AfterPay share price: Buy, hold, sell?

AfterPay's (ASX: APT) US business is growing like nuts.

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

The AfterPay Touch Group Ltd (ASX: APT) share price is down 1.7% to $22.94 this morning after shedding over 4% yesterday, although zooming out it remains in a strong long-term uptrend.

There could be any number of reasons behind the share price falls including the simple share market maxim that there's more sellers than buyers.

But why are there more sellers than buyers?

Possible reasons include market concerns over disclosure around the structure of its U.S. business reported in an article in the Fairfax Media, although as I explained in an article yesterday, AfterPay's share-based payments to employees are no secret.

The AFR did highlight that AfterPay may end up issuing up to another 21.7 million shares, although AfterPay notes in its own announcement that this would be the maximum amount issued if the U.S. business heavily outperforms the Australian business for example.

As such its performance linked – so as an investor it's important to remember that if the U.S. business shoots the lights out the share price gains are likely to be such that (most) shareholders won't be complaining about the issue of additional shares.

Moreover, you can't get something for nothing. Therefore any fast-growing start-up that wants to attract and retain top talent to grow its business will need to remunerate staff well, otherwise they could go and work for any number of other high-paying tech companies in the US.

It's also worth noting that if you look through the accounts of any number of junior tech businesses in the U.S. such as Alteryx, MongoDB or Twilio you'll see huge share-based payments to employees are run of the mill. While digressing slightly, it's also worth noting that the likes of Alteryx and MongoDB may have much wider moats or competitive advantages than AfterPay.

However, if anyone does know of a fast-growing tech start-up so brilliant and with such a wide moat it doesn't even need to pay its staff please do let me know the trading ticker.

a woman

Foolish takeaway

Even if AfterPay dished out $18.1 million in share-based payments to employees over the six months to December 31 2019, with this number likely to balloon again, it might be worth taking a glass half full approach to the issue.

As at the end of the day it's AfterPay's operating performance that will determine where its valuation ends up over the long term.

As I've written before, I'd rate the stock a hold at this kind of valuation.

Motley Fool contributor Tom Richardson owns shares of AFTERPAY T FPO, Twilio, Alteryx and MongoDB. You can find Tom on Twitter @tommyr345 The Motley Fool Australia owns shares of AFTERPAY T FPO. We Fools may not all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Share Market News

A smiling young surf life saver at the beach shouts out on a megaphone.
Share Market News

Why is everyone talking about Sandfire, Bendigo Bank, and DroneShield shares on Thursday?

Bendigo Bank, Sandfire and, and DroneShield shares are grabbing ASX investor interest today. But why?

Read more »

A woman sits at her computer with her hand to her mouth and a contemplative smile on her face as she reads about the performance of Allkem shares on her computer
Broker Notes

What is this broker's view on Magellan Financial Group after yesterday's disappointing results

Where to next for this funds manager?

Read more »

A woman is excited as she reads the latest rumour on her phone.
Broker Notes

This ASX industrials stock could be set to double according to one broker

This ASX small-cap could be one to keep an eye on.

Read more »

Shot of a young scientist looking stressed out while working on a computer in a lab.
Broker Notes

What's Bell Potter's updated view on CSL shares?

Will the new tariffs impact CSL according to Bell Potter?

Read more »

A man clenches his fists with glee having seen the share price go up on the computer screen in front of him.
BNPL shares

Are Zip shares still a buy after soaring 20%

Zip shares are now 67% higher than this time 12 months ago.

Read more »

A male ASX 200 broker wearing a blue shirt and black tie holds one hand to his chin with the other arm crossed across his body as he watches stock prices on a digital screen while deep in thought
Share Market News

5 things to watch on the ASX 200 on Thursday

Here's what to expect on the local market today.

Read more »

Smiling man sits in front of a graph on computer while using his mobile phone.
Broker Notes

Top brokers name 3 ASX shares to buy today

Here's what brokers are recommending as buys this week.

Read more »

a group of business people sit dejectedly around a table, each expressing desolation, sadness and disappointment by holding their head in their hands, casting their gazes down and looking very glum.
Share Fallers

DroneShield shares tumble 17% as CEO exit revives leadership fears

Investors bank gains as DroneShield leadership reset unsettles sentiment...

Read more »