Up 275% in a year, why this ASX All Ords mining stock could keep racing higher into 2026

A leading fund manager forecasts more outperformance to come for this rocketing ASX All Ords miner. But why?

| More on:

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

The All Ordinaries Index (ASX: XAO) has gained a respectable 10.61% over the past year, but this ASX All Ords mining stock has left those gains wanting.

The fast-rising stock in question is bauxite miner Canyon Resources Ltd (ASX: CAY).

Bauxite, if you're not familiar with it, is the world's main source of aluminium production.

As for Canyon Resources, shares in the ASX All Ords mining stock closed yesterday trading for 27.0 cents apiece.

That sees shares in the ASX All Ords miner up an eye-popping 275% since 3 July last year, when shares closed the day at 7.2 cents each.

And according to the analysts at Canaccord Genuity, there could be a lot more outperformance to come.

Man pointing at a blue rising share price graph.

Image source: Getty Images

What's been sending the Canyon Resource share price surging?

Canyon Resources is developing the world-class Minim Martap Bauxite Project, located in Cameroon.

According to the company's website, the project contains more than one billion tonnes of high-grade, low contaminant bauxite, "with strong exploration upside". An initial 20-year Life of Mine (ore reserve) was defined in June 2022.

The most recent price-sensitive news from the ASX All Ords mining stock was released on 26 June. Shares have marched higher since that release, after Canyon Resources reported that it had secured project financing and key long lead contracts, confirming its target of shipping the first bauxite in the first half of calendar year 2026.

"Since we received our mining licence in late 2024, we have moved quickly to deliver on our vision of moving the Minim Martap Bauxite Project into production," Canyon executive chairman Mark Hohnen said on the day.

The ASX All Ords mining stock said it had ordered 22 locomotives, with the first delivery expected to arrive in Q1 2026. Canyon has also appointed the main road construction contractor to upgrade the haulage road from Minim Martap.

Why this booming ASX All Ords mining stock could keep outperforming

In a report released on 24 June, following a site visit to Minim Martap, Canaccord analyst Timothy Hoff said the ASX All Ords mining stock "is well capitalised to begin development of Minim-Martap".

That follows on Canyon securing a US$140 million credit facility through the AFG Bank Cameroon, and AU$24.5 million from Eagle Eye Asset Holding, exercising its options.

According to Hoff:

The company is now able to progress with the acquisition of rolling stock (locomotives and wagons) and the development of ore transport infrastructure, including rail and port facilities.

With a staged deployment of capital, we believe the funds currently available will allow the company to set up operations to ultimately achieve the 6.4Mtpa BFS run rate. CAY plans to release a DFS in SepQ'25 with updated economics, optimised operational efficiencies, and confirmation of the preferred pathway to production.

We believe this may allow the company to attract further partnerships by way of further funding investments and/or offtake agreements. Once in production, we believe that any progressive expansion of the operation can be funded through generated cash flow.

Canaccord rates Canyon Resources as a speculative buy.

The fund manager has a 35-cent price target on the ASX All Ords mining stock. That represents a potential upside of nearly 30% from Thursday's closing price.

Motley Fool contributor Bernd Struben has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Resources Shares

a man wearing a hard hat and a high visibility vest stands with his arms crossed in front of heavy equipment at a mine site.
Resources Shares

3 ASX mining shares: Buy, hold, or sell?

ASX 300 mining shares have fallen 16% since the conflict in Iran began.

Read more »

Young successful engineer, with blueprints, notepad, and digital tablet, observing the project implementation on construction site and in mine.
Resources Shares

Following a key approval, one broker tips 80% upside for this ASX rare earths stock

There could be massive gains to be made.

Read more »

Two workers on site discuss the next stage of this civil engineering job.
Resources Shares

This ASX mining stock just jumped. Here's what's driving the move today

Nickel Industries shares are in the green today.

Read more »

A business person directs a pointed finger upwards on a rising arrow on a bar graph.
Broker Notes

Why this buy-rated ASX mining share is tipped to surge 112%

A leading broker expects this ASX mining share to more than double investors’ money in a year.

Read more »

A woman in high visibility clothing and a hard hat stands in front of an aluminium smelter.
Resources Shares

Rio Tinto just locked in a major deal. Here's why investors are buying today

Rio Tinto shares rise after announcing a major aluminium deal.

Read more »

Three miners wearing hard hats and high vis vests take a break on site at a mine as the Fortescue share price drops in FY22
Resources Shares

Are these 3 ASX 200 mining shares a buy, hold, or sell?

What changes have the experts made to their ratings and price targets since the war in Iran began?

Read more »

A man in a hard hat gives a thumbs up as he holds a clipboard in one hand against a blue sky background.
Resources Shares

ASX mining shares have slumped but long-term outlook is positive

The ASX 200 materials sector has slumped 19% since the war in Iran began.

Read more »

Two workers working with a large copper coil in a factory.
Broker Notes

Should you buy this $8 billion ASX 200 copper stock amid surging global demand?

A leading analyst drills into the outlook for this $8 billion ASX copper miner.

Read more »