Up 225% in one year! What's next for this ASX materials stock?

Can this ASX star keep the party going? Or is it time to sell?

| More on:
Man pointing at a blue rising share price graph.

Image source: Getty Images

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

Key points

  • Wagners outperformed the ASX materials sector over the past year, with a stock price increase of 225% driven by strong financial performance in FY25.
  • The company's impressive results were largely due to growth in Construction Materials and Composite Fibre Technologies segments, fuelled by high demand and improved market efficiencies.
  • Despite its recent success, brokers see limited upside potential with current valuations, recommending a hold rating with price targets around current levels.

The last year has seen modest growth for ASX materials stocks. 

The S&P/ASX 200 Materials Index (ASX: XMJ) has risen roughly 5% in that span. 

For context, the S&P/ASX 200 Index (ASX: XJO) is up almost 8% in the same period. 

However, one ASX materials stock that has flown past the average in the last 12 months has been Wagners Holding Co Ltd (ASX: WGN). 

Why has it exploded in the last year?

Wagners is an Australian construction materials provider. 

It produces and sells construction materials through its Composite Fibre Technologies and Earth Friendly Concrete business. 

Its segment includes Construction Materials, Project Services, Composite Fibre Technology, and Earth Friendly Concrete.

The stock price rise has possibly come on the back of strong performance in the last financial year. 

The company reported impressive growth in FY25, including: 

  • Operating EBIT $41.8 million (+9% versus FY24)
  • Net profit after tax (NPAT) of $22.7 million (versus $10.3 million in FY24)
  • Revenue of $431.3 million

Speaking about the previous financial year, Wagners' Managing Director, Cameron Coleman, pointed to growth in two core segments: Construction Materials and Composite Fibre Technologies as contributing factors. 

He said these results were driven by strong demand for Wagners' products and services, improved market conditions, and enhanced efficiencies in the company's operating and manufacturing processes, which drove margin improvement.

Can this ASX materials stock keep rising?

The team at Morgans released fresh guidance on this ASX materials stock yesterday. 

The broker said, based on the strong outlook for South East Queensland construction markets and the WGN share price, the business has taken the opportunity to raise an additional $30m via an institutional placement, while the Wagner Family has sold an additional $36m of stock to reduce their holding to c.44%. 

Despite 14% of share on issue being transacted in the past month (across these transactions), the stock is up c.8.2%. Despite the strong demand signals across South East Queensland (SEQ) and our expectation this can drive earnings higher in FY27/28, a stretched valuation sees us reduce our recommendation to a HOLD with a $2.90/sh price target.

Based on yesterday's closing price of $2.80, the broker sees an upside of approximately 3.5%. 

Broker Bell Potter seems to also believe this ASX materials stock is trading close to fair value. 

It has a price target of $2.75. 

Motley Fool contributor Aaron Bell has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Broker Notes

Rocket powering up and symbolising a rising share price.
Broker Notes

Up 162% in 6 months! Expert tips this surging ASX lithium stock to double again

Soaring higher?

Read more »

Broker written in white with a man drawing a yellow underline.
Broker Notes

Top brokers name 3 ASX shares to buy next week

Brokers gave buy ratings to these ASX shares last week. Why are they bullish?

Read more »

A female ASX investor looks through a magnifying glass that enlarges her eye and holds her hand to her face with her mouth open as if looking at something of great interest or surprise.
Broker Notes

These ASX 200 shares could rise 20% to 50%

Analysts are expecting outsized returns from these shares in 2026.

Read more »

Farmer with arms folded looking ahead.
Broker Notes

What is Morgans' view on GrainCorp shares after monster sell-off?

Is it time to buy-low after the sell-off?

Read more »

A man holding a cup of coffee puts his thumb up and smiles while at laptop.
Broker Notes

Brokers name 3 ASX shares to buy today

Here's why brokers are feeling bullish about these three shares this week.

Read more »

A young woman lifts her red glasses with one hand as she takes a closer look at news about interest rates rising and one expert's surprising recommendation as to which ASX shares to buy
Broker Notes

Ord Minnett names 2 ASX 200 shares to buy for massive returns

The broker sees a lot of value in these big names. Here's what it is recommending.

Read more »

A man sitting at his dining table looks at his laptop and ponders the CSL balance sheet and the value of CSL shares today
Broker Notes

Buy, hold, sell: Flight Centre, Suncorp, and Zip shares

Let's see if analysts are bullish or bearish (or something in between).

Read more »

Businessman working and using Digital Tablet new business project finance investment at coffee cafe.
Broker Notes

Does Macquarie rate Treasury Wine shares a buy the dip opportunity?

Let's see if the broker is bullish, bearish, or something in between.

Read more »