Can Costa shares bounce back in 2020?

Costa Group Holdings Ltd (ASX: CGC) shares have plummeted lower in 2019 – but is there time to buy ahead of a rebound next year?

| More on:
a woman

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

Costa Group Holdings Ltd (ASX: CGC) shares have plummeted 64.21% lower so far this year as earnings and growth prospects have faded.

But could there be a buying opportunity ahead of a potential share price rebound in 2020 for Costa?

Why Costa shares are falling lower this year

Costa shares has been under pressure nearly all year following consistent earnings downgrades.

The Aussie fruit and vegetable producer's share price fell nearly 40% in one day back in early January after downgrading FY19 earnings.

The company's trading halt in mid-October saw the company's shares fall lower as earnings started to look less certain. Costa subsequently delivered its third profit guidance downgrade, with weak demand and pricing hurting earnings.

In late October, the company's shares slipped lower after announcing a steeply discounted $176 million equity raising.

The raising price of $2.20 per share was a significant discount to the $3.46 level it traded at prior to the raising.

The company's shares are significantly underperforming the S&P/ASX 200 Index (INDEXASX: XJO) this year which is up 20.37%.

Costa is far from the only agriculture stock to be under pressure in 2019. Graincorp Ltd (ASX: GNC) shares are down 8.08% in 2019 as headwinds grow for the Aussie agriculture sector.

The drought conditions across large parts of Australia have hurt agriculture yields, while a significant debt burden continues to weigh on Costa shares.

Will the company's shares bounce back next year?

In short, I don't think there will be a strong rebound next year.

Costa shares have been almost in freefall for much of 2019 and the conditions aren't looking good in 2020. There's no sign of an end in the drought conditions and slower earnings growth that has caused the share price drop in the first place.

I don't think there are many great value ASX agriculture stocks on the market at the moment. I'd instead be looking towards the healthcare or energy sectors for value in 2020.

Motley Fool contributor Kenneth Hall has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia owns shares of and has recommended COSTA GRP FPO. We Fools may not all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Share Fallers

A young man clasps his hand to his head with his eyes closed and a pained expression on his face as he clasps a laptop computer in front of him, seemingly learning of bad news or a poor investment.
Share Fallers

Why Chalice Mining, Cleanaway, Kogan, and Perpetual shares are sinking today

These ASX shares are having a tough time on Wednesday. But why?

Read more »

man grimaces next to falling stock graph
Share Fallers

Why did this ASX 100 stock just crash 11%?

Cleanaway shares have been on a crazy roller-coaster over the past 24 hours.

Read more »

A woman with a sad face looks to be receiving bad news on her phone as she holds it in her hands and looks down at it.
Share Fallers

Why Brambles, Lifestyle Communities, Northern Star, and Select Harvests shares are sinking

These shares are having a tough session. But why?

Read more »

A man sits in despair at his computer with his hands either side of his head, staring into the screen with a pained and anguished look on his face, in a home office setting.
Share Fallers

Why Cettire, DroneShield, St Barbara, and Star shares are dropping today

These ASX shares are having a tough time on Monday. But why?

Read more »

Woman in dress sitting in chair looking depressed
Consumer Staples & Discretionary Shares

Cettire share price plunges 6% after major investor pulls the plug

A 'red flag' triggered this investment company to sell out completely.

Read more »

A skydiving man in a jester hat and carrying a burger and sauce, pokes out his tongue at the camera, indicating all is not lost when you're falling.
Technology Shares

Why is the Droneshield share price crashing 19% on Monday?

Investors are sending shares in Droneshield down 19% in morning trade.

Read more »

A male investor wearing a blue shirt looks off to the side with a miffed look on his face as the share price declines.
Share Fallers

Why COG, Karoon Energy, Netwealth, and Pilbara Minerals shares are dropping today

These ASX shares are ending the week deep in the red. But why?

Read more »

A woman with a sad face looks to be receiving bad news on her phone as she holds it in her hands and looks down at it.
Share Fallers

Why Evolution Mining, Karoon Energy, ResMed, and Sayona Mining shares are dropping today

These ASX shares are having a tough session. But why?

Read more »