Iron ore crackdown: Why the ASX miners are set to take a hit this morning

ASX miners like BHP Group Ltd (ASX: BHP) look set to open lower this morning.

| More on:
a woman

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

ASX mining companies look set to open the week lower on news that the Chinese government is preparing to crack down on record iron ore prices. According to the AFR, the "relevant department in the Chinese government was investigating the price hikes in the first six months of the current year." Beijing is looking into 'irregularities' in the sharp price rises that iron ore has experienced over 2019 so far.

How did China's announcement impact the Aussie miners?

Although the ASX had closed for the week when the announcement was made, shares of the UK-traded ASX mining giants BHP Group Ltd (ASX: BHP) and Rio Tinto Limited (ASX: RIO) fell 2.8% and 3,8% respectively, on the London exchange on Friday.

Further to this, there are now expectations that China's previously insatiable appetite for iron ore may be reaching a peak as a slowdown in GDP growth as well as the ongoing US–China trade war continues to bite, sapping consumer and business confidence in the world's second largest economy.

Falling iron ore exports 

Last week, a Department of Industry, Innovation and Science report stated that the government was cutting its 2019 forecast for iron ore exports to 814 million tonnes from its March forecast of 867 million tonnes. This would be the first time since 2001 that iron ore export volumes have fallen, although current prices are likely to still leave the mining companies with record profits for the year.

The share prices of BHP, Rio and Fortescue Metals Group Ltd (ASX: FMG) are likely to be very sensitive to any negative news as all companies have just come off new 52-week highs on the back of the galloping iron ore prices that 2019 has seen so far, and are all at or above 5-year highs. There may be significant profit-taking at this news and shares are likely to trade lower at this morning's market open.

Motley Fool contributor Sebastian Bowen has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. We Fools may not all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Resources Shares

Female miner in hard hat and safety vest on laptop with mining drill in background.
Resources Shares

Lynas share price slides on rare earths revenue headwinds

ASX 200 investors are pressuring the Lynas share price today.

Read more »

Man in yellow hard hat looks through binoculars as man in white hard hat stands behind him and points.
Resources Shares

What stage in the cycle are ASX iron ore shares (and are they a buy)?

Are iron ore miners closer to the end or beginning of the boom-bust cycle?

Read more »

A mining worker wearing a white hardhat and a high vis vest stands on a platform overlooking a huge mine, thinking about what comes next.
Resources Shares

Is BHP stock a good long-term investment?

Here's my view on whether the miner is worth owning for the long-term.

Read more »

Three miners looking at a tablet.
Resources Shares

Own ASX mining shares? Experts say an upswing in commodity prices has begun

HSBC economists Paul Bloxham and Jamie Culling explain why global commodity prices are rising.

Read more »

Open copper pipes
Resources Shares

ASX copper stocks in the spotlight as the red metal soars to 2-year highs

The copper price is up 15% in 2024. Can the red metal’s bull run continue?

Read more »

Woman in yellow hard hat and gloves puts both thumbs down
Resources Shares

4 ASX mining shares being hammered on quarterly updates

These mining shares are having a difficult session.

Read more »

Miner looking at a tablet.
Resources Shares

Here is the dividend forecast to 2028 for Fortescue shares

The potential dividend payments from Fortescue could surprise you.

Read more »

Female miner smiling at a mine site.
Share Gainers

Up 834% in a year, guess which ASX mining stock is hitting new all-time highs today

The ASX mining stock has gone from strength to strength over the past year.

Read more »