Even the McGrath CEO is panicked by the Sydney property price outlook

This morning Mcgrath Ltd (ASX: MEA) reported its half-year results for the period ending December 31 2018. Below is a summary …

| More on:

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

This morning Mcgrath Ltd (ASX: MEA) reported its half-year results for the period ending December 31 2018. Below is a summary of the results with comparisons to the prior corresponding half.

  • Revenue of $42.5 million, down 18%
  • Statutory loss of $9.6m
  • Adjusted net loss of $3.3m, compared to $1.8m
  • Underlying EBITDA loss of $2.5m, down from $1.6m
  • Q2 underlying EBITDA loss of $600k, versus $1.9m in Q1
  • No debt and $16.5 million cash on hand

This was another disappointing result for the Sydney-focused estate agent and leasings manager with around $3 million in "one-off" costs being incurred over the half being related to an "onerous contract" for its CRM sales management tool.

An additional intangible asset impairment of $3.4 million was recognised as a result of software development costs previously capitalised.

Companies can expense or capitalise software development costs with the effect of capitalising being an accounting sleight of hand that artificially inflates profit as costs are not taken in full straight away as if expensed.

However, the bottom line is that the cash cost has to come out of the profit and loss statement over time if not immediately.

These kind of large additional IT costs are the last thing needed in the face of Sydney's fast-falling house prices, as listings also fall and rental vacancies turn higher.

McGrath's CEO claimed "settled sales" for Sydney were down 20.3% over the period and 13.3% down nationally in a result to hurt the earnings of estate agents nationally.

a woman

Outlook

The problem for bargain hunters eyeing up McGrath's 26 cents share price is that its CEO warned EBITDA guidance for the second half of FY 2019 may have to be downgraded due to challenging property market conditions, lower listings, average selling prices, and an expectation that they're unlikely to improve due to a number of factors including upcoming NSW and Federal elections.

Uh oh, when the estate agent's own CEO is warning on property market conditions you know they must be tough, as usually agents like to talk up the market no matter what.

McGrath shares IPO'd at $2.10 in December 2015 near the peak of the Sydney property bull market in an outcome that richly rewarded the insiders that sold significant stakes in the business.

Since then share price has lost 88% of its value and is likely to tread water until we see a return to stronger property markets and a lessening of what is ferocious and margin-eating competition among different agencies.

The saving grace is a decent balance sheet with no debt and $16.5 million cash in hand.

Motley Fool contributor Tom Richardson has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. You can find Tom on Twitter @tommyr345 The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. We Fools may not all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on 52-Week Lows

Red arrow going down on a chart, symbolising a falling share price.
52-Week Lows

2 ASX shares near 52-week lows I'd buy today

I think these ASX shares are very undervalued!

Read more »

Buy now written on a red key with a shopping trolley on an Apple keyboard.
52-Week Lows

2 ASX shares near 52-week lows I'd buy today

I think these businesses are far too cheap.

Read more »

Frustrated and shocked businesswoman reading bad news online from phone.
52-Week Lows

2 quality ASX 200 shares at 52-week lows to buy now

I like using market pullbacks to revisit companies with strong positions and long-term demand.

Read more »

A stressed businessman sits next to his briefcase with his head in his hands, while the ASX boards behind him show shares crashing.
52-Week Lows

These ASX tech stocks are crashing. Buy or bail?

The market is bearish. Analysts aren't so sure.

Read more »

Man on computer looking at graphs.
Technology Shares

Xero shares just crashed to COVID-era lows. Is this ASX 200 tech stock broken?

This ASX 200 tech stock has crashed to multi-year lows.

Read more »

A bored man sits at his desk, flat after seeing the latest news on the share market.
Real Estate Shares

REA shares fall 43% to a three-year low. Is it time to buy?

REA Group shares have fallen even further into the red on Tuesday morning.

Read more »

A man in a business suit hangs in mid air facing the floor as he plunges to the ground.
Technology Shares

WiseTech shares crash 12% as founder scandal deepens

This former market darling is under pressure again.

Read more »

A man sitting at a computer is blown away by what he's seeing on the screen, hair and tie whooshing back as he screams argh in panic.
Bank Shares

NAB shares sink to 52-week low, are they in the buy zone?

This big four bank's shares are hitting a new low on Tuesday.

Read more »