ELMO Software Ltd (ASX:ELO) shares tumble lower despite explosive profit growth

The ELMO Software Ltd (ASX:ELO) share price has tumbled lower despite delivering stellar earnings growth in FY 2018. Here's why…

| More on:
a woman

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

It has been a disappointing day of trade for ELMO Software Ltd (ASX: ELO) share price.

In early afternoon trade the shares of the provider of SaaS, cloud-based HR & payroll solutions are down almost 13% to $6.55 following the release of its full year results.

In FY 2018 ELMO achieved pro forma revenue of $31.9 million and pro forma SaaS revenue of $29.8 million. This beat management's upgraded guidance and meant growth of 36.4% and 37.2%, respectively, on the prior year.

This revenue was driven by the almost doubling of its customer numbers from 524 to 1,045 and a 3.9% increase in average revenue per SaaS customer to $34.50. As you can see below, 93.2% of this revenue is classed as recurring, giving the company a strong foundation to build on in FY 2019.

Source: Company release

The strong sales growth and its expanding margins meant that pro forma EBITDA grew at the even quicker rate of 122.5% to $2.7 million. Including the acquisitions it made this year, EBITDA came in at $5.7 million.

Outlook.

Management has stated that the size of its target market in the ANZ region is ~12,029 organisations, of which it currently has a ~9% share. This total addressable market is estimated to be worth ~$1.7 billion.

The company is expected to win a greater slice of this market this year and management has forecast revenue growing 23.8% to $39.5 million, with SaaS revenue predicted to drive the growth with an increase of 26.8% to $37.8 million.

However, management has only forecast EBITDA of $1.1 million, which may explain why investors have hit the sell button today.

Should you invest?

Although I thought ELMO delivered an impressive full year result today, its guidance for FY 2019 was rather underwhelming and has overshadowed FY 2018's stellar performance.

When the dust settles it might be worth weighing up things and considering another bite at this lower price, but for now I intend to keep my powder dry.

Instead, I will be looking at fellow tech shares Citadel Group Ltd (ASX: CGL) and Megaport Ltd (ASX: MP1).

Motley Fool contributor James Mickleboro has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia owns shares of and has recommended ELMOSFTWRE FPO. The Motley Fool Australia owns shares of Citadel Group Ltd. We Fools may not all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Share Fallers

A male investor wearing a blue shirt looks off to the side with a miffed look on his face as the share price declines.
Share Fallers

Why Collins Foods, Monash IVF, Premier Investments, and Step One shares are tumbling today

These shares are ending the week in the red. But why?

Read more »

Frustrated stock trader screaming while looking at mobile phone, symbolising a falling share price.
Share Fallers

Why Firefly Metals, Pantoro Gold, Step One, and Vulcan Energy shares are sinking today

These shares are having a tough session on Thursday.

Read more »

A young man clasps his hand to his head with a pained expression on his face and a laptop computer in front of him.
Share Fallers

Why Block, Collins Foods, Perseus Mining, and Robex Resources shares are falling today

These shares are having a tough time on hump day. But why?

Read more »

A man with his back to the camera holds his hands to his head as he looks to a jagged red line trending sharply downward representing the ASX tech share sell-off today
Share Fallers

The 4 worst performing ASX 200 stocks to hold in November unmasked

Investors would have done well to avoid these four ASX 200 stocks in November.

Read more »

a person holds their head in their hands as they slump forward over a laptop computer which features a thick red downward arrow zigzagging downwards across the screen.
Share Fallers

Why did the DroneShield share price crash 48% in November?

Investors pummelled DroneShield shares in November. Let’s see why.

Read more »

A worried man holds his head and look at his computer.
Share Fallers

Why ASX, AUB, Dyno Nobel, and HMC shares are sinking today

These shares are starting the week in the red. But why?

Read more »

Frustrated stock trader screaming while looking at mobile phone, symbolising a falling share price.
Share Fallers

Why these ASX 200 shares crashed 10%+ in November

Let's see why these shares were sold off last month.

Read more »

Frustrated stock trader screaming while looking at mobile phone, symbolising a falling share price.
Share Fallers

Why Harvey Norman, Mirvac, Qube, and Suncorp shares are falling today

These shares are ending the week in the red. But why?

Read more »