Sell alert! Why this expert is calling time on Westpac shares

A leading analyst delivers his verdict on Westpac shares.

| More on:

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

Westpac Banking Corp (ASX: WBC) shares are outperforming today.

Shares in the S&P/ASX 200 Index (ASX: XJO) bank stock closed yesterday trading for $38.22. In early afternoon trade on Thursday, shares are changing hands for $38.44 apiece, up 0.6%.

For some context, the ASX 200 is down 0.2% at this same time.

Taking a step back, Westpac shares have gained 17.1% over the past 12 months, outpacing the 6.6% one-year gains posted by the benchmark index.

Atop those capital gains, Westpac paid out two fully franked dividends totalling $1.53 a share over the full year. The ASX 200 bank stock trades on a fully franked trailing dividend yield of 4.0%.

While you're unlikely to hear investors who bought the stock 12 months ago complaining, Westpac has had a more difficult run in 2026.

Year to date, the Westpac share price is down 1.3%, trailing the 0.7% losses posted by the ASX 200 over this same period.

And looking ahead, Morgans' Damien Nguyen foresees more potential headwinds for the big four Aussie bank (courtesy of The Bull).

Red sell button on an Apple keyboard.

Image source: Getty Images

Westpac shares facing growth challenge

"Westpac has made progress simplifying its business, but returns continue to lag peers," said Nguyen, who has a sell recommendation on Westpac shares.

According to Nguyen:

Growing revenue is a challenge in a competitive and mature banking market, while execution risk persists. Cost control and balance sheet strength offer some support, but growth drivers are limited in a slowing credit environment. The valuation doesn't offer a clear margin of safety given these challenges.

With a nod to Westpac's solid dividend record, Nguyen concluded, "Income may appeal to some investors."

What's the latest from the ASX 200 bank stock?

Westpac released its first quarter (Q1 FY 2026) results on 13 February.

Highlights included a statutory net profit of $1.9 billion, up 5% on second half FY 2025 average.

The quarter also saw Westpac reported deposit growth of $12 billion and lending growth of $22 billion.

Commenting on the bank's performance and outlook, CEO Anthony Miller said:

We are optimistic on the outlook for the economy and expect demand for both business and household credit to remain resilient. Our strong financial foundations provide us with the stability and capacity to support our people, customers, shareholders and the broader economy.

Westpac shares closed down 1.2% on the day of the Q1 results release.

The bank is scheduled to report its half year results on 5 May.

Motley Fool contributor Bernd Struben has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Broker Notes

Buy now written on a red key with a shopping trolley on an Apple keyboard.
Broker Notes

3 compelling reasons to buy the rebound in Coles shares today

A leading analyst expects the rebound in Coles shares could have much further to run.

Read more »

Buy, hold, and sell ratings written on signs on a wooden pole.
Broker Notes

Up 58% in a year, are BHP shares still a good buy today?

Two leading analysts offer their outlooks for BHP’s surging shares.

Read more »

Buy and sell on yellow paper with pins on them and several share price lines.
Broker Notes

Sell alert! Why this expert is calling time on Westpac and CBA shares

A leading analyst forecasts growing headwinds for Westpac and CBA shares.

Read more »

a group of people sit around a computer in an office environment.
Broker Notes

Top brokers name 3 ASX shares to buy now

Here's what brokers are recommending as buys this week.

Read more »

Business people discussing project on digital tablet.
Broker Notes

Do experts rate BHP, Cochlear, and ResMed shares as buys, holds, or sells?

Looking at buying these big names? Here's what experts are saying about them.

Read more »

A group of business people sit dejectedly around a table, each expressing desolation, sadness, and disappointment by holding their head in their hands, casting their gazes down and looking very glum.
Broker Notes

Guess which ASX 200 tech stock just got hit with a broker downgrade

Bell Potter has changed its rating on this popular stock.

Read more »

A girl in a red t-shirt stands against a red door blowing bubbles through a red bubble blower.
Broker Notes

Buy, hold, sell: Resmed, Goodman Group, Westpac shares

Experts explain their ratings on these 3 ASX 200 shares.

Read more »

A woman is excited as she reads the latest rumour on her phone.
Broker Notes

3 oversold ASX shares to target right now for 70% gains

These three shares could be winners in the back half of 2026.

Read more »