ELMO Software Ltd (ASX:ELO) shares tumble lower despite explosive profit growth

The ELMO Software Ltd (ASX:ELO) share price has tumbled lower despite delivering stellar earnings growth in FY 2018. Here's why…

| More on:

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

a woman

It has been a disappointing day of trade for ELMO Software Ltd (ASX: ELO) share price.

In early afternoon trade the shares of the provider of SaaS, cloud-based HR & payroll solutions are down almost 13% to $6.55 following the release of its full year results.

In FY 2018 ELMO achieved pro forma revenue of $31.9 million and pro forma SaaS revenue of $29.8 million. This beat management's upgraded guidance and meant growth of 36.4% and 37.2%, respectively, on the prior year.

This revenue was driven by the almost doubling of its customer numbers from 524 to 1,045 and a 3.9% increase in average revenue per SaaS customer to $34.50. As you can see below, 93.2% of this revenue is classed as recurring, giving the company a strong foundation to build on in FY 2019.

Source: Company release

The strong sales growth and its expanding margins meant that pro forma EBITDA grew at the even quicker rate of 122.5% to $2.7 million. Including the acquisitions it made this year, EBITDA came in at $5.7 million.

Outlook.

Management has stated that the size of its target market in the ANZ region is ~12,029 organisations, of which it currently has a ~9% share. This total addressable market is estimated to be worth ~$1.7 billion.

The company is expected to win a greater slice of this market this year and management has forecast revenue growing 23.8% to $39.5 million, with SaaS revenue predicted to drive the growth with an increase of 26.8% to $37.8 million.

However, management has only forecast EBITDA of $1.1 million, which may explain why investors have hit the sell button today.

Should you invest?

Although I thought ELMO delivered an impressive full year result today, its guidance for FY 2019 was rather underwhelming and has overshadowed FY 2018's stellar performance.

When the dust settles it might be worth weighing up things and considering another bite at this lower price, but for now I intend to keep my powder dry.

Instead, I will be looking at fellow tech shares Citadel Group Ltd (ASX: CGL) and Megaport Ltd (ASX: MP1).

Motley Fool contributor James Mickleboro has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia owns shares of and has recommended ELMOSFTWRE FPO. The Motley Fool Australia owns shares of Citadel Group Ltd. We Fools may not all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Share Fallers

Frustrated stock trader screaming while looking at mobile phone, symbolising a falling share price.
Share Fallers

Why DroneShield, Hub24, Syrah, and Weebit Nano shares are sinking today

These shares are ending the week in the red. But why?

Read more »

A worried woman sits at her computer with her hands clutched at the bottom of her face.
Share Fallers

These 3 ASX 200 shares have hit fresh multi-year lows: Buy, sell or hold?

One of these stocks has crashed over 50% over the past year alone.

Read more »

A man sits in despair at his computer with his hands either side of his head, staring into the screen with a pained and anguished look on his face, in a home office setting.
Share Fallers

Why Brazilian Rare Earths, L1 Group, Silver Mines, and Xero shares are dropping today

These shares are having a poor session on Thursday. But why?

Read more »

A woman looks nervous and uncertain holding a hand to her chin while looking at a paper cut out of a plane that she's holding in her other hand.
Travel Shares

Qantas stock is down 17.7% in a month. Time to buy?

Qantas is back to April prices.

Read more »

A young man clasps his hand to his head with a pained expression on his face and a laptop in front of him.
Share Fallers

Why Amplitude Energy, Atlas Arteria, Computershare, and Woodside shares are falling today

These shares are falling on hump day. But why?

Read more »

A rueful woman tucks into a sweet pie as she contemplates a decision with regret.
Energy Shares

Why is this ASX 300 energy share crashing 42% on Wednesday?

Investors are pummelling the ASX energy share on Wednesday. But why?

Read more »

Three sky divers 'falling with style'.
Share Fallers

4 ASX All Ords shares at 52-week lows: Buy, hold, or sell?

Three of these stocks have more than halved in value over the past 12 months.

Read more »

A male investor wearing a blue shirt looks off to the side with a miffed look on his face as the share price declines.
Share Fallers

Why DroneShield, Guzman Y Gomez, IAG, and Myer shares are falling today

These shares are out of form on Tuesday. But why?

Read more »