Why the BWX share price has rocketed 183% higher in 2019

The BWX Ltd (ASX:BWX) share price has been on fire and is up 183% since the start of the year. Here's what you need to know…

| More on:

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

The BWX Ltd (ASX: BWX) share price is pushing higher again on Tuesday.

In afternoon trade the personal care products company's shares are up 1.5% to $4.48. This latest gain means that BWX's shares are now up a remarkable 183% in 2019.

This makes it one of the best performers on the All Ordinaries index this year alongside the likes of Opthea Ltd (ASX: OPT) and Zip Co Ltd (ASX: Z1P).

a woman

Why is the BWX share price up 183% in 2019?

Investors have been scrambling to buy the company's shares this year after a dramatic turnaround in its fortunes.

Due largely to a disastrous performance in the first half of FY 2019, BWX reported a 0.5% increase in net revenue to $149.5 million and a 50% decline in net profit after tax to $9.5 million in FY 2019.

A key driver of its underperformance was its key Sukin brand. Sales of Sukin products fell 20% to $52.8 million in FY 2019 due to non-repeating unprofitable promotions and the stabilisation of stock levels.

However, sales improved greatly in the second half. This led to total sales growing 19.5% in the second half versus the first half.

FY 2020 guidance.

Pleasingly, this momentum is expected to carry over into FY 2020. As a result, management has provided very positive earnings growth guidance for the current financial year.

Management expects to deliver revenue growth of 20% to 25% and EBITDA growth of between 25% to 35% in FY 2020. This implies revenue of $179.5 million to $187 million and EBITDA of ~$26.5 million $29 million.

Is it too late to invest?

Based on its guidance I estimate that BWX's shares are changing hands at 37x FY 2020 earnings.

Whilst this is expensive, if the company can deliver and then build on its guidance for this year, its shares could still be in the buy zone.

However, I think investors ought to wait for its half year results before considering an investment. Its previous fall from grace was very sudden, so I'd like to see proof that things are different this time around before picking up shares at this premium.

James Mickleboro has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. owns shares of ZIPCOLTD FPO. The Motley Fool Australia owns shares of and has recommended BWX Limited. We Fools may not all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Share Gainers

An old-fashioned panel of judges each holding a card with the number 10
Share Gainers

Here are the top 10 ASX 200 shares today

The ASX scraped a win this Friday to close the week.

Read more »

three young children weariing business suits, helmets and old fashioned aviator goggles wear aeroplane wings on their backs and jump with one arm outstretched into the air in an arid, sandy landscape.
Share Gainers

3 ASX 200 stocks flying higher this week on big news

Investors sent these three ASX 200 shares flying higher following big announcements this week.

Read more »

A woman's hand draws a stylised 'Top Ten' on a projected surface.
Share Gainers

Here are the top 10 ASX 200 shares today

It was a rather miserable Thursday on the ASX today.

Read more »

Ten happy friends leaping in the air outdoors.
Share Gainers

Here are the top 10 ASX 200 shares today

It was a wonderful day on the markets.

Read more »

Girl with painted hands.
Share Gainers

Here are the top 10 ASX 200 shares today

It was another pleasant session on the ASX this Tuesday.

Read more »

A panel of four judges hold up cards all showing the perfect score of ten out of ten
Share Gainers

Here are the top 10 ASX 200 shares today

It was a happy start to the trading week for investors this Monday.

Read more »

The silhouettes of ten people holding hands with their arms raised against the sky, as the sun rises or sets in the background.
Share Gainers

Here are the top 10 ASX 200 shares today

Investors ended the trading week on a sour note this Friday.

Read more »

Concept image of a businessman riding a bull on an upwards arrow.
Share Gainers

3 ASX 200 stocks racing higher in this week's sinking market

Investors sent these three ASX stocks rocketing 16% to 23% in this week’s slumping market. But why?

Read more »