Is this ASX healthcare stock a buy low candidate after falling 35%?

One broker is tipping big upside.

| More on:

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

Key points
  • Trajan Group Holdings (ASX: TRJ) has a buy recommendation from Bell Potter with a target price of $1.25. 
  • This is driven by improving sentiment and easing headwinds in the US and China.
  • With its current stock price at $0.67, the broker sees an 86% upside potential. 

Trajan Group Holdings Ltd (ASX: TRJ) is a small-cap ASX healthcare stock that has fallen 34.95% in 2025. 

Trajan Group Holdings is a developer and manufacturer of analytical and life sciences products and devices, seeking to enrich human well-being through scientific measurement. 

Its current portfolio of products comprises products, devices, and solutions that are used in the analysis of biological, food, and environmental samples.

Broker Bell Potter released fresh analysis on the company yesterday, which included a buy recommendation and optimistic price target. 

Here is what the broker had to say. 

Three health professionals at a hospital smile for the camera.

Image source: Getty Images

Improving sentiment, headwinds easing

The report said that the headwinds from Academic/Government segments in both US & China, appear to be easing. 

The broker also said tariff mitigation should be completed by FY26 through a combination of pricing and cost out programmes. 

Instrument sales still face challenges from funding pressures, however consumables business appears to be holding up. 

Bell Potter also noted this ASX healthcare stock is beginning to utilise AI technology

According to the report, AI is beginning to creep into management commentary with a range of AI agents being developed to speed up lead conversion and software development.

As sentiment and operating performance amongst TRJ's US peers improves, so should TRJ's financial results.

The broker did note that market acceptance depends on the company's ability to improve testing products and to introduce new products successfully, while proving its offerings are superior to competing technologies.

AGM results 

Trajan Group also recently held its 2025 AGM.

The company reported: 

  • Group revenue of $166.5M, up 7.4% from pcp. 
  • Group EBITDA $15.5M, up 26.2%. 
  • Operating NPATA rose 33.3%. 

Overall, the company maintained revenue guidance. 

Based on the AGM results, Bell Potter said the key catalyst for the company is demonstrating improvement in EBITDA margins. 

In 1Q26 revenue is slightly ahead of pcp but segment performance is patchy, with Components & Consumables (C&C) revenue up a solid c.10%, but Capital Equipment (CE) down c.20% with an expected recovery through the year.

Price target upside

In yesterday's report, Bell Potter maintained its buy recommendation and target price of $1.25 for this ASX healthcare stock. 

Based on yesterday's closing price of $0.67, this indicates an upside of approximately 86%. 

Guidance remains in the LSD% range but sentiment is improving, through industry tailwinds (or headwinds easing) including efficiencies, volume leverage, strength in pharma, chemicals and CDMOs, as well as China stimulus.

Motley Fool contributor Aaron Bell has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Healthcare Shares

young female doctor with digital tablet looking confused.
Healthcare Shares

Telix shares are tumbling. Is the stock finally at fair value?

Telix's sell-off reflects valuation, competition, and heightened growth expectations.

Read more »

Stethoscope with a piggy bank and hundred dollar notes.
Healthcare Shares

Why I'd buy Medibank shares for the dividend yield

Medibank is providing investors with very healthy dividends.

Read more »

Scientists working in the laboratory and examining results.
Healthcare Shares

Fisher & Paykel Healthcare shares: Earnings outlook upgraded for FY27

Here's what the company expects to report for FY 2027.

Read more »

Teamwork, planning and meeting with doctors and laptop for medical, review and healthcare. Medicine, technology and internet with group of people for collaboration, diversity and support in hospital
Test Only

Pacific Edge FY26: Loss widens but Medicare draft boost lifts outlook

Pacific Edge’s FY26 loss grew, but US Medicare draft coverage for its diagnostic tests supports a more positive outlook going…

Read more »

Teamwork, planning and meeting with doctors and laptop for medical, review and healthcare. Medicine, technology and internet with group of people for collaboration, diversity and support in hospital
Healthcare Shares

Why I'd buy CSL, Cochlear, and Pro Medicus shares

These are three ASX healthcare shares I would be happy to own for years.

Read more »

Portrait, confidence and team of doctors in the hospital standing after a consultation or surgery. Success, healthcare and group of professional medical workers in collaboration at a medicare clinic.
Earnings Results

Sonic Healthcare share price in focus on FY26 profit jump and digital push

The healthcare company is paying total dividends of $1.08 per share in FY 2026.

Read more »

A man closely watches a clock.
Healthcare Shares

CSL shares are flying higher. Is it too late to buy?

CSL must now deliver faster earnings growth to justify its rally.

Read more »

Happy, tablet or doctor in a laboratory with research results or positive feedback after medical data analysis. Smile, vaccine or healthcare worker reading or working on futuristic science innovation.
Earnings Results

Telix Pharmaceuticals delivers robust half-year earnings and pipeline progress

The radiopharmaceuticals company has handed down its half-year results this morning.

Read more »