The NextDC (ASX:NXT) share price just hit a 9-month low despite broker upgrades

The NextDC Ltd (ASX: NXT) share price has taken a beating this week but brokers think there's light at the end of the tunnel

NextDC Ltd (ASX: NXT) shares slipped to a 9-month low this week despite an upbeat half-year result which included an upgrade to its FY21 guidance. While the NextDC share price has gone south, some big brokers were impressed with the results and have maintained a bullish stance. 

asx share price falling lower represented by investor wearing paper bag on head with sad face

Image source: Getty Images

Broker ratings for the NextDC share price 

On 2 March, Morgan Stanley retained an overweight rating for the NextDC share price with a $14.60 price target. The broker noted that the company's first-half revenues and operating income were ahead of estimates with a strong pick up in business activity in the new year. 

Citi is also bullish on the NextDC share price but made a slight price target adjustment from $14.80 to $14.45 with a buy rating on 4 March. The broker described the company's results as solid, with revenue and operating income margins ahead of forecasts. Themes such as accelerated cloud adoption and digitisation were factors behind the broker's positive view. 

1H21 highlights 

NextDC's half-year results were solid across all reporting metrics. The company delivered a 27% increase in revenue to $121.6 million and a 29% improvement in earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortisation (EBITDA) to $65.7 million.

The company is still on its journey to profitability, reporting a loss after tax of $17.5 million. NextDC is well capitalised for growth with $716 million in cash and cash equivalents as of 31 December 2020. It also has a number of debt facilities to provide additional liquidity and capital if required. 

Taking a look at the bigger picture, NextDC has delivered a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 21% for revenue and 32% for EBITDA since 2H17. It highlights the increasing use of hybrid cloud and connectivity both inside and outside the data centre as customers expand their digital ecosystems. 

Upgraded guidance fails to ignite NextDC share price 

Upgraded guidance is always the icing on the cake after a solid earnings announcement. NextDC upgraded its revenue guidance to $246 million to $251 million (previously $242 million to $250 million). The business is seeing strong growth in recurring data centre services revenue, underpinned by long-term customer contracts. 

The company's continuous investment into new centres creates additional capacity and inventory across all markets to drive further enterprise and network opportunities. 

Foolish takeaway

Strong results, upgraded guidance and positive broker ratings have been unable to turn the NextDC share price around so far this week. The company's shares have dropped by more than 5% since its half-year result and by nearly 14% year to date. 

However, it's not just the NextDC share price that's been underperforming. The S&P/ASX 200 Info Tech (ASX: XIJ) index has also been struggling, falling by more than 10% in February, despite the ASX 200 closing 1% higher. 

Motley Fool contributor Kerry Sun has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Bruce Jackson.

More on ASX Share Market News

Multi-ethnic people looking at a camera in a public place and screaming, shouting, and feeling overjoyed.
Share Gainers

Here are the top 10 ASX 200 shares today

It was a strong hump day on the ASX today.

Read more »

A mining worker wearing a white hardhat and a high vis vest stands on a platform overlooking a huge mine, thinking about what comes next.
Broker Notes

7 ASX mining shares with 11% to 158% upside ahead: experts

Brokers have updated their ratings and price targets on BHP, Mineral Resources, and others. 

Read more »

Two male ASX 200 analysts stand in an office looking at various computer screens showing share prices.
Broker Notes

6 ASX shares upgraded by experts amid a weak market 

Brokers have increased their ratings on Capricorn Metals, REA Group, and others this week. 

Read more »

A man thinks very carefully about his money and investments.
How to invest

Cash rate at 4.6%: Here's how I'm investing in ASX shares

Interest rate hikes cut both ways.

Read more »

Stock market board with green numbers.
ASX Share Market News

Why has the ASX 200 jumped to its highest level in 3 weeks?

The ASX 200 is closing in on 8,800 points again.

Read more »

Man on a ladder drawing an increasing line on a chalk board, symbolising a rising share price.
Opinions

Is WiseTech the most undervalued growth stock on the ASX 200?

Has the sell-off gone too far?

Read more »

woman on phone
Broker Notes

With $2.4 billion in FY26 profits, are Telstra shares a good buy today?

A leading expert delivers his outlook for Telstra shares.

Read more »

Woman looking at her computer and pondering something.
Broker Notes

Barrenjoey tips this ASX financial stock to rise 73%

A new deal has impressed the analysts.

Read more »