Housing prices outpace the Commonwealth Bank (ASX:CBA) share price

The Commonwealth Bank share price is up 5% this year, less than the increased cost of the average Aussie home. Should we be concerned?

| More on:

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

The Commonwealth Bank of Australia (ASX: CBA) share price closed at $87.80 today, down 0.13%.

The S&P/ASX 200 Index (ASX: XJO), meanwhile, closed 0.07% higher as the index managed to maintain its afternoon rally.

growth in housing asx shares represented by little wooden houses next to rising red arrow

Image source: Getty Images

Why CBA isn't concerned about rising house prices

The Commonwealth Bank share price is up 5% so far this year. While that's a solid result for the big four bank, a company with a market cap of $156 billion, Aussie home prices have risen even faster, up 6.2%.

Should we be concerned?

Not according to Commonwealth Bank CEO Matt Comyn.

Addressing the House of Representative economics committee in Canberra yesterday on the rapid increase in Australia's home prices, Comyn said (quoted by the Australian Financial Review), "We are not overly concerned with what we are seeing at the moment in the context of broader financial stability."

Comyn said rising home prices tie into the strength of Australia's economic rebound, with the unemployment rate ticking down another 0.2% in March and GDP forecasts improving. He called the recovery in Australia's labour market "miraculous".

As the AFR reported:

CBA expected unemployment for the March quarter to come in at 5.7 per cent, just missing the actual result of 5.6 per cent. The bank expects unemployment to fall to 5 per cent by December 31, and to further decline to 4.7 per cent by the end of 2022.

As for dwelling prices, CBA has upped its forecast for 2021 from 8% growth to 10% for the full calendar year. "We expect house prices to continue to grow through this year and next, but not at the rapid levels we have seen in the first two months of the year."

Comyn also highlighted the falling number of deferred loans on the bank's books since the onset of the pandemic. He said that the 158,000 home loans CBA had deferred at the height of the crisis had now fallen to 3,000–4,000 deferred loans.

Commonwealth Bank share price snapshot

Though the average Australian house price may have outpaced the Commonwealth Bank share price so far in 2021, over the past 12 months that's certainly not true.

CBA shares have lifted 43% over the past full year, compared to a gain of 29% on the ASX 200.

Motley Fool contributor Bernd Struben has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Bruce Jackson.

More on Bank Shares

Woman in business suit holds both hands out with a question mark above each hand.
Bank Shares

What's going on with the ANZ share price?

ANZ shares have gone on a rollercoaster ride this year.

Read more »

Worried woman calculating domestic bills.
Bank Shares

Are Westpac and Bank of Queensland shares a buy, hold or sell?

Which does the broker prefer?

Read more »

A woman in her late 30s holds her hands out either side with the palms up as if indicating she doesn't know the answer to a question. She has a quizzical look on her face.
Bank Shares

CBA shares jump another 9.5% in April: Buy, sell or hold?

CBA shares closed in the green again on Tuesday afternoon.

Read more »

A man thinks very carefully about his money and investments.
Bank Shares

Why Westpac shares are holding near record highs after a $75 million hit

Westpac shares rise despite a $75 million half-year profit hit.

Read more »

An excited male investor looks at some Australian bank notes held in his hand with an astounded look on his face
Bank Shares

Here's the dividend forecast out to 2028 for Westpac shares

How much dividend income could Westpac pay in the coming years?

Read more »

A man in a suit smiles at the yellow piggy bank he holds in his hand.
Bank Shares

If I invest $8,000 in CBA shares, how much passive income will I receive in 2027?

How much dividend cash can investors bank on next year?

Read more »

A woman in a bright yellow jumper looks happily at her yellow piggy bank.
Bank Shares

Why I think CBA shares are a top buy with $5,000

When I think about reliability on the ASX, Commonwealth Bank is one name that stands out.

Read more »

Two people jump and high five above a city skyline.
Bank Shares

Are Bendigo Bank shares a buy after jumping 13% this week?

Here's what analysts expect out of the ASX bank's shares over the next 12 months.

Read more »