Why Nufarm shares just exploded higher on Wednesday

Lower debt and better margins spark a big rebound in Nufarm shares.

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The Nufarm Ltd (ASX: NUF) share price has surged into the spotlight on Wednesday.

This comes after the agricultural chemicals company delivered a much stronger-than-expected market update.

In early morning trade, Nufarm shares are up a massive 13.96% to $2.53, putting the stock among the ASX's top performers for the session.

Even after today's rally, the shares remain down 35% over 12 months, showing how weak sentiment had become before this rebound started.

Today's rally suggests the market is reassessing earnings expectations and balance sheet risks after a difficult stretch for the business.

Let's take a closer look at the release.

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Image source: Getty Images

A much stronger first half than the market expected

According to the trading update, Nufarm expects its first-half FY26 underlying EBITDA to come in between $239 million and $244 million.

At the midpoint, that represents 17% growth on the prior corresponding period, which is a significant improvement given the company's weaker recent history.

Management said the stronger result was driven by better margins in Crop Protection, growth in Hybrid Seeds, and improved contributions from its omega-3 and bioenergy platforms.

That mix is likely giving the market more confidence that the recovery is not coming from just one division.

The company also flagged positive trading momentum continuing into April, suggesting the stronger start to the half has carried into the current quarter.

Debt is falling and the strategy refresh adds another lever

Another major support for the share price was the continued reduction in debt.

Nufarm said net debt at 31 March had fallen to approximately $1.23 billion, down $130 million from a year earlier. Leverage also improved to around 3.6 times EBITDA.

Given how much of the past year has been dominated by balance sheet concerns, the update has landed well with investors.

The company also announced the first stage of a strategy refresh, targeting an additional $50 million in gross cost savings.

These savings are expected to come from asset optimisation, manufacturing, product footprint, and SG&A efficiencies, with benefits building progressively through FY27.

Foolish takeaway

The strongest part of today's update is that it improves confidence in both earnings and the balance sheet at the same time.

The first-half upgrade shows trading conditions are improving, while lower debt helps ease one of the market's biggest concerns around the stock.

The extra $50 million cost-out target also gives investors another reason to believe margins can rebuild through FY26 and into FY27.

After a rough year for the shares, attention may now start shifting from downside risks to Nufarm's recovery path.

Motley Fool contributor Aaron Teboneras has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

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