Webjet share price crashes 12% lower: Is it time to buy?

The Webjet Limited (ASX:WEB) share price was the worst performer on the ASX 200 on Thursday. Here's why it crashed lower…

| More on:

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

The worst performer on the S&P/ASX 200 Index (ASX: XJO) on Thursday was the Webjet Limited (ASX: WEB) share price.

The online travel agent's shares finished the day with a decline of 12% to $3.24.

Why did the Webjet share price crash lower?

Investors were selling Webjet's shares on Thursday following the release of its full year results for FY 2020.

The 12 months ended 30 June 2020 really were a tale of two halves for Webjet. The first half saw the company deliver record sales and profits and then the second half saw this wiped out in an instant because of the pandemic.

For example, in FY 2020 Webjet reported a 27% decline in revenue to $266.1 million. This might not seem like the worst sales result, but it's when you dig deeper that the full impact of the pandemic can be seen.

Webjet's first half revenue came to $217.8 million, which represents a massive 81.8% of its revenue for the year. Just $48.3 million of revenue was generated in the second half. And it's worth remembering that travel markets weren't truly disrupted until late February early March.

Unfortunately, things were much worse for its earnings. Webjet's earnings before interest, tax, depreciation and amortisation (EBITDA) came in at a loss of $91.3 million for the year. That's despite the company posting positive EBITDA of $46.4 million in the first half.

Admittedly, this statutory result includes a number of significant one-offs that should not repeat in FY 2021. But even if you exclude them, Webjet's EBITDA fell 80% to $26.4 million. This comprises first half EBITDA of $86.3 million and a second half EBITDA loss of $59.9 million.

The good news for shareholders is that its operating costs have now been reduced materially. On its analysts call, management stated that its cost base is now ~$11.6 million per month. Annualised this comes to just under $140 million.

The big question is, how long will it take for Webjet to be generating revenue above $140 million to breakeven? Given its exposure to the domestic leisure market and the ongoing border restrictions, I feel it is unlikely to be profitable in FY 2021.

Should you invest?

In light of the above, I wouldn't be in a rush to invest. Especially given its market capitalisation of $1.1 billion.

This market capitalisation means Webjet would have to be making a profit after tax of $55 million to be trading on a PE ratio of 20. I don't see that happening any time soon unfortunately.

Motley Fool contributor James Mickleboro has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia owns shares of and has recommended Webjet Ltd. We Fools may not all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Share Fallers

Frustrated stock trader screaming while looking at mobile phone, symbolising a falling share price.
Share Fallers

Why KMD, Tamboran Resources, Whitehaven Coal, and WiseTech Global shares are falling today

These shares are out of form on Thursday. What's going on?

Read more »

Frustrated stock trader screaming while looking at mobile phone, symbolising a falling share price.
Share Fallers

Why Dateline, Karoon Energy, Lindian, and PEXA shares are falling today

These shares are missing out on the good times on Wednesday. But why?

Read more »

A man slumps crankily over his morning coffee as it pours with rain outside.
Share Fallers

These were the worst-performing ASX 200 shares in March

These shares were out of form in March. Let's see why investors sold them off.

Read more »

Disappointed man with his head on his hand looking at a falling share price his a laptop.
Share Fallers

Why 4DMedical, New Hope, Santos, and St George Mining shares are dropping today

These shares are under pressure on Tuesday. But why?

Read more »

A woman is excited as she reads the latest rumour on her phone.
Share Fallers

These 3 dirt-cheap ASX shares are tipped to climb another 50-90%

These shares are now trading at super low prices.

Read more »

Shot of a young businesswoman looking stressed out while working in an office.
Share Fallers

Why 4DMedical, Brainchip, Catapult, and Star Entertainment shares are falling today

These shares are starting the week in the red. But why>

Read more »

Frustrated stock trader screaming while looking at mobile phone, symbolising a falling share price.
Share Fallers

Why DroneShield, Hub24, Syrah, and Weebit Nano shares are sinking today

These shares are ending the week in the red. But why?

Read more »

A worried woman sits at her computer with her hands clutched at the bottom of her face.
Share Fallers

These 3 ASX 200 shares have hit fresh multi-year lows: Buy, sell or hold?

One of these stocks has crashed over 50% over the past year alone.

Read more »