Top brokers just upgraded these two ASX stocks for 2020

The silver-lining to the recent ASX 200 sell-off is that there are pockets of value starting to emerge with brokers upgrading these two stocks

| More on:
a woman

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

The market reprieve from the coronavirus scare didn't last long. The S&P/ASX 200 (Index:^AXJO) (ASX:XJO) stumbled into the red after trading higher in the morning.

The headlines about the growing risk of a SARS-like pandemic isn't helping sentiment, although the silver-lining is that investors aren't panicking – at least not today.

This reaffirms expectations that the market sell-off from the virus may be reasonably short-lived. The indiscriminate selling in the past few days have created pockets of value and there are two ASX stocks that just got upgraded by leading brokers.

A bank stock on the "buy" list

UK-bank V MONEY UK/IDR UNRESTR (ASX: VUK), which is more popularly called Virgin Money, is one that got upgraded.

Morgans lifted its recommendation to "add" from "hold" following the release of its first quarter trading update.

While Virgin Money's mortgage book declined because it refused to compete aggressively with competitors trying to hit year-end targets, the loss was partially offset by a 2.5% increase in business lending and 3.7% growth in personal lending over the quarter.

"The NIM [net interest margin] for 1Q20 was 160bps, unchanged from 4Q19," said Morgans.

"While mortgage competition appears to remain intense, we believe the NIM is being supported by a change in mix of the loan book towards business lending and personal lending."

More upside than downside

The downside is that the lender's credit risk profile will increase and Virgin Money's CET-1 capital adequacy ratio fell to 13.1% from 13.3% at the end of FY19.

But it's the diminishing hard Brexit and Payment Protection Insurance (PPI) risks that won Morgans over. What's more the favourable exchange rate is also giving the stock a boost with the broker increasing its price target to $4.23 from $3.08 a share.

Treasury Wines looking oversold

Meanwhile, there's a silver lining in the Treasury Wine Estates Ltd (ASX: TWE) share price crash yesterday.

Credit Suisse upgraded the stock to "neutral" from "underperform" after it noted that the stock is now back at fair value and is trading at a big discount to its peers.

The alcoholic beverages group issued a profit warning yesterday as cheap wine in the US impacted on its sales.

Too much bad news in the share price?

"TWE FY20 EBITS guidance is 5%-10% growth vs FY19 and excludes a 2H impact from coronavirus," said the broker.

"Our model is below TWE guidance reflecting 4% Group EBITS growth.

"COGS pressure will be most acute in FY20, in our view. FY21 may see COGS/case rise optically due to strong mix shift but the 2018 California vintage and the 2018 Australia vintage should mitigate COGS pressures in masstige and luxury product classes."

Credit Suisse's price target on Treasury Wine is $12.80 a share.

Motley Fool contributor Brendon Lau has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia owns shares of and has recommended Treasury Wine Estates Limited. We Fools may not all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Share Market News

Fancy font saying top ten surrounded by gold leaf set against a dark background of glittering stars.
Share Gainers

Here are the top 10 ASX 200 shares today

It was a rough start to the week for investors.

Read more »

a woman stands with her hand to the side of her head and a sad, slightly distressed look to her expression while holding a large glass of milk in her other hand.
Share Market News

The a2 Milk Company shares fall 11% after responding to an ASX price query

a2 Milk Company confirms no undisclosed news behind its latest share price drop following an ASX price query.

Read more »

CEO of a company looking straight ahead.
Share Market News

Region Group names Greg Chubb as new CEO and Managing Director

Greg Chubb will begin his new roles in March 2026.

Read more »

A man using a phone shouts and puts his hand out in a stop motion indicating the Yancoal trading halt today
Share Market News

The A2 Milk Company in trading halt: What investors should know

The A2 Milk Company shares have increased more than 40% in the past 12 months.

Read more »

Calculator and gold bars on Australian dollars, symbolising dividends.
Share Market News

Gold, silver hit new highs as US punishes Europe with tariffs over Greenland stance

The United States wants to buy Greenland for security purposes.

Read more »

Beautiful young woman drinking fresh orange juice in kitchen.
Share Gainers

Why Catalyst Metals, Lynas, Polynovo, and St George Mining shares are pushing higher today

These shares are starting the week with a bang. But why?

Read more »

A man sits in despair at his computer with his hands either side of his head, staring into the screen with a pained and anguished look on his face, in a home office setting.
Share Fallers

Why Fortescue, Life360, PLS, and Syrah shares are dropping today

These shares are starting the week in the red. But why?

Read more »

A few gold nullets sit on an old-fashioned gold scale, representing ASX gold shares.
Gold

Guess which surging ASX gold share is leaping another 18% today on high-grade results

Investors are piling into this small-cap ASX gold share today. But why?

Read more »