Here's why Goldmans is neutral on the Coca-Cola Amatil share price

Coca-Cola Amatil Ltd (ASX: CCL): Buy, hold, sell?

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

a woman

The Coca-Cola Amatil Ltd (ASX: CCL) share price is down around 14% over the past 5 years as the group struggles to lift sales and margins amidst a potentially structural shift in consumer tastes away from fizzy drinks considered to be unhealthy.

Coca-Cola reports on a calendar year basis and for 2018 reported a net profit down 37% to $279 million on sales revenue up 1.1% to $4,752 million.

The group also flagged that 2019 is expected to be another "transition" year which is a corporate euphemism for potentially falling earnings again, before it targets a return to mid-single-digit earnings per share growth from 2020.

Analysts at Goldman Sachs are less than enthused about the business putting a 'neutral' rating on it and 12-month share price target of $8.30, which is a touch above today's $8.38 exchange traded price.

Goldmans and the company have both identified further cost savings as a potential positive for the business, with less competition and discounting by competitors such as Pepsi also offering possible upside according to the analysts.

Risks include the well-known structural shift of consumers away from its core Coke product and continued margin pressure across all of its products.

I'm not a buyer of Coca-Cola shares, with the medium-term risks to sales plain to see.

Motley Fool contributor Tom Richardson has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. You can find Tom on Twitter @tommyr345 The Motley Fool Australia has recommended Coca-Cola Amatil Limited. We Fools may not all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Share Market News

5 mini houses on a pile of coins.
Opinions

2 ASX shares I'd much rather buy than an investment property

Certain ASX shares can offer exposure to real estate with more income potential.

Read more »

A man holding a cup of coffee puts his thumb up and smiles with a laptop open.
Broker Notes

Top brokers name 3 ASX shares to buy next week

Brokers gave buy ratings to these ASX shares last week. Why are they bullish?

Read more »

A man in a business suit rides a graphic image of an arrow that is rebounding on a graph.
Broker Notes

Down 43% this week, are Cochlear shares now the best bargain buy of the year?

A leading analyst believes the historic selloff in Cochlear shares could present a unique buying opportunity.

Read more »

A businessman wears armour and holds a shield and sword.
Share Market News

Nervous investors turn to ASX 200 defensives as global energy shock drags on

ASX investors sought safety in defensive sectors last week.

Read more »

A smiling woman at a hardware shop selects paint colours from a wall display.
Broker Notes

Wesfarmers shares: Buy, hold or sell?

A leading analyst delivers his verdict on Wesfarmers shares.

Read more »

An arrow crashes through the ground as a businessman watches on.
Share Fallers

After falling 43% in a week, are Cochlear shares now a buy?

Is this drop a warning sign?

Read more »

Businessman working and using Digital Tablet new business project finance investment at coffee cafe.
Broker Notes

Buy, hold, sell: Cochlear, CSL, and DroneShield shares

Are these hugely popular shares in the buy zone or not? Let's find out.

Read more »

Man holding out $50 and $100 notes in his hands, symbolising ex dividend.
Share Market News

How much do I need to invest in ASX shares to earn a $500 monthly passive income?

A $500 per month passive income is more achievable than you'd think.

Read more »