Aristocrat Leisure share price rockets 10% higher on broker upgrade

The Aristocrat Leisure Limited (ASX:ALL) share price is rocketing higher on Monday after being upgraded by analysts at Goldman Sachs…

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The Aristocrat Leisure Limited (ASX: ALL) share price has started the week in a very positive fashion.

In afternoon trade the gaming technology company's shares are up 10% to $22.20.

Why is the Aristocrat Leisure share price rocketing higher?

Investors have been fighting to get hold of the company's shares this afternoon following the release of a broker note out of Goldman Sachs.

According to the note, the broker has upgraded Aristocrat Leisure's shares to a buy rating with a $29.00 price target.

Even after today's stellar gain, this price target implies potential upside of almost 31% over the next 12 months.

Why did Goldman upgrade Aristocrat Leisure?

Although the broker notes that there is significant near-term earnings uncertainty in its land-based businesses from global casino closures, it believes the selloff of its shares has been severely overdone.

It notes that prior to today, its shares were down 48% since February 20 compared to a 34% decline by the S&P/ASX 200 Index (ASX: XJO).

It feels this is unjustified. Especially given how the company's Digital business could benefit greatly from global shutdowns.

Furthermore, Goldman Sachs believes Aristocrat will emerge from the coronavirus crisis in a materially stronger competitive position.

It explained: "With a key risk for ALL having been the recent increased focus on gaming from its key competitors IGT/SGMS, these two business are in our view far more exposed to the COVID-19 impact, given: (1) materially more leverage balance sheet gearing; (2) less digital exposure; (3) exposure to Italian Lotteries."

"Hence, with ALL able to continue investing in R&D and its staff through this difficult period, we believe it will emerge from the COVID-19 outbreak in a materially stronger competitive position than it is currently in," it added.

And while the broker expects Aristocrat Leisure's earnings to take a hit in FY 2020 from the outbreak, it expects only a small impact in FY 2021.

The broker has pencilled in earnings per share of $1.59 in FY 2021. This means its shares are changing hands at a little under 14x FY 2021 earnings. This is materially lower than its 10-year average.

I think Goldman Sachs is spot on and feel Aristocrat Leisure would be a good long-term option for investors.

Incidentally, the broker also upgraded Afterpay Ltd (ASX: APT) shares to a buy rating on Monday. It has a $25.20 price target on the payments company's shares.

Motley Fool contributor James Mickleboro has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia owns shares of AFTERPAY T FPO. We Fools may not all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

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