This embattled S&P/ASX 200 mining stock is surging back to favour today

This underperfroming S&P/ASX 200 (Index:^AXJO) (ASX:XJO) miner could be on a comeback in 2019 as its latest update gave investors reasons to cheer.

| More on:
a woman

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

The embattled Lynas Corporation Ltd (ASX: LYC) share price could be at a turning point as shares in the rare earth miner surged on the back of its latest quarterly production report.

The LYC share price jumped 4.3% to $1.67 in morning trade and is the best performing miner on the S&P/ASX 200 (Index:^AXJO) (ASX:XJO) at the time of writing.

In contrast, the heavyweights of the industry like the BHP Group Ltd (ASX: BHP) share price, Rio Tinto Limited (ASX: RIO) share price and Fortescue Metals Group Limited (ASX: FMG) share price retreated despite a jump in the iron ore price.

But even with the big morning rally, Lynas' share price is still 18% in the hole over the past year even as most of our mining giants have outperformed the market.

Quarterly update

What this means is that there is more room for Lynas to re-rate and it's December quarter production update seems to be putting the stock on the right path as it eased concerns over the future of its Malaysian operations.

Its update didn't look like anything to get excited about at first blush with sales revenue for the quarter coming in at $79.9 million. That's weaker than the $93 million it posted for the same period last year and the $105.6 million it delivered in the previous quarter.

A drop in the price of Neodymium and Praseodymium (NdPr) was to blame as the average selling price fell 47% from the previous quarter to $14.50 per kilogram.

However, Lynas' ability to produce 600 tonnes of NdPr for the second consecutive month in October 2018 is giving investors confidence in the company's operations.

Not all about the numbers

Lynas also gave an update on its regulator challenge in Malaysia after the new government appointed a review committee to take a look at its plant amid criticisms that the facility posed a threat to the environment and workers' health and safety.

The committee undertook extensive visits to the plant and found that it complied with applicable laws, did not breach its operating license and posed a low risk.

But Lynas isn't out of the woods yet. The Malaysian government is imposing two new conditions on the company before it will renew the miner's operating license which expires on September 2, 2019.

Foolish takeaway

Lynas is appealing one of the conditions that requires it to export its Water Leach Purification residue before its license expires. Management confirmed its still in discussions with Malaysian authorities on this matter.

It's hard to predict the regulatory outcome and this means investing in Lynas is only suited for those with a strong stomach.

Regulatory risks aside, Lynas looks like it has a bright future as NdPr production is controlled by the Chinese government and many global users of rare earths see Lynas as one of the few viable ways to overcome China's stranglehold on the industry.

Motley Fool contributor Brendon Lau owns shares of BHP Billiton Limited, Fortescue Metals Group Limited, and Rio Tinto Ltd. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. We Fools may not all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Share Gainers

rising gold share price represented by a green arrow on piles of gold block
Share Gainers

Here are the top 10 ASX 200 shares today

It was a horrible way to end the trading week today for ASX investors.

Read more »

Female miner smiling at a mine site.
Share Gainers

Up 834% in a year, guess which ASX mining stock is hitting new all-time highs today

The ASX mining stock has gone from strength to strength over the past year.

Read more »

Man drawing an upward line on a bar graph symbolising a rising share price.
Share Gainers

Why Fiducian Group, Northern Star, Paradigm, and Santos shares are charging higher

These shares are avoiding the market selloff.

Read more »

Man pointing at a blue rising share price graph.
Financial Shares

How is this ASX 200 financial stock popping 6% today?

This lucky company has just swung into the green in 2024...

Read more »

a man raises his fists to the air in joyous celebration while learning some exciting good news via his computer screen in an office setting.
Share Gainers

Why BHP, Challenger, Rio Tinto, and Telix shares are pushing higher today

These ASX shares are having a strong session. But why?

Read more »

rising gold share price represented by a green arrow on piles of gold block
Share Gainers

Here are the top 10 ASX 200 shares today

The ASX 200 kept up the selling this Wednesday, with another day in the red.

Read more »

Green arrow going up on a stock market chart, symbolising a rising share price.
Share Gainers

Why Bank of Queensland, DroneShield, Evolution Mining, and Lynas shares are storming higher today

These ASX shares are having a very strong session on hump day.

Read more »

A man wearing a red jacket and mountain hiking clothes stands at the top of a mountain peak and looks out over countless mountain ranges.
Share Gainers

Here are the top 10 ASX 200 shares today

It was mayhem on the markets today, with one of the worst days in a long time for ASX shares.

Read more »