Woodside Energy Group share price: 2025 Capital Markets Day results

Woodside Energy Group forecasts rising cash flow and dividends as major projects drive future growth, according to its 2025 Capital Markets Day.

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Key points

  • Woodside projects net operating cash flow to grow from US$5.8 billion in 2024 to US$9 billion by the early 2030s, with annual sales expected to exceed 300 MMboe by 2032, driving a 50% increase in dividend per share.
  • Key LNG projects, including Scarborough and Louisiana, are making significant headway, set to enhance cash flows, while investments in lower-carbon energy are ramping up with a US$5 billion target by 2030.
  • Woodside maintains an 80% payout average, aims for emissions reduction, and continues to grow its global energy portfolio, positioning itself as a compelling investment opportunity amidst the energy transition.

The Woodside Energy Group Ltd (ASX: WDS) share price is in focus today amid the company's 2025 Capital Markets Day, where management set out a strategy focused on capital discipline, growth, and rising shareholder returns. Woodside revealed it expects net operating cash flow to grow from US$5.8 billion in 2024 to around US$9 billion by the early 2030s, supporting a projected 50% increase in dividend per share from 2024 to 2032.

What did Woodside Energy Group report?

  • Net operating cash flow is forecast to grow at a compound annual rate above 6% from 2024, reaching about US$9 billion by the early 2030s.
  • Annual sales are expected to rise from 203.5 million to over 300 million barrels of oil equivalent (MMboe) by 2032.
  • Woodside has returned approximately US$11 billion to shareholders since 2022, maintaining an 80% average payout ratio across the past decade.
  • The company's 2024 EBITDA margin was a strong 70%.
  • Significant progress at major projects: Scarborough LNG is 91% complete (first LNG H2 2026), Beaumont New Ammonia is 97% complete (first production late 2025), and Louisiana LNG is underway (first LNG targeted for 2029).

What else do investors need to know?

Woodside is positioning for long-term growth through a series of large-scale projects, including Scarborough Energy, Louisiana LNG, and the Mexico Trion oil project. These developments are set to expand the company's global LNG portfolio and enhance cash flows.

The company remains committed to its sustainability targets, including reducing net equity Scope 1 and 2 greenhouse gas emissions by 15% by 2025 and 30% by 2030 from its baseline. Investment in lower-carbon energy, such as ammonia and hydrogen, is also ramping up, with US$5 billion targeted for new energy products and lower-carbon services by 2030.

What did Woodside Energy Group management say?

CEO and Managing Director Meg O'Neill said:

Woodside is a compelling investment opportunity supported by world-class assets, an integrated value chain, long-term customer relationships and a strong balance sheet. Woodside generates durable cash flows and has rewarded shareholders with approximately US$11 billion in dividends since 2022.

Over the next decade, with disciplined capital management, we will execute our strategy by maximising performance from our base business, delivering cash-generative projects to sustain and grow the business and creating the next wave of future opportunities for long-term returns for our shareholders.

What's next for Woodside Energy Group?

Looking ahead, Woodside's focus will be on delivering its pipeline of projects on time and within budget, with Scarborough and Louisiana LNG set to become central cash generators. Management reaffirmed its commitment to maintaining capital discipline, supporting credit ratings, and maximising value from the existing portfolio while selectively pursuing further growth opportunities.

Ongoing progress in achieving emissions reduction targets and expanding into new energy will help position Woodside for the global energy transition. Investors can expect updates as key projects reach completion and start contributing to earnings.

Woodside Energy Group share price snapshot

Over the past year Woodside Energy shares have risen 4%, trailing the S&P/ASX 200 Index (ASX: XJO) which has risen 8% over the same period.

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Motley Fool contributor Laura Stewart has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips. This article was prepared with the assistance of Large Language Model (LLM) tools for the initial summary of the company announcement. Any content assisted by AI is subject to our robust human-in-the-loop quality control framework, involving thorough review, substantial editing, and fact-checking by our experienced writers and editors holding appropriate credentials. The Motley Fool Australia stands behind the work of our editorial team and takes ultimate responsibility for the content published by The Motley Fool Australia.

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