1 magnificent ASX energy stock down 30% to buy and hold for decades

Let's see why this energy stock could be worth considering.

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The energy sector can be volatile, but that doesn't mean it should be ignored.

For patient investors looking to diversify their portfolios with a high-quality player in the oil and gas market, Woodside Energy Group Ltd (ASX: WDS) might be worth a closer look.

A top-quality ASX energy stock on sale

Woodside is Australia's largest independent oil and gas company, with assets spanning LNG, oil, and emerging energy projects.

Over the past two years, its share price has slipped around 30% and is now trading at $26.50. This decline has been driven by energy market volatility, commodity price swings, and some company-specific one-offs.

Despite this, the business remains a heavyweight in the energy space. Production has been climbing, supported by projects like Sangomar in Senegal, which recently delivered its first revenue. Management is also laser-focused on cost control, with unit production costs coming down and cash generation staying healthy, even through market turbulence.

Why quality matters in the energy sector

ASX energy stocks are inherently cyclical. Oil and gas prices rise and fall with global supply and demand, and that volatility often flows through to share prices. This is why it's critical to focus on quality operators with diversified production, strong balance sheets, and disciplined capital management.

Woodside ticks those boxes. It has a portfolio of long-life LNG and oil projects, continues to attract high-value partners for its developments, and maintains a very strong balance sheet. While it won't be immune to swings in energy prices, its scale and operational strength give it the potential to keep generating solid cash flow for decades to come.

For long-term investors, adding an energy stock like Woodside to a diversified portfolio can provide exposure to a sector that often moves independently of technology, retail, or financial stocks. This diversification can help smooth returns over time.

Broker rates it as a buy

Supporting the long-term investment case, analysts at Morgans are bullish on the ASX energy stock and are recommending it to clients.

The broker currently has a buy rating on Woodside's shares with a $31.00 price target.

Based on its current share price of $26.50, this implies potential upside of approximately 17% for investors over the next 12 months.

In addition, 5%+ dividend yields are forecast for the coming years. This stretches the total potential 12-month return to over 22%.

Overall, for investors willing to ride out the sector's natural cycles, the combination of value, quality, and income potential arguably makes Woodside a compelling candidate for a buy and hold approach.

Motley Fool contributor James Mickleboro has positions in Woodside Energy Group. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

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