Morgan Stanley thinks these two S&P/ASX 200 shares are about to rally

Don't mind the market drop. The outlook for equities isn't as dire as the recent share price falls suggests and there are two large cap stocks that are about to take-off, according to Morgan Stanley.

| More on:
a woman

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

Don't mind the market drop. The outlook for equities isn't as dire as the recent share price falls suggests and there are two large cap stocks that are about to take-off, according to Morgan Stanley.

That contrarian call comes as the S&P/ASX 200 (Index:^AXJO) (ASX: XJO) index tumbled 1.2% in the last hour of trade with online property classifieds Domain Holdings Australia Ltd (ASX: DHG), consumer finance group Afterpay Touch Group Ltd (ASX: APT) and building materials supplier CSR Limited (ASX: CSR) leading the falls.

But Morgan Stanley thinks this is a great time to be loading up on investment services group Link Administration Holdings Ltd (ASX: LNK) and global packaging group Amcor Limited (ASX: AMC).

While the stocks are down between 1% and 2% at the time of writing, the broker believes both shares will outperform the market in the next few weeks.

Link looks enticing after its 14% plunge over the past six months as its outlook has improved considerably.

"Recent data points suggest an improved outlook for Fund Administration revenues – Jobs growth remains strong at +2.5% y/y, while Industry superannuation funds are seeing accelerated inward rollovers from bank-owned retail funds post the Royal Commission," said Morgan Stanley.

"The AUD/GBP has depreciated 7% over the last 2 months, positive for Asset Services earnings and valuation. Balance sheet remains robust with A$300-500m of capacity for acquisitions."

Morgan Stanley sees an 80% probability that Link's share price will rise over the next 30 days and it has an "overweight" recommendation on the stock with a price target of $9 a share.

Meanwhile, Amcor is also well placed to outperform, particularly after management's trading update this week that reaffirmed its FY19 outlook.

"This points to (at least partial) normalisation of constant currency growth after a challenging FY18. Further, board/management commentary suggests limited (if any) risk that the Bemis acquisition deal terms will be altered – a key concern for some investors," said the broker.

Amcor is acquiring US-based Bemis in an all-scrip deal but many were concerned that the 14% dive in Amcor's share price since August would put the deal at risk.

Morgan Stanley estimates that there is a 60% to 70% chance that Amcor will outperform the market over the next 60 days and has an "overweight" rating on the stock with a price target of $15.20 a share.

These aren't the only large caps that are well placed to run ahead. The experts at the Motley Fool have picked three of their favourite blue-chip stocks for FY19 and you can find out what these are by following the free link below.

Motley Fool contributor Brendon Lau owns shares of AFTERPAY T FPO. The Motley Fool Australia owns shares of AFTERPAY T FPO. We Fools may not all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Share Market News

Fancy font saying top ten surrounded by gold leaf set against a dark background of glittering stars.
Share Gainers

Here are the top 10 ASX 200 shares today

It was a rough start to the week for investors.

Read more »

a woman stands with her hand to the side of her head and a sad, slightly distressed look to her expression while holding a large glass of milk in her other hand.
Share Market News

The a2 Milk Company shares fall 11% after responding to an ASX price query

a2 Milk Company confirms no undisclosed news behind its latest share price drop following an ASX price query.

Read more »

CEO of a company looking straight ahead.
Share Market News

Region Group names Greg Chubb as new CEO and Managing Director

Greg Chubb will begin his new roles in March 2026.

Read more »

A man using a phone shouts and puts his hand out in a stop motion indicating the Yancoal trading halt today
Share Market News

The A2 Milk Company in trading halt: What investors should know

The A2 Milk Company shares have increased more than 40% in the past 12 months.

Read more »

Calculator and gold bars on Australian dollars, symbolising dividends.
Share Market News

Gold, silver hit new highs as US punishes Europe with tariffs over Greenland stance

The United States wants to buy Greenland for security purposes.

Read more »

Beautiful young woman drinking fresh orange juice in kitchen.
Share Gainers

Why Catalyst Metals, Lynas, Polynovo, and St George Mining shares are pushing higher today

These shares are starting the week with a bang. But why?

Read more »

A man sits in despair at his computer with his hands either side of his head, staring into the screen with a pained and anguished look on his face, in a home office setting.
Share Fallers

Why Fortescue, Life360, PLS, and Syrah shares are dropping today

These shares are starting the week in the red. But why?

Read more »

A few gold nullets sit on an old-fashioned gold scale, representing ASX gold shares.
Gold

Guess which surging ASX gold share is leaping another 18% today on high-grade results

Investors are piling into this small-cap ASX gold share today. But why?

Read more »