These two takeover targets are still trading below their potential bid prices

Takeovers can provide windfall gains for investors, if they get in at the right price.

| More on:
Businesswoman holds hand out to shake.

Image source: Getty Images

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

Key points

  • There has been a flurry of takeovers on the ASX in recent weeks.
  • Some company's shares are still trading at a discount to the potential bid prices.
  • In the case of one metals explorer, the shares are trading at a premium to the bid price. 

There's nothing quite like a takeover bid to drive interest in a stock, and for existing shareholders, there is also the prospect of windfall gains if the price is right.

There has been a flurry of takeover bids recently, with targets ranging from small gold prospectors, such as Venus Metals Corporation Ltd (ASX: VMC), to major companies like logistics provider Qube Holdings Ltd (ASX: QUB).

And in the case of the latter, and fellow takeover target National Storage REIT (ASX: NSR), there's still the potential to make short-term gains, given each company's share price is still trading at a discount to the offer price.

Qube trading at a decent discount

In the case of Qube, Macquarie Asset Management has launched a conditional bid for the company at $5.20 per share.

That was a significant premium to the $4.07 at which the company's shares were trading at the time of the bid.

And while the shares have consistently traded higher than levels before the bid, they are still only changing hands for $4.64, meaning canny investors could make a windfall gain – should the bid actually go through.

Keep in mind that it is still conditional on satisfactory due diligence and a unanimous recommendation from the Qube board.

The board has granted Macquarie a period of exclusive due diligence, having previously negotiated for a higher price from Macquarie, and said at the time the possible deal was made public that, in the absence of a better offer, they do expect to endorse the bid.

Interestingly, UniSuper, which is a significant shareholder in Qube, has increased its shareholding in the company from 5.25% to 9.95% since the potential takeover bid was announced.

National Storage also in play

In the case of National Storage, the company was forced to divulge in late November that it had been approached by Brookfield Property Group and GIC Investments about a potential takeover, priced at $2.86 a share. This followed an article in The Australian hinting at the possible deal.

Like the Qube bid, the National Storage takeover offer is at this stage non-binding and conditional, but investors once again could make gains if it were to go through.

The National Storage bid is priced at $2.86, minus the likely 6-cent dividend to be paid by the company, which compares with the current share price of $2.71.

That implies a much lower premium of just 3.3% for investors who buy in now; however, some might be betting that a higher offer is in the wings.

In the case of Venus Metals Corporation, that company's share price is actually trading higher than the 17-cent-per-share offer price from Queensland coal billionaire Chris Wallin's company QGold.

QGold's offer is an on-market offer, meaning the company is actively buying shares at the offer price; however, Venus stated in a recent ASX announcement that it appeared the company was buying shares at higher prices, between 18 cents and 19 cents, in recent sessions.

Venus said this week it was currently preparing a target's statement, which would be released to the ASX on December 8.

Venus shares closed Thursday's trading session at 20 cents, well above the on-market bid price.

Motley Fool contributor Cameron England has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has positions in and has recommended Macquarie Group. The Motley Fool Australia has positions in and has recommended Macquarie Group. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Mergers & Acquisitions

A man clenches his fists in excitement as gold coins fall from the sky.
Gold

This ASX 300 gold stock is rocketing 27% amid takeover bidding war

This gold miner has received a new takeover offer.

Read more »

Three rockets heading to space
Mergers & Acquisitions

Guess which 10-bagger ASX gold stock is surging 65% today on takeover news

Investors are piling into this ASX gold miner on Tuesday. Let’s see why.

Read more »

Miner standing in front of trucks and smiling, symbolising a rising share price.
Mergers & Acquisitions

Why is the BHP share price lifting today?

BHP shares are grabbing a lot of investor interest on Monday. Let’s see why.

Read more »

a group of smart looking kids, wearing formal clothes and all with spectacles, sit in a line and smile charmingly.
Mergers & Acquisitions

Takeover bid launched for childcare operator

A takeover bid has been launched for an ASX-listed childcare operator, with its larger rival saying it makes sense to…

Read more »

a woman drawing image on wall of big fish about to eat a small fish
Mergers & Acquisitions

Macquarie names 16 potential ASX takeover targets

The broker thinks these shares could be taken over in the near term.

Read more »

A smiling young woman sits on a bridge in London checking her online shopping, indicating share price movement for ASX BNPL shares overseas.
Mergers & Acquisitions

Hansen just announced a new UK acquisition. So why is the share price falling?

The software provider expands its telco footprint with a UK buyout.

Read more »

Researchers and doctors with futuristic 3d hologram overlay for body anatomy or dna in hospital clinic.
Healthcare Shares

Medibank shares higher on $159m Better Medical acquisition

The private health insurance giant is making a big acquisition.

Read more »

An evening shot of a busy Times Square in New York.
Mergers & Acquisitions

ASX 300 stock tumbles on US expansion plans

An expansion into the United States isn't getting investors excited on Thursday.

Read more »