NAB's CEO is buying shares at decade low prices. Should you take the hint?

Is the National Australia Bank Ltd. (ASX: NAB) share price a bargain bin buy today? The NAB CEO thinks so, should you follow his lead?

| More on:
a woman

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

The National Australia Bank Ltd. (ASX: NAB) share price closed today's trade at $15.75.

Sure, this share price isn't quite as low as the levels we saw in March when NAB shares reached $13.20. But it's still not far from a level that, until March, we hadn't seen this century. That's right, you have to go back to 1996 to find a time when NAB shares plumbed the depths they found 2 months ago.

Even during the global financial crisis, which hit bank shares particularly harshly, NAB shares didn't see a share price with a 13 at the beginning.

So we already know this ASX bank has been a lousy investment over the past two and a half decades, even with the healthy dividends NAB used to pay. It's not often you can say you bought a company that went backwards over 25 years.

But it's still one of the largest companies in Australia, has a virtual government guarantee and a formidable market share in the ASX financials sector.

So is the NAB share price in the buy zone today?

Are NAB shares in the bargain bin?

Well, the first thing to note is that no one should be expecting much in the way of dividend payments in 2020.

Yes, unlike NAB's compatriots Westpac Banking Corp (ASX: WBC) and Australia and New Zealand Banking Group Limited (ASX: ANZ), NAB will be paying a 30 cents per share interim dividend in July.

But NAB's past payments make this look like a pittance. Shareholders were treated to an annual dividend of $1.98 per share in 2018. Last year, investors received $1.66 per share in payments. This year, it looks as though NAB shareholders will be lucky to receive 60 cents per share. That's a 66.7% cut over 2 years – although I'm not blaming NAB entirely for this, due to the impacts of the coronavirus on the economy.

Still, if an investor bought in at the current NAB share price, this new dividend would translate into an annualised yield of 3.8%, which isn't really anything to write home about.

However, these dividends are likely to recover somewhat over time. It's hard to say how much though – that depends on consumers returning to the credit markets in the months and years ahead, as well as what interest rates end up doing.

One investor who's bullish on NAB shares is Nab's own CEO, Ross McEwan. Mr McEwan recently picked up 47,500 shares worth around $731,500 (at the time) earlier this month. It's always nice seeing a CEO put their money where their mouth is.

Foolish takeaway

In time, I think the NAB share price will recover from the lows we see today. However, I'm not in a rush to add to my existing NAB shares alongside Mr McEwan, even at these depths. There's a lot of uncertainty in the future of the ASX banks, and I'm not confident that the heavy headwinds the sector is facing have a clear end in sight. Thus, I think there are better places to put your money in this market.

Motley Fool contributor Sebastian Bowen owns shares of National Australia Bank Limited. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. We Fools may not all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on ⏸️ Dividend Shares

falling healthcare asx share price Mesoblast capital raising
⏸️ Dividend Shares

Sonic Healthcare (ASX:SHL) dividend rises 7%, share price falls after FY21 results

Triple digit profit growth and a solid dividend was not enough to impress investors on Monday.

Read more »

A smiling woman with a handful of $100 notes, indicating strong dividend payments
⏸️ Dividend Shares

The Adairs (ASX:ADH) dividend more than doubled in FY21

A record financial result will see a generous dividend paid out to Adairs shareholders.

Read more »

A businessman on a road raises his arms as dollar notes rain down on him.
⏸️ Dividend Shares

The Newcrest (ASX:NCM) dividend boosted 129%

Newcrest marks its sixth successive year of increasing dividend payments to shareholders

Read more »

Happy couple laughing while shopping in supermarket
52-Week Highs

August has been a great month so far for the Woolworths (ASX:WOW) share price

We take a look at how shares in the supermarket giant have been performing ahead of the company's full-year results

Read more »

wine glass full of coins
⏸️ Dividend Shares

The Treasury Wines (ASX:TWE) dividend bumped up by 60%

Here's how Treasury Wines dividends for FY21 have stacked up.

Read more »

Young boy cries and covers eyes with torn money on table
⏸️ Dividend Shares

The Origin (ASX:ORG) dividend has dropped 20%

What's happened to Origin's dividends?

Read more »

two people hold a sheet above their head while making a bed in a room featuring homewares.
Retail Shares

How did the Adairs (ASX:ADH) share price respond last earnings season?

The homewares retailer will be looking for another year like last year when it releases its FY21 earnings tomorrow.

Read more »

Two men excited to win online bet
Share Market News

Why the Tabcorp (ASX:TAH) dividend was boosted by 32%

The strong performance of Tabcorp's business will see a combined FY21 dividend of 14.5 cents.

Read more »