The DroneShield share price has soared 266% in a year. Time to take profits?

A leading expert offers his outlook for DroneShield's surging shares.

| More on:

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

The DroneShield Ltd (ASX: DRO) share price is taking a hit today.

Shares in the S&P/ASX 200 Index (ASX: XJO) drone defence company closed on Friday trading for $4.51. During the Monday lunch hour, shares are swapping hands for $3.89 apiece, down 6.3%.

For some context, the ASX 200 is down 1.2% at this same time.

Today's underperformance is not par for the course for the ASX defence stock.

Despite today's retrace, the DroneShield share price remains up 33.9% since market close on 6 February. And shares are still up a whopping 266.2% over 12 months, smashing the 4.9% one-year gains posted by the benchmark index.

But following the recent strong share price gains, Alto Capital's Tony Locantro believes investors would do well to take profits (courtesy of The Bull).

A silhouette of a soldier flying a drone at sunset.

Image source: Getty Images

Is the DroneShield share price stretched?

"DroneShield operates in the counter-drone defence technology sector, providing detection and mitigation systems used to protect military, government and critical infrastructure assets," said Locantro, who has a sell recommendation on the ASX 200 stock.

According to Locantro:

The company has benefited from strong investor interest in defence and security technologies, with the share price rallying sharply over the past year in response to geopolitical tensions and intensifying defence spending narratives.

And investors may have gotten ahead of themselves by driving that 266% 12-month increase in the DroneShield share price.

Locantro noted:

While the long-term outlook for counter-drone solutions remains compelling, DroneShield's valuation increasingly reflects significant future growth expectations. Revenue remains contract-driven and can be uneven, with earnings visibility still developing as the company scales up globally.

Summarising his sell recommendation on the ASX 200 defence stock, Locantro said, "Following recent share price strength and a re-rating, the current risk-reward balance favours taking profits at present levels."

What's the latest from the drone defence company?

DroneShield reported its full calendar year 2025 results on 25 February.

Highlights included a 276% year-over-year increase in revenue to $216.5 million.

In other core financial metrics, earnings before interest, tax, depreciation and amortisation (EBITDA) of $4.5 million were up from a loss of $8.6 million in 2024.

And on the bottom line, profit after tax of $3.5 million increased by 367%.

Looking ahead, DroneShield independent non-executive chairman Peter James said, "FY 2026 already has $104 million in secured revenue of which $22 million has been recognised to date."

The DroneShield share price closed up 12.6% on the day of the results release.

Motley Fool contributor Bernd Struben has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has positions in and has recommended DroneShield and is short shares of DroneShield. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Broker Notes

Red buy button on an Apple keyboard with a finger on it.
Broker Notes

Brokers name 3 ASX shares to buy right now

Here's why brokers are feeling bullish about these three shares this week.

Read more »

Woman using a pen on a digital stock market chart in an office.
Broker Notes

Could these ASX stocks double by the end of 2026?

These 5 stocks could be undervalued.

Read more »

An investor wearing a dressing gown and holding a cup of coffee in a yellow mug gives a satisfied smile.
Broker Notes

7 ASX 200 shares just upgraded to strong buy ratings

Looking for inspiration after the March sell-off?

Read more »

A couple sitting in their living room and checking their finances.
Broker Notes

Buy, hold, sell: CSL, Magellan, and Woodside shares

Do analysts think these blue-chips are in the buy zone? Let's find out.

Read more »

I young woman takes a bite out of a burrito n the street outside a Mexican fast-food establishment.
Broker Notes

Up 32% this week, are Guzman Y Gomez shares a good buy today?

A leading analyst delivers his outlook for Guzman Y Gomez shares.

Read more »

A young woman sits at her desk in deep contemplation with her hand to her chin while seriously considering information she is reading on her laptop.
Broker Notes

Buy, hold, or sell? Bubs, Soul Patts, and Endeavour shares

Experts have reviewed their ratings on these ASX shares.

Read more »

A woman in a red dress holding up a red graph.
Broker Notes

3 ASX shares tipped to grow 100% or more in the next 12 months

These stocks across three sectors could be deeply undervalued, analysts say.

Read more »

Red buy button on an Apple keyboard with a finger on it.
Broker Notes

3 reasons to buy Capstone Copper shares today

A leading analyst expects more outperformance from Capstone Copper’s surging shares. But why?

Read more »