Down 68 percent from its 12-month high, is this ASX 200 lithium favourite an irresistible bargain to me now?

Lithium shares have suffered more than most ASX stocks over the past year. It is time to buy?

| More on:
Female miner smiling in front of a mining vehicle as the Pilbara Minerals share price rises

Image source: Getty Images

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

I'm keen to get exposure to the lithium sector.

And now looks like a great time to buy.

The price of lithium has tanked over the past few years.

In late 2022, spodumene was trading at above US$6000 per tonne.

The price of spodumene is currently sitting at around US$1000 per tonne, having dropped more than 80% over the last few years.

Meanwhile, lithium hydroxide, another key material used for producing lithium-ion batteries, has fallen just as much.

It's dropped from around US$72,000 a tonne in 2022 to its current value of around US$12,000 per tonne.

And Australia's ASX lithium companies have certainly felt the impact of plummeting lithium prices.

The Pilbara Minerals Ltd (ASX: PLS) share price has gone from $5.42 back in October 2022 to its current price of $1.33.

Is it time to buy?

Pilbara Minerals is a leading producer of lithium materials.

It owns the world's largest independent hard-rock lithium operation, the Pilgangoora Operation in Australia.

It also owns the Colina Lithium Project in Brazil.

In its latest half-year results, the company reported that its production increased by more than 50%.

Additionally, the latest Resources and Energy Quarterly report states that global lithium demand is forecast to grow by almost 13% a year to 2030.

According to the report, this will be largely driven by the increased uptake of electric vehicles and battery energy storage systems.

And, if all goes well, Pilbara Minerals should be well placed to capitalise on the rising demand for lithium.

Still, we all know things don't always go to plan and forecasts change.

I'm very keen on getting in on the lithium space while prices are down.

But with so much uncertainty, I want to be sure if I'm investing in the lithium space, I'm backing the strongest ASX lithium company.

While Pilbara Minerals increased production over the last half, falling lithium prices hit the company's bottom line.

The lithium producer went from posting a profit of $220 million for H1 FY24 to recording a loss of $69 million for H1 FY25.

Meanwhile, the company's cash balance dropped from $2.1 billion to $1.2 billion over the same period.

I don't have any serious concerns about Pilbara Minerals' balance sheet at this stage.

But I am asking myself: Why would I invest in a company that's burning cash when there are so many other great options out there?

Motley Fool contributor Steve Holland has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Resources Shares

Young successful engineer, with blueprints, notepad, and digital tablet, observing the project implementation on construction site and in mine.
Resources Shares

Macquarie says this mineral sands miner could deliver better than 80% returns!

There's scope to grow, a new report says.

Read more »

Female miner uses mobile phone at mine site
Resources Shares

Up 52% since April, should you buy the rally in BHP shares today?

Two leading investment experts deliver their outlook for BHP shares.

Read more »

Lithium mineral deposits
Resources Shares

Which ASX lithium share is a smarter buy: PLS Group or Liontown?

In a choppy lithium cycle, one brings stability, the other torque.

Read more »

stock growth chart
Resources Shares

Silver rebounds 5%. Is this a dead cat bounce or a recovery?

Silver rebounds 5% from its recent lows as the market debates whether the worst is over.

Read more »

View of a mine site.
Resources Shares

Are ASX lithium shares running out of steam?

Brokers are divided whether this rally marks the start of a lasting cycle or just a sharp bounce.

Read more »

An arrow crashes through the ground as a businessman watches on.
Resources Shares

Silver plunges from record highs. What has caused the sudden crash?

Silver plunges from record highs as shifting rate expectations and a stronger dollar pressure prices.

Read more »

Three miners stand together at a mine site studying documents with equipment in the background
Resources Shares

How Rio Tinto, Fortescue and BHP shares stacked up in January

Was it better to buy Rio Tinto, Fortescue or BHP shares in January?

Read more »

Surfer riding a wave.
Resources Shares

Can South32 shares keep surfing the commodities boom?

The diversified miner reached new record highs and some experts think there's more to come.

Read more »