Morgans just upgraded these ASX 200 shares

Let's see why the broker turned positive on these stocks this month.

| More on:
A smiling woman holds a Facebook like sign above her head.

Image source: Getty Images

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

Key points

  • James Hardie Industries received a buy rating upgrade from Morgans, citing a better-than-expected outlook and an attractive valuation despite challenging market conditions.
  • Nufarm was upgraded to a buy as its FY25 performance exceeded expectations, with promising FY26 growth and a clear deleveraging path enhancing its appeal.
  • TechnologyOne saw an upgrade to an accumulate rating based on its consistency in delivering results, despite a negative market reaction, and strong long-term growth aspirations.

It has been a busy month for brokers, with a flurry of ASX 200 shares releasing results and trading updates.

Three that went down well with analysts at Morgans are listed below. Here's why the broker has upgraded them:

James Hardie Industries plc (ASX: JHX)

Morgans was pleased with James Hardie's update and particularly its outlook. It notes that the building materials company has provided an outlook that was more positive than expected.

In light of this and its undemanding valuation, the broker has upgraded the ASX 200 share to a buy rating with a $35.50 price target. It said:

Whilst the headline 2QFY26 result was largely released in early Oct-25, the details and outlook were incrementally more positive than previously anticipated. Upgraded guidance reflects a c.6% organic decline (vs pcp), as a challenging environment sees volume declines exceed price increases. However, this is better than feared and may prove to be a bottoming in the cycle as demand stabilises.

JHX is trading on c.17.1x FY26F as the business navigates its acquisition missteps, earnings downgrades and a challenging consumer environment in North America (NA). However, at EPS of c.U$1.04/sh in FY26 we see upside from both earnings and an undemanding PER (ave PER. 20x). It is on this basis we upgrade to a BUY recommendation and $35.50/sh target price.

Nufarm Ltd (ASX: NUF)

Another ASX 200 share that has been given the thumbs up by Morgans is Nufarm. Although its performance in FY 2025 was weak, it was better than feared.

And with management expecting a strong year in FY 2026 and the deleveraging of its balance sheet, the broker thinks now is a good time to invest. It has upgraded its shares to a buy rating with a $3.20 price target. It said:

While NUF's FY25 result was weak, it was slightly above guidance. A solid Crop Protection result was overshadowed by a poor Seed Technologies performance. Gearing was far too high at 2.7x, however it was better than feared Outlook comments were upbeat. In FY26, material earnings growth and a reduction in leverage ratios is expected. We have upgraded our forecasts. Now that there is certainty on Seed Technologies future, industry operating conditions have improved and there is a clear pathway to deleveraging the balance sheet, we upgrade NUF to a Buy recommendation and A$3.20 price target.

TechnologyOne Ltd (ASX: TNE)

Finally, this enterprise software provider's shares were sold off this week despite delivering a result that was largely in line with expectations.

The broker thinks this has created an opportunity for investors and has upgraded the ASX 200 share to an accumulate rating with a $34.50 price target. It said:

TNE's FY25 result was largely in line with our expectations with the group delivering, PBT growth of +19% to $181.5m ahead of its 13-17% guidance range, and in line with consensus. The negative share price reaction appears to have been driven by softer than expected ARR/NRR print, which saw a 2% miss to ARR growth expectations vs consensus, despite this, the group continues to deliver, with ARR of $554.6m (+18% YoY), which along with its NRR growth of 115% continues to see TNE Ontrack to achieve its long-term ARR growth aspirations.

We modestly pare our EPS forecasts by 1-3% in FY26-28F. and move to an ACCUMULATE rating, with our target price $34.50 now reflecting a TSR of +19% following TNE's post result share price movement.

Motley Fool contributor James Mickleboro has positions in Technology One. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has positions in and has recommended Technology One. The Motley Fool Australia has recommended Technology One. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Broker Notes

Businessman working and using Digital Tablet new business project finance investment at coffee cafe.
Broker Notes

Buy, hold, sell: How does Morgans rate these ASX shares?

Morgans has been looking at a couple of popular shares.

Read more »

A man pulls a shocked expression with mouth wide open as he holds up his laptop.
Broker Notes

Why this beaten down ASX 200 stock could rise 50%

This stock could be dirt cheap according to analysts at Bell Potter.

Read more »

Man presses green buy button and red sell button on a graph.
Broker Notes

Top brokers name 3 ASX shares to buy today

Here's what brokers are recommending as buys this week.

Read more »

A man looking at his laptop and thinking.
Broker Notes

Buy, hold, sell: Fortescue, Qantas, and WiseTech shares

Are these popular shares in the buy zone? Let's find out what analysts are saying.

Read more »

Contented looking man leans back in his chair at his desk and smiles.
Broker Notes

Buy, hold, sell: Breville, Catalyst Metals, and Goodman shares

Let's see what analysts at Morgans are saying about these top stocks.

Read more »

Broker written in white with a man drawing a yellow underline.
Broker Notes

Leading brokers name 3 ASX shares to buy today

Here's why brokers believe that now could be the time to snap up these shares.

Read more »

Middle age caucasian man smiling confident drinking coffee at home.
Broker Notes

Buy, hold, sell: Light & Wonder, NAB, and Woodside shares

Morgans has given its verdict on these popular stocks.

Read more »

Smiling man sits in front of a graph on computer while using his mobile phone.
Resources Shares

2 ASX mining shares to buy for 2026

Macquarie has buy ratings on this ASX copper mining share and ASX gold mining stock.

Read more »