The Motley Fool

How much should you pay for ASX dividend shares?

If you cast your mind back a few years, ASX dividend shares were normally lumped in with the ‘value’ stocks department of the ASX. Dividend shares were often some of the cheapest shares on the ASX – little prospect of significant capital growth was compensated for by high yields, making retirees and other income focused investors happy.

But things started to change when the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) began their current dovish cycle of easing interest rates back in early 2012. Interest rates had reached ‘emergency lows’ in the aftermath of the GFC but had slowly begun climbing again between 2009 and 2012 before the European debt crisis and sluggish domestic growth prompted the RBA to again reverse course. 2012 proved to be the highest point the cash rate reached post-GFC to date (4.75%) before the subsequent landslide of rate cuts led to the record low rate of 0.75% we see today.

What does this have to do with ASX dividends?

Well, the cash rate directly affects what kind of yield you can get from fixed-interest investments like bonds and term deposits – the main reason why a term deposit today is only slightly better than a mattress for keeping cash.

Investors who used to rely on these investments for income increasingly have to turn to dividend paying shares or property to make up the difference. Both of these investments are a lot riskier than bonds or term deposits, so the market seems to have developed a new pricing mechanism for dividend shares. Those with yields deemed ‘safest’ (commonly called ‘bond proxies’) are now commanding a significant premium on the ASX over other ‘less reliable’ dividend shares.

This (in my opinion) partly explains why the Transurban Group (ASX: TCL) share price has risen 92% over the past five years and has a current price to earnings (P/E) ratio of 220. Ditto with the Sydney Airport Holdings Pty Ltd (ASX: SYD) share price – 93.56% over the same period and a current P/E ratio of 49.

So how much should you pay for ASX dividend shares today?

If you rely on dividend income, then as long as you can lock in Transurban’s 4% yield, maybe it doesn’t matter what price you pay (as long as the traffic volume holds up in Sydney’s toll-roads). But be sure to do your research and ensure that the company’s earnings base is indeed as robust as everyone says – after all, Warren Buffett likes to say that you only get to see who’s swimming naked when the tide goes out.

So on that note, I would humbly recommend taking a look at some of our favourite dividend shares here!

NEW! Top 3 Dividend Bets for 2019

With interest rates likely to stay at rock bottom for months (or YEARS) to come, income-minded investors have nowhere to turn... except dividend shares. That’s why The Motley Fool’s top analysts have just prepared a brand-new report, laying out their top 3 dividend bets for 2019.

Hint: These are 3 shares you’ve probably never come across before.

They’re not the banks. Not Woolies or Wesfarmers or any of the “usual suspects.”

We think these 3 shares offer solid growth prospects over the next 12 months. Each of these three companies boasts fully franked yields and could be a great fit for your diversified portfolio. You’ll discover all three names and codes in "The Motley Fool’s Top 3 Dividend Shares for 2019."

Even better, your copy is free when you click the link below. Fair warning: This report is brand new and may not be available forever. Click the link below to be among the first investors to get access to this timely, important new research!

The names of these top 3 dividend bets are all included. But you will have to hurry. Depending on demand – and how quickly the share prices of these companies move – we may be forced to remove this report.

Click here to claim your free copy right now!

Motley Fool contributor Sebastian Bowen has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia owns shares of and has recommended Sydney Airport Holdings Limited and Transurban Group. We Fools may not all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

NEW. Five Cheap and Good Stocks to Buy in 2019…

Our Motley Fool experts have just released a brand new FREE report, detailing 5 dirt cheap shares that you can buy today.

One stock is an Australian internet darling with a rock solid reputation and an exciting new business line that promises years (or even decades) of growth… while trading at an ultra-low price…

Another is a diversified conglomerate trading near a 52-week low all while offering a 2.8% fully franked yield…

Plus 3 more cheap bets that could position you to profit over the next 12 months!

See for yourself now. Simply click the link below to scoop up your FREE copy and discover all 5 shares. But you will want to hurry – this free report is available for a brief time only.

CLICK HERE FOR YOUR FREE REPORT!