Why the Appen (ASX:APX) share price sank 25% in February

The Appen Ltd (ASX:APX) share price was out of form in February and sank a disappointing 25% during the month. Here's why…

| More on:

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

The Appen Ltd (ASX: APX) share price was among the worst performers on the S&P/ASX 200 Index (ASX: XJO) in February.

Over the period, the artificial intelligence data services company's shares lost 25% of their value.

This means the Appen share price has now fallen a disappointing 62% from its 52-week high.

An ASX investor looks devastated as he watches his computer screen, indicating bad news

Image source: Getty Images

Why did the Appen share price crash lower in February?

There were a few catalysts for the poor performance by the Appen share price in February.

One of those catalysts was weakness in the tech sector after bond yields widened and spooked investors.

In addition to this, a broker note out of Macquarie weighed heavily on the Appen share price.

Macquarie had previously been very bullish on the company but that all changed last month. In one fell swoop, the broker downgraded Appen's shares from an outperform rating all the way down to underperform.

It made the move after its industry research pointed to tough trading conditions and increasing competition. Macquarie has concerns the latter could lead to a structural loss of market share.

Full year results disappoint

In addition to the above, the Appen share price came under further pressure following the release of its full year results for FY 2020.

For the 12 months ended 31 December, Appen posted a 12% increase in revenue to $599.9 million and an 8% lift in EBITDA to $108.6 million. This fell short of the market's expectations.

It was a similar story with its guidance, with Appen forecasting constant currency EBITDA growth of 18% to 28% in FY 2021.

However, with Appen's constant currency figure based on an Australian dollar averaging 69 U.S. cents, its reported growth will be much lower if exchange rates stay the same way. The Australian dollar is currently fetching 78 U.S. cents.

Where next for the Appen share price?

Given the uncertainty around the next 12 months, it will come as no surprise to learn that brokers are undecided on where the Appen share price is going next.

Ord Minnett recently upgraded its shares to a buy rating with a $24.75 price target. It feels its shares are great value after recent weakness. It notes that the company has strong long term growth potential thanks to industry tailwinds.

Whereas Macquarie has held firm with its underperform rating and cut its price target to $16.00 and Credit Suisse has a neutral rating and $20.00 price target.

James Mickleboro has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. owns shares of Appen Ltd. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Bruce Jackson.

More on Share Fallers

A man sits in despair at his computer with his hands either side of his head, staring into the screen with a pained and anguished look on his face, in a home office setting.
Share Fallers

Why Centuria Capital, Iluka, Metcash, and Reliance Worldwide shares are falling today

These shares are having a tough session on Tuesday. What's going on?

Read more »

Frustrated stock trader screaming while looking at mobile phone, symbolising a falling share price.
Share Fallers

Why Humm, Metcash, PLS, and WiseTech shares are sinking today

These shares are starting the week in the red. But why?

Read more »

A bored man sits at his desk, flat after seeing the latest news on the share market.
Share Fallers

Why Aeris, Newmont, PLS, and REA Group shares are tumbling today

These shares are ending the week in the red. But why?

Read more »

Frustrated and shocked businesswoman reading bad news online from phone.
Share Fallers

Why Air New Zealand, Emeco, ResMed, and Westgold shares are tumbling today

These shares are having a poor session on Thursday. But why?

Read more »

Man with a hand on his head looks at a red stock market chart showing a falling share price.
Share Fallers

Why Karoon Energy, Novonix, Transurban, and Woodside shares are sinking today

These shares are having a tough time on hump day. What's going on?

Read more »

A young woman holds an open book over her head with a round mouthed expression as if to say oops as she looks at her computer screen in a home office setting with a plant on the desk and shelves of books in the background.
Share Fallers

Why Karoon Energy, PLS, South32, and Transurban shares are falling today

These shares are having a poor session on Tuesday. What's going on?

Read more »

Lines of codes and graphs in the background with woman looking at laptop trying to understand the data.
Share Fallers

Why Aussie Broadband, Coles, EOS, and Santos shares are falling on Monday

These shares are missing out on the good times today.

Read more »

A man with his back to the camera holds his hands to his head as he looks to a jagged red line trending sharply downward.
Share Fallers

Why Larvotto, Newmont, Qantas, and Steadfast shares are dropping today

These shares are under pressure on Thursday. What's going on?

Read more »