Is South32 the best ASX mining share right now?

The South32 share price has been under pressure in the last 12 months, but could it actually be a great value buy on the ASX today?

| More on:
a woman

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

The South32 Ltd (ASX: S32) share price had a tough year in 2019 and is down 18.10% in the last 12 months.

But despite its troubles, could the Aussie mining group's shares be in the buy zone to start 2020?

Why the South32 share price could be good value

In the first index rebalancing of the new year, South32 has bowed out of the ASX 20.

The Aussie mining group has made way for Newcrest Mining Limited (ASX: NCM), which has seen its share price rocket 34.17% higher in the last 12 months.

After being spun-off from BHP Group Ltd (ASX: BHP), the South32 share price has been under pressure in recent times.

The company was unable to shake weak earnings throughout 2019, which has given shareholders some headaches.

The diversified nickel, manganese, lead and silver miner saw earnings slump 18% in FY 2019. Weaker demand from China and lower nickel production are forecast for 2020, which hasn't helped the South32 share price of late.

However, given the capital losses in the last year or so, the Aussie miner's shares could be a value buy.

If we see a resolution to the US–China trade war in 2020, keep an eye on ASX shares with significant earnings from China. South32 could be in the box seat to increase trade volumes and therefore earnings in the latter part of the year.

With the US election looming in November 2020, President Trump may want to boost the US economy via a new trade deal ahead of November.

Should you buy in today?

For now, the South32 share price remains under pressure. However, investors can often do well by "buying the dip" with commodities shares.

The Aussie miner does give investors a 4.11% dividend yield and boasts a $13.55 billion market capitalisation.

Given the current valuation and technical environment, South32 could just be the best value ASX mining stock on the market, in my opinion.

Motley Fool contributor Kenneth Hall has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. We Fools may not all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Resources Shares

Green stock market graph with a rising arrow symbolising a rising share price.
Resources Shares

So the PLS share price made it past $5. Big deal. What's next?

The lithium miner's shares are rocketing higher.

Read more »

Image of young successful engineer, with blueprints, notepad and digital tablet, observing the project implementation on construction site and in mine.
Resources Shares

South32 shares hit a 12-month high after a solid first-half performance

Good numbers delivered across the board.

Read more »

Concept image of a businessman riding a bull on an upwards arrow.
Resources Shares

Up 108% in a year, why this buy-rated ASX 300 mining stock is tipped for more outperformance

A top broker is flagging more gains ahead for this surging ASX 300 mining stock. But why?

Read more »

Four people on the beach leap high into the air.
Opinions

4 reasons why I think BHP shares are a must-buy for 2026

The mining giant's shares are now 20% higher than this time last year.

Read more »

Miner holding a silver nugget.
Resources Shares

Up 300% over a year, this minerals explorer still has further to go, one broker says

Recent silver and tin exploration results are encouraging.

Read more »

A miner holding a hard hat stands in the foreground of an open-cut mine.
Resources Shares

Dateline shares halted as investors await key announcement

Dateline shares are halted as investors await a potentially market-moving announcement.

Read more »

Engineer looking at mining trucks at a mine site.
Resources Shares

Why this fund manager is buying BHP shares

A leading fund manager expects BHP shares to deliver more outperformance in 2026. Let’s see why.

Read more »

Three women athletes lie flat on a running track as though they have had a long hard race where they have fought hard but lost the event.
Broker Notes

Brokers rate 2 ASX All Ords rippers of 2025: Is their phenomenal run over?

Both of these ASX shares more than tripled in value last year.

Read more »