How does the Fortescue share price compare to its peers?

The Fortescue Metals Group Limited (ASX: FMG) share price has surged higher in 2020 but will it continue to outperform its peers?

| More on:

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

The Fortescue Metals Group Limited (ASX: FMG) share price has rocketed 38.15% higher in 2020 (at the time of writing). On paper, that's a significant outperformance compared to the S&P/ASX 200 Index (ASX: XJO), which has fallen 12.09% lower this year.

But how does the Fortescue share price stack up against its fellow Aussie iron ore miners?

Share investor with chess pieces deciding to buy or sell ASX shares

Image source: Getty Images

How does the relative value look?

The first thing about relative valuation is defining an appropriate peer group. According to the Australian Department of Industry, Fortescue is part of the 'Big 4' producers alongside BHP Group Ltd (ASX: BHP), Rio Tinto Ltd (ASX: RIO) and Brazil-based Vale.

That means BHP and Rio are probably decent comparisons for the Fortescue share price. I've whipped up a quick table of some key metrics to compare the Aussie iron ore miners right now.

  Fortescue BHP Rio Tinto
Market Capitalisation A$46.09 billion A$172.61 billion A$36.71 billion
Net Assets (Feb 2020) US$12.5 billion US$52.4 billion US$45.2 billion
YTD share price change +38.15% -7.56% -3.3%
P/E ratio 6.45 13.76 14.12
Dividend yield 6.68% p.a. 5.81% p.a. 5.75% p.a.

Data source: Google Finance, Table: Author's own

What separates Fortescue from its peers?

Based on the above table, it's easy to see that Fortescue has a couple of things going for it.

While BHP and Rio shares have slumped in 2020, the Fortescue share price is up 38.15% to $14.95 per share at the time of writing.

That's a remarkable recovery, given it was hammered 36.3% in the March bear market from its January 2020 all-time high.

One big factor was the Aussie iron ore miner's strong quarterly result in April. That announcement was highlighted by record third-quarter iron ore shipments of 42.3 million tonnes, up 10% year on year.

However, Fortescue is still trading at a lower P/E ratio than both BHP and Rio. That could mean the Fortescue share price is a good buy right now, but where is it headed in 2020?

What's the outlook for the Fortescue share price?

I think the technical environment remains quite strong for the Aussie iron ore miners. Global iron ore prices have surged in recent months, which bodes well for the August earnings season.

There's also the potential for an Aussie infrastructure boom to boost demand for steel further in 2020.

There are certainly some potential headwinds looming. Frosty relations with China (a major iron ore importer) and a global economic slowdown are two of those.

The Fortescue share price is also approaching its all-time high of $15.25. That could mean it's a risky buy near the top of its trading range.

Personally, I think for a P/E ratio of 6.4 it could be a steal. However, I'll be waiting until the group's August earnings result before buying in.

Motley Fool contributor Ken Hall has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. We Fools may not all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Resources Shares

Woman and man worker in quarry on excavation machine looking at a clipboard.
Broker Notes

Up 57%! Should I still buy Rio Tinto shares today?

A leading analyst provides his forecast for Rio Tinto’s rocketing shares.

Read more »

Value spelt out in different colours with magnifying glasses.
Resources Shares

Up 20% this year, are Rio Tinto shares still good value?

Investors have enjoyed a strong run. Is there more upside ahead?

Read more »

Miner standing in front of trucks and smiling, symbolising a rising share price.
Resources Shares

This Gina Rinehart-backed ASX explorer could rise almost 300%, Morgans says

Backing from the iron ore magnate is a strong endorsement.

Read more »

Two miners laughing and having fun while using smart phone during their coffee break.
Resources Shares

Stanmore Resources to acquire Moranbah South, boosting coal resources

Stanmore Resources is set to acquire 100% of Moranbah South, significantly increasing its metallurgical coal resources and future growth options.

Read more »

Two miners at a mine site on their tablets, with mining machinery behind them.
Resources Shares

Buy, hold, sell: PLS Group, Catalyst Metals, Sandfire Resources shares

Analysts reveal their ratings and 12-month price targets on these ASX mining stocks.

Read more »

Copper balls.
Resources Shares

This ASX copper explorer is up 390% since its May IPO. Is it still a buy?

Visible copper, no grades, and a 151% day.

Read more »

Two miners laughing and having fun while using smart phone during their coffee break.
Resources Shares

Here's how Fortescue, Rio Tinto and BHP shares stacked up in August

BHP, Rio Tinto and Fortescue shares were in sharp focus in August. But why?

Read more »

Buy and sell written on red dice on top of stock market charts.
Resources Shares

Fortescue shares just hit a 52-week low. Is it time to buy?

Is the latest Fortescue sell-off creating an opportunity?

Read more »