Afterpay share price rises above $32 – is it a buy?

The Afterpay Touch Group Ltd (ASX:APT) share price has gone above $32, is it time to buy?

| More on:
a woman

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

The Afterpay Touch Touch Group Ltd (ASX: APT) share price has nudged just over $32 again this afternoon for the second time this week.

It has been quite an incredible fortnight for the buy now, pay later operator. Since the start of last Monday the Afterpay share price has risen by around 33%. It was the impressive FY19 result that caused the surge in the share price.

If you didn't see it, Afterpay's global underlying sales rose by 140% to $5.2 billion with an annual run-rate in excess of $7.2 billion – suggesting growth of another 38% even if there's no further growth for the rest of FY20.

Active customers rose by 130% to 4.6 million, with 5.2 million at the time of the report. It's adding over 12,500 new customers a day. Active merchants grew by 101% to 32,300 with 35,300 when the FY19 result was published.

Afterpay's growth seems very impressive when you consider how large the numbers already were that Afterpay was growing from in FY18.

The most exciting things for me from the report was that the US growth continues at a very fast pace. Even better was that 200,000 UK customers had been on-boarded in the first 15 weeks, higher than the US at the same time after launching.

But Afterpay isn't growing at all costs. The BNPL company said that gross losses reduced to 1.1% in FY19 from 1.5% in FY18. That's how it was able to generate, according to Afterpay, underlying free cashflow of $33.3 million and pro forma earnings before interest, tax, depreciation and amortisation (EBITDA) before significant items of $33.3 million.

Foolish takeaway

Afterpay's growth is impressive. It's now trading at 115x FY21's estimated earnings. I'm still unsure of how profitable Afterpay can be once it has reached maturity in the US and the UK. Will its market share be chipped away if there are other large competitors like Zip Co Ltd (ASX: Z1P) offering similar or better terms to shoppers and/or merchants? Only time will tell.

Tristan Harrison has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. owns shares of ZIPCOLTD FPO. The Motley Fool Australia owns shares of AFTERPAY T FPO. We Fools may not all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Growth Shares

Man flies flat above city skyline with rocket strapped to back
Growth Shares

2 ASX growth stocks set to skyrocket in the next 12 months

Analysts are predicting returns of 80% to 130% from these stocks.

Read more »

a young woman raises her hands in joyful celebration as she sits at her computer in a home environment.
Growth Shares

3 underappreciated ASX growth shares I would buy with $1,000

Not all growth opportunities are obvious at first glance. These three ASX shares have earnings potential that may be underappreciated.

Read more »

US navy ship at sea.
Growth Shares

Another record in sight? Why this ASX defence stock is back in rally mode

EOS shares surge toward fresh highs as defence spending accelerates and a key South Korean contract decision looms.

Read more »

A happy boy with his dad dabs like a hero while his father checks his phone.
Growth Shares

5 of the best ASX growth shares to buy and hold

Analysts are bullish on these growth shares. Let's find out why.

Read more »

A woman sends a paper plane soaring into the sky at dusk.
Growth Shares

2 ASX 200 shares to buy and hold for 10 years

Both stocks offer credible paths to wealth creation.

Read more »

Man on a ladder drawing an increasing line on a chalk board symbolising a rising share price.
Growth Shares

2 ASX shares to buy and hold for the next decade

These businesses have a lot of growth potential ahead…

Read more »

A young man pointing up looking amazed, indicating a surging share price movement for an ASX company
Growth Shares

Why these ASX 200 shares could still have major upside in 2026

Brokers think these shares could rise 20% to 45% in 2026.

Read more »

A businessman looking at his digital tablet or strategy planning in hotel conference lobby. He is happy at achieving financial goals.
Growth Shares

How I'd look for ASX growth shares today that could double my money

It might not be as hard as you think to achieve this.

Read more »