Top broker forecasts this quality ASX 200 dividend share could surge 45%!

A leading broker forecasts outsized gains ahead for this high-yielding ASX 200 dividend stock.

| More on:
A male investor sits at his desk looking at his laptop screen holding his hand to his chin pondering whether to buy Macquarie shares

Image source: Getty Images

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

Looking for a quality S&P/ASX 200 Index (ASX: XJO) dividend share with a strong growth outlook?

Then you may want to have a look at Amcor plc (ASX: AMC) shares.

Shares in the global packaging giant closed down 3.84% on Thursday, trading for $14.04 apiece.

Unlike most ASX 200 dividend shares, Amcor pays out dividends on a quarterly basis rather than twice yearly.

Yesterday, when the company reported its March quarter results, management declared an unfranked interim dividend of 19.97 Aussie cents per share.

If you wish to bank that passive income payment, you'll have to own shares at market close on 20 May. Amcor stock trades ex-dividend on 21 May.

If we add in the prior three dividend payments, Amcor has (or will shortly have) paid out 78.6 cents per share in dividends over the last 12 months. At Thursday's closing price, this sees the stock trading on an unfranked dividend yield (partly trailing, partly pending) of 5.6%.

But according to Morgan Stanley analysts, Amcor has much more to offer investors than a juicy dividend yield.

ASX 200 dividend share on the growth path

Earlier this week, Morgan Stanley upgraded Amcor shares to an overweight rating. The broker also increased its 12-month price target for the ASX 200 dividend share by 27% (courtesy of The Australian Financial Review).

Much of this bullishness stems from Amcor's $13 billion merger with United States-based packaging giant Berry Global Group Inc (NYSE: BERY).

That merger was announced on 20 November and was completed ahead of schedule this week.

According to Morgan Stanley analyst Andrew Scott:

Amcor's track record points to them being able to deliver on this potential, creating significant earnings growth and valuation upside.

We see the Berry transaction as an imminent and potentially meaningful catalyst for Amcor, driving earnings per share accretion and consensus upgrades.

Morgan Stanley raised its price target on the ASX 200 dividend share to $20.31. That represents a potential upside of 45% from current levels.

Commenting on Amcor's merger with Berry on Thursday, CEO Peter Konieczny said, "Today is a defining day for Amcor as we closed our transformational merger with Berry Global."

Konieczny added:

Through this combination, Amcor has enhanced positions in attractive categories, a broader, more complete customer offering and expanded material science and innovation capabilities.

As a result, we believe we are now uniquely positioned to deliver more consistent and sustainable organic growth and further improve margins, in line with our strategy.

Motley Fool contributor Bernd Struben has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has positions in and has recommended Amcor Plc. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Dividend Investing

A smiling woman holds a Facebook like sign above her head.
Dividend Investing

Bell Potter names the best ASX dividend shares to buy in May

Bell Potter thinks these are among the best shares for income investors to buy right now.

Read more »

A businesswoman on the phone is shocked as she looks at her watch, she's running out of time.
Dividend Investing

Hoping to bank the next dividend from NAB shares? Better hurry…

NAB shares will pay an interim dividend of 85 cents per share next month.

Read more »

Person pressing the buy button on a smartphone.
Dividend Investing

I think these 2 ASX dividend shares are buys for income in May

These stocks have plenty going for them.

Read more »

Man holding out $50 and $100 notes in his hands, symbolising ex dividend.
Dividend Investing

Accelerate passive income: 2 LICs with dividend yields above 7%

With several rate cuts on the horizon, term deposits are starting to look less attractive.

Read more »

A happy male investor turns around on his chair to look at a friend while a laptop runs on his desk showing share price movements
Dividend Investing

Brokers name the ASX dividend stocks to buy now

These stocks have been given buy ratings by analysts. Here's what you need to know.

Read more »

A man holds his hand under his chin as he concentrates on his laptop screen and reads about the ANZ share price
Dividend Investing

Why is the Westpac share price falling for a fourth consecutive day?

The Westpac share price is down by more than 4% today.

Read more »

Man holding out Australian dollar notes, symbolising dividends.
Dividend Investing

Here's everything you need to know about the latest ANZ dividend

ANZ just reported its half-year results and announced its interim dividend.

Read more »

A man in a suit looks serious while discussing business dealings with a couple as they sit around a computer at a desk in a bank home lending scenario.
Dividend Investing

Forget term deposits and buy these ASX dividend shares in May

Analysts think these income options would be top picks for investors.

Read more »