Why you should own this ASX growth share instead of Afterpay

I think it would be better to own Bapcor Ltd (ASX:BAP) shares rather than Afterpay Touch Group Ltd (ASX:APT) shares.

| More on:
a woman

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

I think there are some ASX growth shares that would be better buys than owning Afterpay Touch Group Ltd (ASX: APT), such as Bapcor Ltd (ASX: BAP).

Bapcor is the largest auto parts business in Australia and New Zealand with its nationwide chains of Autobarns and Burson.

Here are some reasons why I think Bapcor is a better growth pick compared to Afterpay:

Defensive earnings

Most of Afterpay's underlying sales are related to discretionary spending, like fashion retailing, which could falter in Australia goes through a downturn. An economic dip would also likely lead to a higher rate of consumers missing repayments to Afterpay.

Whereas Bapcor's main source of earnings is Burson, which supplies parts to mechanics. Car servicing and repairs continue all through economic cycles. Indeed, people are likely to want their cars to last longer in a downturn rather than buy a new one so demand for Bapcor's products could actually increase.

International growth

One of the main reasons that investors are attracted to Afterpay is its international growth plans in the US and UK. Over the long-term these plans may be worthwhile but at the start Afterpay has to run up some losses to get traction.

Bapcor has its own international growth plans too. It is opening Bursons in Thailand, where there's a much larger human and car population than Australia. Bapcor has called this division 'Asia', not just 'Thailand', which suggests this segment could grow to other Asian countries. This could be a long-term growth tailwind

Profitable

In FY18 Afterpay reported a multi-million dollar loss, whereas Bapcor reported an underlying profit of just over $86 million.

It's much easier to appreciate a business when it's been profitable for a number of years and is paying out a growing dividend. Being profitable means you don't have to worry (as much) about burning through cash nor needing to capital raise.

Valuation

Afterpay does plan on making a profit in the future, I'm not suggesting it's not a buy at all. But if all goes well and it hits analyst estimates for profit in a couple of years, it's still trading at more than 100x FY20's earnings.

Bapcor generated continuing earnings per share (EPS) of around 31 cents in FY18, which means it's trading at under 20x FY18's earnings and management have predicted further profit growth this year.

Foolish takeaway

Afterpay may be an excellent business to own over the next decade, but over the next two years I think Bapcor could be the better one to own due to its attractive valuation and growth prospects.

Motley Fool contributor Tristan Harrison owns shares of Bapcor. The Motley Fool Australia owns shares of and has recommended Bapcor. The Motley Fool Australia owns shares of AFTERPAY T FPO. We Fools may not all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Share Market News

A senior couple discusses a share trade they are making on a laptop computer
Share Market News

Dalrymple Bay Infrastructure locks in $1.07 billion refinancing and lower debt costs

Dalrymple Bay Infrastructure seals a $1.07 billion refinancing, lowers interest costs and strengthens its funding position.

Read more »

Three guys in shirts and ties give the thumbs down.
Broker Notes

Experts name 3 popular 200 ASX shares to sell now

Let's find out why analysts are feeling bearish about these shares.

Read more »

Five happy miners standing next to each other representing ASX coal mining shares which some brokers say could pay big dividends this year
Broker Notes

7 ASX mining shares to buy for Christmas amid upgrades from Macquarie

Macquarie has boosted its outlook for these seven ASX mining stocks. Let’s see why.

Read more »

A man in a business suit scratches his head looking at a graph that started high then dips, then starts to go up again like a rollercoaster.
Healthcare Shares

Is Sigma Healthcare share a healthy buy, after hitting new lows?

The Chemist Warehouse merger and ageing population might boost this stock's appeal.

Read more »

A male ASX 200 broker wearing a blue shirt and black tie holds one hand to his chin with the other arm crossed across his body as he watches stock prices on a digital screen while deep in thought
Share Market News

5 things to watch on the ASX 200 on Tuesday

Here's what to expect on the Australian share market today.

Read more »

Man looking at digital holograms of graphs, charts, and data.
Share Market News

This new ASX stock has returned 70% since January

This new stock might get a lot of attention...

Read more »

A female CSL investor looking happy holds a big fan of Australian cash notes in her hand representing strong dividends being paid to her
Opinions

2 strong Australian stocks to buy now with $10,000

These businesses have a strong outlook for long-term growth.

Read more »

A neon sign says 'Top Ten'.
Share Gainers

Here are the top 10 ASX 200 shares today

It was a Garfield kind of Monday for investors.

Read more »