Is DroneShield the ASX growth share investors should be buying?

For investors with a higher risk tolerance, I think this counter-drone stock could be worth a closer look.

DroneShield Ltd (ASX: DRO) is one of the most talked-about growth shares on the ASX, and it is easy to see why.

Drones are becoming a bigger issue for defence forces, governments, airports, prisons, and critical infrastructure operators. That is creating more demand for technology that can detect, track, and respond to drone threats.

Despite this, DroneShield shares have been on a poor run and are now down around 60% from their high.

That combination of a serious long-term security problem and a much lower share price is what makes the stock interesting to me.

Woman with an amazed expression has her hands and arms out with a laptop in front of her.

Image source: Getty Images

Why the market is interested

The basic investment case is easy to understand.

Drones are becoming cheaper, smarter, and more widely used. They can be useful for commercial and civilian purposes, but they can also create serious security problems.

Military forces, airports, prisons, major events, government sites, and critical infrastructure owners all have reasons to detect and respond to drones that should not be there.

That gives DroneShield a large problem to address. Its technology is designed to help customers detect, identify, track, and respond to drone threats. I think that full chain is important. It is not enough to know that a drone is nearby. Customers need useful information quickly and response options that fit the situation.

This is where strong products, software, sensors, and integration can become valuable.

The opportunity is bigger than one contract

One mistake investors can make with small defence technology companies is focusing too heavily on the next contract announcement.

Contracts are important, of course. They provide revenue, credibility, and proof that customers are willing to pay.

But I think the bigger question for DroneShield is whether it can build a repeatable sales engine.

That means turning interest in counter-drone technology into ongoing demand across different regions, customers, and use cases. It also means developing software, services, upgrades, warranties, and support that can add more depth to the revenue base.

If DroneShield can become a trusted supplier rather than a one-off equipment provider, the investment case becomes much more interesting.

What needs to go right

DroneShield still has a lot to prove. It needs to keep winning meaningful contracts, deliver products on time, maintain technology leadership, manage production, and support customers properly.

It also needs to show that revenue growth can translate into attractive margins and cash flow generation over time.

That last point is important. A strong theme can lift a share price, but long-term value usually comes from earnings. Investors will eventually want evidence that demand is not only real, but profitable.

Competition is another factor. Defence technology attracts serious players, and government customers can be demanding. DroneShield needs to keep showing that its products are useful, reliable, and worth selecting.

Why I'd buy

I would treat DroneShield as a speculative ASX growth share, so position sizing would be important.

This is not the type of stock I would put in the same basket as a mature blue-chip share. But I think the pullback has made the risk/reward more attractive for investors who can accept volatility.

The company is operating in a market where demand could remain strong for years, especially as drones become more common in conflict zones and around sensitive infrastructure. If counter-drone systems become a standard part of defence and security spending, DroneShield could have a substantial runway.

The upside could be significant if management executes well.

Foolish takeaway

DroneShield is a high-risk ASX growth share, but I think it is also one of the more compelling technology stories on the market.

The company is addressing a problem that governments and security customers cannot ignore. That gives it a strong starting point, while the share price fall of more than 60% from its high has made the valuation more interesting.

I would still want to see continued contract momentum, improving revenue quality, and evidence that scale can lead to stronger earnings. But for investors with a higher risk tolerance, I think DroneShield shares are worth buying as a small, patient position.

Motley Fool contributor Grace Alvino has positions in DroneShield. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has positions in and has recommended DroneShield. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

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