The pros and cons of buying Westpac shares right now

The bank has fallen in price. Is it now great value?

| More on:
A woman looks questioning as she puts a coin into a piggy bank.

Image source: Getty Images

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

The Westpac Banking Corp (ASX: WBC) share price has dipped 9.91% since 14 February 2025. When an ASX blue-chip share falls by that much, I think it's a good opportunity to consider how appealing the lower value is.

The chart above shows how investors have lost some confidence amid the growing tariff trade war between the US and several other countries, such as Mexico, Canada, and China.

There are both positives and negatives to buying Westpac shares currently, so let's look at the situation from both angles.

Negatives about Westpac shares

The ASX bank share is navigating a somewhat difficult trading environment.

In its recent FY25 first-quarter update, Westpac reported that its core net interest margin (NIM) slightly decreased to 1.81%. The "modest decline" reflected "prudent management in the context of ongoing mortgage competition and further deposit mix shift towards lower spread savings and term deposits".

An NIM tells investors how much profit a bank is making on its lending by comparing the overall rate on its lending with the funding (such as term deposits and savings accounts). 

The broker UBS said that Westpac's first-quarter NIM was worse than expected.

UBS decided to reduce its forecast earnings for Westpac by "~2% on aggregate" for between FY25 to FY27, with this cut mainly being related to NIM.

The bank has also seen a slight worsening of its loan book amid the high interest rate environment for borrowers. Westpac reported that impairment charges loans were 5 basis points (0.05%), up from 4 basis points (0.04%). However, Westpac did say that the impairment charges "remain low and reflect continued resilience".

Positives about Westpac shares

On the positive side, despite the tricky trading conditions, Westpac was able to eke out a little bit of profit growth in the first quarter, which I think is a positive sign. In the first three months of FY25, Westpac's underlying net profit grew to $1.9 billion, a 3% rise on the quarterly average of the FY24 second half.

I also found it intriguing that the ASX bank share was able to lure the chief financial officer (CFO) of National Australia Bank Ltd (ASX: NAB) to Westpac to take up the same role. I'd take that as a vote of confidence for Westpac.

Another positive is that the bank continues to grow at a pleasing pace. In the FY25 first quarter, customer deposit growth was $14.4 billion, and loan growth was $13.4 billion. That included 2% Australian housing loan growth excluding RAMS, 3% business loan growth, and 6% institutional loan growth.

UBS is bullish on the ASX bank share, with a price target of $38. A price target is where the broker thinks the share price will be in 12 months from today. That $38 price target suggests a possible rise of more than 21% from today. 

Finally, UBS thinks Westpac share owners could receive a fully franked dividend yield of 5.5% in FY26, which is a solid level of passive income.

Motley Fool contributor Tristan Harrison has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Bank Shares

Half a man's face from the nose up peers over a table.
Bank Shares

NAB share price climbed another 3% on Thursday. What's next for the banking giant in 2026?

ASX bank stocks are in the spotlight right now.

Read more »

Two people comparing and analysing material.
Bank Shares

3 reasons to buy CBA shares in 2026 and one reason not to

After a recent pullback, this blue-chip stock looks more interesting. Here are three reasons it could appeal and one reason…

Read more »

Man holding out $50 and $100 notes in his hands, symbolising ex dividend.
Bank Shares

Here's the dividend forecast out to 2028 for NAB shares

Can investors bank on good dividends from NAB?

Read more »

A mature aged man with grey hair and glasses holds a fan of Australian hundred dollar bills up against his mouth and looks skywards with his eyes as though he is thinking what he might do with the cash.
Bank Shares

Is Bank of Queensland stock a buy for its 9% dividend yield?

Can investors bank on good dividends from this financial institution?

Read more »

A group of five people dressed in black business suits scrabble in a flurry of banknotes that are whirling around them, some in the air, others on the ground as some of them bend to pick up the money.
Bank Shares

Is the NAB share price a buy today?

The bank has a number of goals that it’s working on.

Read more »

Business people discussing project on digital tablet.
Bank Shares

Could the Macquarie share price reach $250 this year?

Macquarie shares would need to rise 18% to hit $250. Here is what earnings forecasts and valuations suggest about whether…

Read more »

Bank building in a financial district.
Bank Shares

Is the ANZ share price a buy today?

How should investors expect the bank to perform in 2026?

Read more »

Half a man's face from the nose up peers over a table.
Bank Shares

Why is everyone talking about the Westpac share price this week?

All eyes are on the banking stock this week.

Read more »