buying opportunity for investors? This broker thinks it is…

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

The IDP Education Ltd (ASX: IEL) share price has started the week deep in the red.

In afternoon trade, the student placement and language testing company's shares are down 5% to $21.58.

a woman holds her hand to her chin and looks skywards while she is thinking against a backdrop of graphic question marks

Image source: Getty Images

Why is the IDP Education share price sinking today?

Investors appear to have been selling IDP Education's shares due to concerns over the impact the COVID-19 crisis in India could have on its performance.

The Indian market is the biggest contributor to the company's earnings. So with COVID-19 numbers sadly rising rapidly in the country, there is significant downside risk to earnings estimates.

Is this a buying opportunity?

One leading broker that believes the weakness in the IDP Education share price is a buying opportunity is Goldman Sachs.

This morning the broker reaffirmed its buy rating and $29.90 price target on the company's shares.

Based on the current IDP Education share price, this implies potential upside of almost 39% over the next 12 months.

What did Goldman say?

Goldman Sachs believes IDP Education is well-placed for growth over the long term.

And while it acknowledges that the COVID-19 outbreak in India will disrupt its recovery, it feels investors should look beyond this.

It said: "We believe there is an attractive long-term opportunity for IEL and the business is well positioned for the re-opening of international students markets. IELTS volumes have rebounded to pre-COVID levels, and the key to the recovery is a bounce-back in student placement volumes."

"Although this remains disrupted in the near term, particularly with the current COVID outbreak in India, the fundamentals of the business look very strong. We think the key growth driver from here will be increasing student placement volumes into multi-destination, where we see a long runway for growth as IEL gains share in the highly fragmented market for student placement. On our estimates, IEL currently has <5% market share in its two key multi-destination markets, the UK and Canada. We see long term share being materially higher than current levels," it added.

Goldman concluded: "COVID is disrupting the recovery in Student Placement Volumes, particularly the ongoing outbreak in India; for context, Indian students represent 43% of IEL's volumes (as of FY20). IEL's key markets (Australia, UK, Canada) have all closed borders to non-citizens traveling from India, which presents a risk in the near term to Indian student placement volumes. We cut our FY21 student placement volumes to reflect the near term disruption. Our 12m TP is unchanged at A$29.90 and we remain Buy rated."

James Mickleboro has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. owns shares of Idp Education Pty Ltd. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Bruce Jackson.

More on Share Fallers

Frustrated and shocked businesswoman reading bad news online from phone.
Share Fallers

Why Air New Zealand, Emeco, ResMed, and Westgold shares are tumbling today

These shares are having a poor session on Thursday. But why?

Read more »

Man with a hand on his head looks at a red stock market chart showing a falling share price.
Share Fallers

Why Karoon Energy, Novonix, Transurban, and Woodside shares are sinking today

These shares are having a tough time on hump day. What's going on?

Read more »

A young woman holds an open book over her head with a round mouthed expression as if to say oops as she looks at her computer screen in a home office setting with a plant on the desk and shelves of books in the background.
Share Fallers

Why Karoon Energy, PLS, South32, and Transurban shares are falling today

These shares are having a poor session on Tuesday. What's going on?

Read more »

Lines of codes and graphs in the background with woman looking at laptop trying to understand the data.
Share Fallers

Why Aussie Broadband, Coles, EOS, and Santos shares are falling on Monday

These shares are missing out on the good times today.

Read more »

A man with his back to the camera holds his hands to his head as he looks to a jagged red line trending sharply downward.
Share Fallers

Why Larvotto, Newmont, Qantas, and Steadfast shares are dropping today

These shares are under pressure on Thursday. What's going on?

Read more »

A woman in high visibility clothing and a hard hat stands in front of an aluminium smelter.
Share Fallers

Why this ASX 200 stock is crashing after doubling in a year

Alcoa shares are down 20% in a week. What's changed?

Read more »

a man weraing a suit sits nervously at his laptop computer biting into his clenched hand with nerves, and perhaps fear.
Share Fallers

Why Evolution Mining, REA Group, Sigma Healthcare, and TechnologyOne shares are tumbling today

These shares are having a tough time on hump day. What's going on?

Read more »

Frustrated stock trader screaming while looking at mobile phone, symbolising a falling share price.
Share Fallers

Why Aeris Resources, Northern Star, REA Group, and Weebit Nano shares are falling today

These shares are starting the week in the red. What's happening?

Read more »