Did the Bitcoin (CRYPTO:BTC) price fly too high too fast?

The Bitcoin price has slipped again over the past 24 hours, down 1.2%. We take a look at what the Bitcoin downtrend could mean.

| More on:

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

The Bitcoin (CRYPTO: BTC) price has slipped again over the past 24 hours, down 1.2%. Bitcoin is currently trading for US$51,826 (AU$68,192) having dropped as low as US$50,662 earlier in the day (or night, depending on time zones).

There's been plenty of trading going on, with data from CoinDesk showing US$63.86 billion worth of Bitcoin has changed virtual hands in the past 24 hours.

But with the Bitcoin price now down 16% from its 14 March record high of US$61,557, crypto investors are asking themselves whether the digital token flew too high too fast.

Slumping asx share price represented by half deflated balloon

Image source: Getty Images

Did the Bitcoin price fly too close to the sun?

You may recall the ancient Greek story of the inventor Daedalus. He's the one who constructed wings from feathers and wax so he and his son Icarus could flee the island of Crete. The problem with wax, of course, is that it's prone to melting. Hence Daedalus' painstaking instructions to his son not to fly too close to the sun.

Well, like any good teenager, Icarus ignored his dad's advice. Thrilling in soaring ever higher, the sun's heat eventually melted the wax holding the feathers to his wings. And Icarus plunged ever lower before drowning in the sea.

Yes, the ancient Greeks were full of uplifting stories.

But if you'll forgive the stretched analogy, more analysts are saying they're concerned that the meteoric rise in the Bitcoin price could lead to a meltdown of its own. Even with the 16% retracement from its record high, the Bitcoin price is still up 675% in the past 12 months.

Indeed, despite Elon Musk announcing Tesla Inc (NASDAQ: TSLA) will accept Bitcoin – and hold onto it – for its electric vehicles this week, Bitcoin's price continues to slide.

Bitcoin in a downtrend

Yesterday the Bitcoin price temporarily dropped below its 50-day moving average. Which could be a portent of more falls to come.

As Bloomberg reports, Miller Tabak + Co. chief market strategist Matt Maley says Bitcoin's 50-day average price has "been a key support level so far this year… [A] lower-low below that level would scare a lot of momentum players."

Julius de Kempenaer, senior analyst at StockCharts.com, adds:

Shorter-term, what happened yesterday, and following through today, means the start of a new series of lower highs and lower lows, and that's categorized as a downtrend. It means that we are now in a downtrend on the daily chart and it also means that the upside is now limited.

Bernd Struben has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. owns shares of and recommends Bitcoin and Tesla. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Bruce Jackson.

More on Share Market News

Ten happy friends leaping in the air outdoors.
Share Gainers

Here are the top 10 ASX 200 shares today

The markets bounced back with vigour this Tuesday.

Read more »

Business people discussing project on digital tablet.
Broker Notes

Expert gives its verdict on 3 popular ASX 200 shares

Are they buys, holds, or sells?

Read more »

Warren Buffett
Opinions

I'm following Warren Buffett's advice and buying ASX shares

The Omaha Oracle has wise advice for times like this.

Read more »

Excited couple celebrating success while looking at smartphone.
Share Gainers

Why Life360, St George Mining, Telix, and Westgold shares are charging higher today

These shares are having a strong session on Tuesday. Let's find out why.

Read more »

A young woman holds an open book over her head with a round mouthed expression as if to say oops as she looks at her computer screen in a home office setting with a plant on the desk and shelves of books in the background.
Share Fallers

Why Coles, Pantoro Gold, Seek, and Woodside shares are falling today

These shares are under pressure on Tuesday. But why?

Read more »

Target circle going down on a rollercoaster, symbolising volatility.
Share Market News

Why is the ASX 200 on a rollercoaster this week?

The ASX 200 is seeing some wild price swings this week. Let’s see why.

Read more »

A man looking at his laptop and thinking.
Broker Notes

Buy, hold, sell: Guzman Y Gomez, Worley, and Suncorp shares

Let's see if analysts are bullish or bearish on these names.

Read more »

A young woman with long brown hair opens her green eyes and mouth widely, expressing surprise.
Financial Shares

Why did the Helia share price just crash 19%?

The ASX 200 is in recovery mode today, so why are Helia shares tanking?

Read more »