Young Australians overestimate how much retirement income they'll need: report

A Vanguard survey shows young Australians expect to need $100,000 in annual income to fund their retirement.

A young female investor with brown curly hair and wearing a yellow top and glasses sits at her desk using her calculator to work out how much her ASX dividend shares will pay this year

Image source: Getty Images

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

Key points

  • Vanguard's survey reveals that younger Australians expect to need $100,000 annually for retirement, significantly higher than the $55,000 retired couples say they spend each year.
  • Australia's Retirement Standard says a comfortable retirement currently costs $75,319 per annum for couples and $53,289 for singles who own their own homes.
  • Vanguard says young people may genuinely require a higher income because more of them will be renting or still paying a mortgage in retirement. 

Vanguard says young Aussies are overestimating how much income they will need in retirement to fund an enjoyable lifestyle.

The superannuation services provider conducted a nationally representative survey of more than 1,800 Australians aged 18 years and over in February to form the basis of its 2025 How Australia Retires report.

The survey showed that Australians under the age of 45 expect to need a minimum annual household income of $100,000 to fund their retirement.

This is vastly higher than the average $55,000 that retired couples reported spending over the past 12 months.

It's also much higher than the estimated annual living costs published in Australia's Retirement Standard.

The Standard is compiled by the Association of Superannuation Funds of Australia (ASFA) and updated every quarter.

It is considered the definitive guide for retirement budgeting in Australia.

ASFA says a comfortable retirement currently costs $75,319 per annum for couples and $53,289 for singles who own their own homes.

A modest retirement is cheaper at $49,992 for couples and $34,522 for singles who own their own homes.

Retirement costs more if you're renting.

ASFA estimates that a modest retirement costs $66,269 per annum for couples and $49,044 for singles who rent their homes.

You can find out exactly how ASFA defines a 'comfortable' and 'modest' retirement here.

Why are young people overestimating how much they'll need?

Vanguard cited some reasons why young people are overestimating how much income they'll require in retirement:

This could reflect lower levels of retirement planning among these age groups, as well as the inherent uncertainty in making financial projections for a life stage that may be decades away.

Another explanation is that younger Australians may be factoring in continued increases in the cost of living.

However, Vanguard noted that young people may genuinely require a higher income because more of them will be renting or still paying off a home loan in retirement.

Of course, it could also be that younger Australians genuinely require a higher minimum household income in retirement.

This may reflect rising expectations for lifestyle and living standards, or concerns about ongoing housing costs — such as rent or mortgage payments — extending into retirement.

The survey showed 36% of Millennials expect to have a mortgage when they retire, compared to 27% of Gen Xers and 24% of Baby Boomers.

Renting in retirement is on the rise

Vanguard says the number of people retiring while renting is a rising trend, and young people are aware that they may never own a home.

Daniel Shrimski, Managing Director of Vanguard Investments Australia, said:

Renting or carrying mortgage debt into retirement isn't just a financial burden — it adds emotional stress.

It's something we're increasingly concerned about as we look at how retirement is evolving for Australians.

In recognition of this rising trend, ASFA introduced living expense estimates for retirees who are renting just this year.

What about superannuation?

ASFA says couples need $690,000 and singles need $595,000 in superannuation by age 67 to fund a comfortable lifestyle.

Both couples and singles only need $100,000 in super to fund a modest lifestyle.

Motley Fool contributor Bronwyn Allen has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Retirement

Australian notes and coins surrounded by a calculator and the word super spelt out.
Retirement

Can you afford to retire in 2026? Find out in 2 minutes

Before you decide to retire in 2026, take two minutes to pressure-test your finances the smart way.

Read more »

a pot of gold at the end of a rainbow
Superannuation

Here are the 3 ASX ETFs I use for my super fund

I like to keep my super simple.

Read more »

Woman at home saving money in a piggybank and smiling.
Retirement

How to build a million-dollar SMSF if you start investing in 2026

Building a million-dollar SMSF is not about perfect timing.

Read more »

An older couple dance in their living room as they enjoy their retirement funded by ASX dividends
Retirement

My simple 5-share ASX retirement portfolio

A simple ASX retirement portfolio built for income, diversification, and long-term stability without unnecessary complexity.

Read more »

A man in his late 60s, retirement age, emerges from the Australian surf carrying a surfboard under his arm and wearing a wetsuit.
Superannuation

Why superannuation tied only to property and cash could fail retirees

Superannuation built only on property and cash may struggle.

Read more »

Two elderly people smiling with their fists pumping and with a cape on.
Dividend Investing

The perfect retirement stock with a 4.4% payout each month

4.4% that pays out monthly? Yes please.

Read more »

Two mature-age people, a man and a woman, jump in unison with their arms and legs outstretched on a sunny beach.
Retirement

Top retirement shares for Australian investors to buy now

These stocks are some of the most reliable income payers on the ASX...

Read more »

Woman holding $50 notes with a delighted face.
Dividend Investing

Why APA shares are a retiree's dream

This business offers retiree investors a lot of positives.

Read more »