Leading broker names CBA shares as a sell

The Commonwealth Bank of Australia (ASX:CBA) share price could be heading lower according to one leading broker…

| More on:

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

In afternoon trade the Commonwealth Bank of Australia (ASX: CBA) share price is down 2.5% to $59.22.

This means the banking giant's shares are now down 38% from their 52-week high.

Unfortunately for shareholders, one leading broker still believes they could be heading lower from here.

Who is bearish on Commonwealth Bank?

This morning analysts at Goldman Sachs retained their sell rating but lifted the price target on the company's shares slightly to $56.40.

According to the note, Commonwealth Bank's third quarter cash earnings of $1.3 billion is running well short of the broker's second half expectations.

Though It acknowledges that this weakness has been driven entirely by higher provisions for bad and doubtful debts because of the coronavirus pandemic.

Excluding one offs, its profits were running ahead of its estimates. This was driven by better than expected net interest income (NIM) growth and partly offset by higher expenses.

So why is Goldman Sachs bearish?

Goldman Sachs' main issue with Commonwealth Bank is its valuation. It doesn't believe the bank deserves to trade at such a premium to National Australia Bank Ltd (ASX: NAB) and the rest of the big four.

Goldman notes that Commonwealth Bank's pro-forma CET1 ratio, adjusted for announced but not yet completed asset sales, will fall 45 basis points half on half. This will bring its pro-forma CET1 advantage over its peers to <1%, from >1.5% at the end of the first half.

"Therefore, while we remain of the view that the CBA balance sheet looks the most defensive of the major Australian banks (provisions, capital, funding etc), we cannot justify the 25% 12-mo forward PER premium it trades on versus peers (vs. 14% 15-yr av.) and we stay Sell," it explained.

Its preferred pick in the sector remains NAB. Goldman has a conviction buy rating and $17.50 price target on its shares.

Motley Fool contributor James Mickleboro has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. We Fools may not all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Bank Shares

A corporate female wearing glasses looks intently at a virtual reality screen with shapes and lights representing Block shares going up today
Bank Shares

Are Westpac shares a buy following the bank's big tech update?

Is now a good time to buy the banking giant's shares? Let's find out.

Read more »

Different Australian dollar notes in the palm of two hands, symbolising dividends.
Bank Shares

Own CBA shares? It's payday for you!

A dividend is heading to CBA shareholders’ bank accounts.

Read more »

A man holds his hand under his chin as he concentrates on his laptop screen and reads about the ANZ share price
Bank Shares

Are CBA shares really worth $120?

It has been a good year for ASX bank shareholders.

Read more »

a group of people sit around a computer in an office environment.
Bank Shares

Westpac shares push higher on $9.8b technology simplification plan

Westpac plans to spend big on technology to close the gap on its rivals.

Read more »

A worried woman looks at her phone and laptop, seeking ways to tighten her belt against inflation.
Economy

NAB boss issues dire prediction for Aussie economy

NAB’s CEO has issued a stark warning on the outlook for Australia’s economic growth.

Read more »

Contented looking man leans back in his chair at his desk and smiles.
Bank Shares

Own CBA shares? Here's the tech stock the banking giant just invested in

CBA has made an interesting investment. Here's what you need to know.

Read more »

A woman gives two fist pumps with a big smile as she learns of her windfall, sitting at her desk.
Bank Shares

ANZ shares charge higher on $57.5 million class action settlement news

ANZ shares have continued their positive run on Monday.

Read more »

Two people comparing and analysing material.
Bank Shares

Better buy: CBA or Westpac stock?

Which ASX bank share is a better buy?

Read more »