Think Nvidia stock is expensive? This chart might change your mind.

Nvidia's steep price actually makes perfect sense in light of one important piece of data.

| More on:
A woman holds a soldering tool as she sits in front of a computer screen while working on the manufacturing of technology equipment in a laboratory environment.

Image source: Getty Images

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

This article was originally published on Fool.com. All figures quoted in US dollars unless otherwise stated.

Key Points

  • The high-profile technology company's stock is priced nearly twice as high as the broad market.
  • This rich valuation, however, is supported by the company's results and growth trajectory.
  • While arguably worth their steep price, expensive stocks also tend to be more volatile than average.

Given that shares are priced at more than 40 times this year's expected earnings of just under $4.40 per share, buying into AI technology giant Nvidia (NASDAQ: NVDA) may feel a little intimidating. For perspective, the S&P 500 currently trades at less than 25 times its trailing earnings and just under 24 times its forward-looking profits.

Still, there's a case to be made for buying Nvidia stock despite its steep valuation. One simple chart will explain why.

One amazing chart

As the image below illustrates, projected revenue growth of 53% for Nvidia's fiscal year 2026, currently underway, is expected to lead to a per-share profit of nearly $4.40, up 46% from last year's $2.99 and en route to next year's anticipated earnings of $6.04 per share. That's simply enormous growth that few -- if any -- other companies are matching.

Nvidia's revenue and earnings growth is expected to be enormous at least through 2026, but will likely last much longer.

Data source: StockAnalysis.com. Chart by author.

This incredible growth isn't apt to end in just a couple of years, though. The expanding demand for artificial intelligence (AI) technology is likely to last far longer. An outlook from Global Market Insights suggests the worldwide AI hardware market is set to grow at an average annualized pace of 18% all the way through 2034.

Not actually all that unreasonable

Generally speaking, what's considered a reasonable price-to-earnings ratio is the same as a company's rate of earnings growth. For instance, Nvidia's per-share profits are projected to grow by an average of a little more than 40% this year and next, which is in line with Nvidia's fiscal 2026 P/E ratio of just above 40.

In other words, given the company's current rate of earnings growth, the stock's valuation actually is rather reasonable.

Still, even if they're worth it in the long run, Nvidia shares' frothy valuation makes them vulnerable to extreme volatility. Buckle up if you're buying here following the slight post-earnings setback. 

 

This article was originally published on Fool.com. All figures quoted in US dollars unless otherwise stated.

James Brumley has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has positions in and has recommended Nvidia. The Motley Fool Australia has recommended Nvidia. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on International Stock News

A family of three sit on the sofa watching television.
International Stock News

3 stocks that in 20 years have turned $5,000 into more than $1 million

These stocks have all soared more than 20,000% in the past 20 years.

Read more »

Happy man working on his laptop.
International Stock News

These 2 magnificent seven AI stocks might be offering investors a once-in-a-decade buying opportunity before the New Year.

These stocks have plenty of room to run.

Read more »

A tech worker wearing a mask holds a computer chip.
International Stock News

Will Nvidia crush the market again in 2026?

The chipmaker has an excellent track record.

Read more »

A man with a wide, eager smile on his face holds up three fingers.
International Stock News

The 3 smartest quantum computing stocks to buy with $1,000 in 2026

While pure plays like IonQ and Rigetti Computing get most of the attention, investors can gain exposure to quantum computing…

Read more »

A woman sits at her computer with her chin resting on her hand as she contemplates her next potential investment.
International Stock News

Alphabet just did something it hasn't done in 7 years. Time to buy?

Alphabet is a key player in the high-growth AI market.

Read more »

Investor kissing piggy bank.
International Stock News

Ranking the best "Magnificent Seven" stocks to buy for 2026. Here's my No. 1 pick.

In today's premium-priced stock market, investors can turn to Microsoft for growth at a compelling value.

Read more »

A young woman sits with her hand to her chin staring off to the side thinking about her investments.
International Stock News

Should you invest $1,000 in Nvidia right now?

It has gained more than 1,000% over the past five years.

Read more »

Man charging an electric vehicle.
International Stock News

Should you buy Tesla while it's below $500?

The "Magnificent Seven" stock currently trades 5% below its record high from a year ago.

Read more »