Will Origin Energy Ltd shares rebound in 2016?

Origin Energy Ltd (ASX:ORG) is trading near its lowest level in a decade!

| More on:
a woman

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

What: With the share price of leading vertically integrated energy company Origin Energy Ltd (ASX: ORG) falling a whopping 62.5% to $4.38 over the course of calendar year 2015, any investors with a contrarian mind-set who focus on seeking out value will wonder if the fallout from the rout in oil prices is approaching a bottom.

So What: Of course Origin Energy hasn't been the only oil and gas company affected by the crash in the oil market with peers such as Woodside Petroleum Limited (ASX: WPL) and Santos Ltd (ASX: STO) down 28% and 55% respectively. That means there are a number of oil and gas stocks to wade through in search of value investment opportunities. However, an announcement on Tuesday could be a reason to favour Origin.

In an announcement to the ASX titled 'Origin reduces exposure to low oil prices' the company advised that it had taken steps to reduce its exposure to low oil prices by purchasing put options on oil for financial year (FY) 2017 and by forward selling LNG cargos at a fixed price.

Now What: The cost of entering these arrangements to limit Origin's downside risk is $82 million (after tax). That will certainly affect Origin's bottom line however it also provides investors with some clarity regarding the base level of earnings for the group. It also provides clarity for investors around the potential requirement for Origin to make additional contributions to the Australia Pacific LNG business.

While there are still many unknowns and the investment case is far from clear cut nor without risks, based on consensus data the stock is trading on a FY 2017 price to earnings multiple of under 9 times.

Motley Fool contributor Tim McArthur has no position in any stocks mentioned. Unless otherwise noted, the author does not have a position in any stocks mentioned by the author in the comments below. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. We Fools may not all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Bruce Jackson.

More on ⏸️ Investing

Close up of baby looking puzzled
Retail Shares

What has happened to the Baby Bunting (ASX:BBN) share price this year?

It's been a volatile year so far for the Aussie nursery retailer. We take a closer look

Read more »

woman holds sign saying 'we need change' at climate change protest
ETFs

3 ASX ETFs that invest in companies fighting climate change

If you want to shift some of your investments into more ethical companies, exchange-traded funds can offer a good option

Read more »

a jewellery store attendant stands at a cabinet displaying opulent necklaces and earrings featuring diamonds and precious stones.
⏸️ Investing

The Michael Hill (ASX: MHJ) share price poised for growth

Investors will be keeping an eye on the Michael Hill International Limited (ASX: MHJ) share price today. The keen interest…

Read more »

ASX shares buy unstoppable asx share price represented by man in superman cape pointing skyward
⏸️ Investing

The Atomos (ASX:AMS) share price is up 15% in a week

The Atomos (ASX: AMS) share price has surged 15% this week. Let's look at what's ahead as the company build…

Read more »

Two people in suits arm wrestle on a black and white chess board.
Retail Shares

How does the Temple & Webster (ASX:TPW) share price stack up against Nick Scali (ASX:NCK)?

How does the Temple & Webster (ASX: TPW) share price stack up against rival furniture retailer Nick Scali Limited (ASX:…

Read more »

A medical researcher works on a bichip, indicating share price movement in ASX tech companies
Healthcare Shares

The Aroa (ASX:ARX) share price has surged 60% since its IPO

The Aroa (ASX:ARX) share price has surged 60% since the Polynovo (ASX: PNV) competitor listed on the ASX in July.…

Read more »

asx investor daydreaming about US shares
⏸️ How to Invest

How to buy US shares from Australia right now

If you have been wondering how to buy US shares from Australia to gain exposure from the highly topical market,…

Read more »

⏸️ Investing

Why Fox (NASDAQ:FOX) might hurt News Corp (ASX:NWS) shareholders

News Corporation (ASX: NWS) might be facing some existential threats from its American cousins over the riots on 6 January

Read more »