These ASX 200 shares could rise 30% to 35%

These shares could be top picks for investors searching for outsized returns.

Key points
  • A gaming technology company offers a potential 35% upside with strategic listing catalysts and favourable valuation metrics.
  • A diversified mining company presents a 30% upside due to market conditions, despite some near-term earnings challenges.
  • Analysts see significant return potential in these stocks, highlighting particularly attractive entry points for long-term investors.

The market has historically delivered an average return of approximately 10% per annum. But Aussie investors don't need to settle for that!

Not when there are ASX 200 shares out there that are being tipped by brokers to rise significantly more than this over the next 12 months.

Two such shares are named below. Here's why brokers are recommending them as buys with major upside potential:

A man clenches his fists in excitement as gold coins fall from the sky.

Image source: Getty Images

Light & Wonder Inc (ASX: LNW)

Analysts at Bell Potter think that this beaten down ASX 200 share could deliver big returns over the next 12 months.

The broker currently has a buy rating and $176.00 price target on the gaming technology company's shares. Based on its current share price of $130.74, this implies potential upside of 35% for investors over the next 12 months.

It likes Light & Wonder due to its strong growth outlook and the potential for a sole listing on the ASX to underpin a rerating. It said:

We rate LNW a Buy over the medium to long term due to a compelling GARP profile relative to the ASX 100 and ALL (43% discount to EV / EBITA). In our view, the key catalyst in closing this discount is the ASX sole listing, which we believe will weigh positively on the stock after Dec 2025. In the short term we acknowledge risks to LNW including: A potential miss to the lower end of CY25e AEBITDA guidance of US$1,430m (BPe US$1,424m; VA US$1,432m) due to the timing of Asian game shipments; a worsening in the ALL litigation matter (less likely); and potential market disruption due to the Nasdaq delisting which may present an attractive entry point.

South32 Ltd (ASX: S32)

The team at Morgans is bullish on this diversified miner and believes recent weakness has created a buying opportunity for investors.

The broker has a buy rating and $3.55 price target on its shares. Based on its current share price of $2.66, this implies potential upside of approximately 30% for investors over the next 12 months.

While things have not been easy in recent times, Morgans thinks its shares are undervalued at current levels. It commented:

FY25 result steady, but FY26 guidance reset at Mozal (C&M risk) and Cannington (lower throughput, higher costs) clouds near-term earnings. Hermosa build year pushes group capex to US$1.4bn in FY26, keeping FCF tight despite trimmed sustaining spend. Sierra Gorda copper volumes up 20%, but limited near-term catalysts and consensus downgrades pressure weigh on sentiment. Dividend of US 2.6cps; US$144m remains in buyback program. Maintain BUY with reduced target price of A$3.55 (was A$4.10)

Motley Fool contributor James Mickleboro has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has positions in and has recommended Light & Wonder. The Motley Fool Australia has recommended Light & Wonder. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Broker Notes

REIT on wooden circles with real estate investment trust written above on a yellow background.
REITs

6 ASX REITs just hit 52-week lows. Do any brokers say buy?

Several ASX real estate investment trusts (REITs) have hit 52-week lows as the property sector underperforms the market on Friday.…

Read more »

A financial expert or broker looks worried as he checks out a graph showing market volatility.
Broker Notes

Buy, hold, sell: CBA, Capstone Copper, Codan shares

Let's take a look at some new ratings from the experts.

Read more »

a woman peers over a surface with a happy, curious look on her face with eyes wide as though she is overhearing something.
Broker Notes

5 ASX 200 shares brokers tip to rocket 25% to 77%

Looking for buy-the-dip opportunities in today's weak market? Experts reveal their buy calls.

Read more »

Young successful engineer, with blueprints, notepad, and digital tablet, observing the project implementation on construction site and in mine.
Broker Notes

Morgans tips 290% upside for this up-and-coming ASX copper company

This company is in the right place at the right time, the broker says.

Read more »

A woman in a red dress holding up a red graph.
Broker Notes

In a tough retail environment, what's the outlook for Wesfarmers shares?

Analysts argue the major retailer is resilient in the face of tough trading conditions.

Read more »

Two work colleagues looking at a laptop and discussing something.
Broker Notes

Buy, hold, sell: Aristocrat, Liontown, and Navigator Global shares

Let's see what Morgans is saying about these shares.

Read more »

Man using his device in an airport.
Broker Notes

This ASX 200 share is tipped to return over 50%

Bell Potter sees potential for this stock to deliver very big returns.

Read more »

Woman holding her glasses and looking at her laptop.
Broker Notes

Buy, hold, sell: Deep Yellow, SGH, Telstra shares

We review three fresh buy, hold, and sell calls from expert market analysts. 

Read more »