Where will ASX 200 bank shares end up in 2020?

ASX 200 bank shares like Commonwealth Bank of Australia (ASX: CBA) could be in the buy zone despite flagging dividend and earnings cuts.

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

ASX 200 bank shares climbed higher on Tuesday and kickstarted the week for the S&P/ASX 200 Index (ASX: XJO).

The benchmark index closed 1.87% higher, which was roughly in line with the Aussie banks. 

Amongst the gainers was Westpac Banking Corp (ASX: WBC) shares outperformed, closing 1.94% higher at $16.27 per share.

That's despite the Aussie bank announcing an expected $900 million AUSTRAC penalty as well as a $1.5 billion loss in FY 2020.

The major banks, bar Commonwealth Bank of Australia (ASX: CBA), are set to report their earnings in late April or early May. 

So, with so much happening this year, where will ASX bank shares finish in 2020?

a woman

Where will ASX bank shares finish in 2020?

We've already seen Aussie bank shares come under pressure in the early months of 2020.

In fact, both the National Australia Bank Ltd (ASX: NAB) and Westpac share prices are both down 32.7% in 2020.

The coronavirus pandemic has put pressure on a number of businesses and that's starting to hit the banks.

APRA has pressured boards to slash dividends amidst the pandemic. The decision has put ASX bank shares under pressure as the regulator looks to ensure solvency and maintain liquidity.

On top of that, the banks are being asked to pitch in and help in the pandemic. That includes a number of measures covering credit card debt, home loans and commercial lending.

All of this, on top of the impact that COVID-19 could have on the bank's own operations.

We could see more asset impairments and defaults given the impact that the pandemic has had on Aussie businesses.

However, I still think the ASX bank shares are still in the buy zone right now.

If you're a buy-and-hold investor, one missed dividend shouldn't matter too much. That's particularly the case when it's an interim dividend – with another payment scheduled for later in the year.

That could put the Aussie banks in the buy zone, despite the current bear market.

I particularly like Macquarie Group Ltd (ASX: MQG) given its diversified earnings streams and international investment exposure, which could rebound in the second half of the year.

Motley Fool contributor Ken Hall has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia owns shares of and has recommended Macquarie Group Limited. The Motley Fool Australia owns shares of National Australia Bank Limited. We Fools may not all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Bank Shares

A bland looking man in a brown suit opens his jacket to reveal a red and gold superhero dollar symbol on his chest.
Bank Shares

3 reasons why ANZ shares are a screaming buy right now

The banking giant has a lot to offer investors.

Read more »

A woman in a bright yellow jumper looks happily at her yellow piggy bank.
Bank Shares

How many CBA shares do I need to buy for $10,000 of passive income?

Can CBA still provide investors with good passive income?

Read more »

A woman wearing a yellow shirt smiles as she checks her phone.
Bank Shares

What are experts tipping for the big four bank shares in the back half of 2026?

Is there any upside for big banks?

Read more »

A male party goer sits wearing a party hat and with a party blower in his mouth amid a bunch of balloons with a sad, serious look on his face as though the party is over or a celebration has fallen flat.
Bank Shares

ANZ, NAB, Westpac and CBA shares: Brokers rate 2 a sell, and 2 a hold

The experts think all of the big four major bank shares could fall further in FY27.

Read more »

Happy young woman saving money in a piggy bank.
Bank Shares

Here's the earnings forecast out to 2027 for ANZ shares

Can investors bank on earnings growth at ANZ?

Read more »

A woman sits at her computer with her hand to her mouth and a contemplative smile on her face as she reads about the performance of Allkem shares on her computer
Bank Shares

Are CBA shares still worth buying for the long term?

There is a reason investors keep paying a premium for this ASX blue chip.

Read more »

A man in a suit smiles at the yellow piggy bank he holds in his hand.
Bank Shares

How much could the CBA share price rise in the next year?

Does the ASX bank share have a compelling future?

Read more »

A young bank customer wearing a yellow jumper smiles as she checks her bank balance on her phone.
Bank Shares

If I invest $10,000 in CBA shares, how much passive income will I receive in 2027?

Can investors bank on big dividends from Commonwealth Bank next year?

Read more »