Bell Potter says this high-quality ASX 200 stock is a buy with 18% upside

Here's what the broker is saying about this growing company.

| More on:

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

Netwealth Group Ltd (ASX: NWL) shares were on form on Wednesday.

The ASX 200 stock ended the session 13.5% higher at $25.35.

This was driven by the release of the investment platform provider's half-year results.

A female sharemarket analyst with red hair and wearing glasses looks at her computer screen watching share price movements.

Image source: Getty Images

Is it too late to invest?

The team at Bell Potter doesn't believe it is too late for investors to snap up this ASX 200 stock.

It was impressed with the company's results, stating:

NWL delivered a solid 1H26 result ahead of expectations, with revenue growth more advanced. Outlook guidance was reissued. NWL is tracking to its net inflow parameter with +10% run-rate growth support. Language now incorporates confidence into outer years, factoring in the broker segment pipeline as well.

One highlight was its cash conversion, which improved notably on the prior corresponding period. Bell Potter said:

Cash conversion was better than pcp despite slight build in the working capital. Free cashflow improved with +$60.3m inflow. This compares to +$47.7m in the pcp. NWL declared a fully franked dividend of 21¢ps which increased +20% pcp. Pro-forma adjustments for the $70m of debt drawn post balance date sees modest leverage (0.1x EBITDA). NWL provided strong dividend guidance, based on underlying earnings despite the loss booked and borrowings. The facility is subject to financial covenants and matures March 2028.

And lastly, the broker highlights that management spoke positively on its outlook and has reaffirmed its net inflows guidance. It adds:

NWL reaffirmed its outlook, guiding to net inflows comparable to FY25, an EBITDA margin of 49% and $12m in capitalised software. Net accounts added are at record levels and present lower balances, diluting existing accounts that sit on higher balances. Platform advisers expanded +118 (+52 pcp.). NWL provided an update on the net inflows which were +$1.6bn (+$1.5bn pcp.) so far. Extrapolating the run-rate would return a soft estimate (seasonality). Linearly this is in-line with our forecast.

Time to buy this ASX 200 stock

According to the note, the broker has retained its buy rating and $30.00 price target on Netwealth's shares. Based on its current share price of $25.35, this implies potential upside of 18% for investors over the next 12 months.

In addition, a dividend yield of 1.8% is expected in FY 2026, which stretches the total potential return to approximately 20%.

Bell Potter concludes:

Our Buy rating is unchanged. There were no surprises from the result that challenged the view momentum is building. We make +4% EPS upgrades contained to FY26.

Motley Fool contributor James Mickleboro has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has positions in and has recommended Netwealth Group. The Motley Fool Australia has positions in and has recommended Netwealth Group. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Broker Notes

A happy male investor turns around on his chair to look at a friend while a laptop runs on his desk showing share price movements
Broker Notes

Ord Minnett names 2 ASX 200 shares to accumulate with 10% and 20% upside

Let's see what the broker is saying about these shares.

Read more »

a happy investor with a wide smile points to a graph that shows an upward trending share price
Resources Shares

2 ASX mining shares with 60% to 100% potential upside: experts

Brokers say these ASX mining shares should gain significant value over the next 12 months.

Read more »

A man has a surprised and relieved expression on his face.
Broker Notes

Why this broker just boosted its Lynas share price valuation by 60%

Bell Potter has taken its sell rating off this high-flying stock.

Read more »

Man holding a tray of burritos, symbolising the Guzman share price.
Broker Notes

Down 44% in a year, why Guzman Y Gomez shares may have further to fall

A leading analyst forecasts more pain to come for Guzman Y Gomez shareholders.

Read more »

A woman wearing a black and white striped t-shirt looks to the sky with her hand to her chin, contemplating buying ASX shares.
Broker Notes

2 ASX stocks to buy and 1 to sell

Two of these shares could deliver strong returns.

Read more »

A bearded man holds both arms up diagonally and points with his index fingers to the sky with a thrilled look on his face.
Broker Notes

Why Telix shares could smash the market in 2026 with an 80% return

Bell Potter sees potential for this stock to rocket over the next 12 months.

Read more »

A businessman looking at his digital tablet or strategy planning in hotel conference lobby. He is happy at achieving financial goals.
Broker Notes

Morgans names 3 ASX shares to buy now

The broker is feeling bullish on these shares this week.

Read more »

Time to sell written on a clock.
Broker Notes

Sell alert! Why this expert is calling time on Harvey Norman shares

A leading investment analyst forecasts mounting headwinds for Harvey Norman shares.

Read more »