Is it 'better buy Bega' after its share price drops 34% in a year?

The Bega Cheese Ltd (ASX: BGA) share price has dropped 34% in a year – what's behind the fall and are these shares now a buy on the ASX?

| More on:

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

Blessed are the cheese makers, those mythical alchemists who conjure little wheels of heaven to have with our wine and crackers. With that in mind, let's talk about Bega Cheese Ltd (ASX: BGA).

a woman

What does Bega do?

Bega is a diversified food company producing some of Australia's most famous brands. Besides a range of cheeses, there's peanut butter, dips, mayo and dressings, and since 2017 they have been the custodians of our national spread, Vegemite. Investors will have been disappointed with the 34.72% decline in share value over the past 52 weeks, and I'm curious to understand what's been going on.

What's going on with the Bega share price?

Is it the cheese? The peanut butter? Surely it can't be the vegemite. Onward, cheese curious readers – let's explore this some more.

Bega is currently trading on the ASX at $4.76, when a year ago it was trading at $7.41. It peaked at $8.81 in July 2018 before the trendline headed downward, settling in around the $4.30–$5.30 mark for the past couple of months. The company issues a fully franked dividend of 11 cents per share (2.26% dividend yield).

Looking back at its half-yearly reporting, there were some challenges facing management. These included the price of milk and a decreased peanut supply driving up the costs of making peanut butter. There were some green shoots coming through, with revenue up 6% and the purchase of some key assets, including Saputo's Koroit milk processing facility, as well as the decommissioning of others. You can see that the company is aiming to lay the groundwork for some sustainable growth. From the outside you get a sense that there's been significant change within the organisation and, to be fair, it can take more time than investors would like to fully integrate change strategies across a company with more than 2,000 employees.

We can't talk about Bega without mentioning the long running legal dispute with Kraft Foods over the design and packaging of peanut butter products. Last month, Bega finally (and successfully) was able to put these actions to rest. The day the Federal Court made its ruling, investors cheered and rewarded the company with a 9% increase in share value. Yet, here we are almost exactly two months later with Bega trading 10.1% lower at $4.76.

It's fair to say that the conclusion of these legal issues wasn't quite enough to kick off some sustained upward momentum, but it should provide some clear air for the company to focus on settling some growing pains and bedding down the changes.

I'm cautiously optimistic that Bega, with its iconic brands, can bounce back and considering today's share price it just might be worth purchasing yourself a wedge of shares.

Motley Fool contributor JWoodward has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. We Fools may not all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Share Fallers

Bored man sitting at his desk with his laptop.
Share Fallers

Why Appen, Catalyst Metals, South32, and Woolworths shares are sinking today

These shares are having a poor session on Thursday. What's going on?

Read more »

A man in a business suit hangs in mid air facing the floor as he plunges to the ground.
Share Fallers

Why Appen shares just crashed 28% despite a return to growth

Appen shares tank 28% as the quarterly update rattles investors.

Read more »

An older man wearing glasses and a pink shirt sits back on his lounge with his hands behind his head and blowing air out of his cheeks.
Share Fallers

Why Catalyst Metals, G8 Education, Meteoric Resources, and Westgold shares are falling today

These shares are having a tough time on hump day. But why?

Read more »

ASX share investor sitting with a laptop on a desk, pondering something.
Share Fallers

CSL shares crash to a 9-year low. Is it time to sell off my shares?

What's next for the beaten-down ASX biotech stock?

Read more »

A woman with a sad face looks to be receiving bad news on her phone as she holds it in her hands and looks down at it.
Share Fallers

Why Beach Energy, Domino's, Origin Energy, and Pantoro Gold shares are dropping today

Why are these shares under pressure? Let's find out.

Read more »

Frustrated and shocked business woman reading bad news online from phone.
Gold

Why is this $1.5 billion ASX 200 gold stock tumbling 8% today?

Still up 31% in a year, this ASX 200 gold stock is getting hammered today. But why?

Read more »

A male investor wearing a blue shirt looks off to the side with a miffed look on his face as the share price declines.
Share Fallers

Why Cochlear, Karoon Energy, Origin Energy, and WiseTech shares are falling today

These shares are starting the week in the red. Let's find out why.

Read more »

An arrow crashes through the ground as a businessman watches on.
Share Fallers

After falling 43% in a week, are Cochlear shares now a buy?

Is this drop a warning sign?

Read more »