Why I think the Bapcor share price is a buy

Here's a closer look at Bapcor Ltd (ASX: BAP) and why I think the Bapcor share price is a buy in 2020.

| More on:
a woman

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

When looking for new segments in the ASX market to invest in, the automotive spare part business may not sound the most exciting, but initial impressions can often be deceiving…

Bapcor Ltd (ASX: BAP) is the largest and leading second-hand car parts distributor in Australia and New Zealand and has a number of brands under its umbrella, including Burson, Autobarn and Autopro. 

Bapcor has been strongly growing its local Australian and New Zealand presence through acquisitions and the expansion of its existing business chains. Recent acquisitions include Driveline and Diesel Drive, which are part of Bapcor's expansion into the Japanese and Australian wholesale markets.

Bapcor is also expanding into Thailand, which could provide the company with a useful launching pad for further expansion into Asia.

Solid revenue growth continues

In Bapcor's FY19 results, revenues increased by 4.8% to $1,297 million and earnings before interest, tax, depreciation and amortisation was up 9.8% to $165 million, in line with guidance. While growth is slowing as it becomes a larger organisation, compared to prior years, it was still a reasonably solid result.

Bapcor continues to generate solid same store sales growth and profit margin improvement.

I believe it still has significant potential to grow over the next few years with lots of new store openings in the pipeline.

Competitive strengths are growing

Bapcor is an excellent defensive share because, even when the economy is struggling, people still need to get their car fixed, and may actually be more inclined to keep repairing their current car rather than buying a more expensive newer one.

Its truck parts business continues to expand with more targeted acquisitions, creating further diversification of its earnings base. Bapcor also continues to make significant technology and infrastructure investments in warehousing, retail point of sale and information technology.

In terms of size, Bapcor has grown to the point where it now has a strong economies of scale advantage against most of its competitors.

Do electric vehicles pose a threat to Bapcor?

The growth of the electric vehicles market could potentially be a long-term risk to Bapcor. Electric vehicles have far fewer parts and require significantly less maintenance than traditional internal combustion engine cars that run on petrol. Both of these factors will mean that fewer parts will be required from mechanics, thus potentially impacting Bapcor's core business.

However, in my opinion, this trend is unlikely to have any significant impact on Bapcor's operating margins or revenue in the short-to-medium term. Although the number of electric vehicles is growing quickly, it is important to point out that this is occurring off a very tiny base. Currently, electric vehicles make up only about 0.5% globally of all cars internationally, and less than a 10th of that in Australia (i.e. less than 0.05%), so it's hardly likely that they are any immediate threat to Bapcor's core business.

Foolish takeaway

Although Bapcor's share price has not performed particularly well over the last 12 months, I think this represents a good buying opportunity. It is also trading with an attractive price-to-earnings ratio of 18.6.

While revenue growth has slowed down over the past few years, there are still plenty of opportunities for Bapcor to grow both locally and internationally. As it achieves further scale this will enable it to spread cost further over a larger base and further increase its margins.

Bapcor also offers investors an attractive 2.8% fully-franked dividend yield.

Motley Fool contributor Phil Harpur owns shares of Bapcor. The Motley Fool Australia owns shares of and has recommended Bapcor. We Fools may not all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Share Market News

Happy couple doing grocery shopping together.
Broker Notes

Buy one, sell the other: Goldman's verdict on Coles vs. Woolworths share prices

One stock is set for a 26% share price gain over the next 12 months while the other is destined…

Read more »

Business woman watching stocks and trends while thinking
Share Market News

5 things to watch on the ASX 200 on Wednesday

Another positive session is expected for Aussie investors today.

Read more »

Businessman smiles with arms outstretched after receiving good news.
Share Gainers

Here are the top 10 ASX 200 shares today

It was another strong showing from the share market today.

Read more »

Three miners looking at a tablet.
Resources Shares

Own ASX mining shares? Experts say an upswing in commodity prices has begun

HSBC economists Paul Bloxham and Jamie Culling explain why global commodity prices are rising.

Read more »

A woman with a sad face looks to be receiving bad news on her phone as she holds it in her hands and looks down at it.
Share Fallers

Why Brambles, Lifestyle Communities, Northern Star, and Select Harvests shares are sinking

These shares are having a tough session. But why?

Read more »

A young woman sits at her desk in deep contemplation with her hand to her chin while seriously considering information she is reading on her laptop
Share Market News

Will the Reserve Bank wait for the US Fed to cut interest rates first?

Here's when AMP thinks interest rates will be cut in the US, Australia, New Zealand, Canada and the Eurozone.

Read more »

A young woman holding her phone smiles broadly and looks excited, after receiving good news.
Share Gainers

Healthco Healthcare, Medadvisor, Ramsay Health Care, and Tamboran shares are rising

These shares are having a strong session. But why?

Read more »

drug capsule opening up to reveal dollar signs signifying rising asx share price
Share Gainers

If you invested $6,000 in Mesoblast shares a month ago you'd have $15,636 now!

Mesoblast shares have been on a tear this past month. But why?

Read more »