Why are Woodside shares sinking like stones today?

What is causing investors to hit the sell button today? Let's find out.

| More on:
A man holds his head in his hands, despairing at the bad result he's reading on his computer.

Image source: Getty Images

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

Woodside Energy Group Ltd (ASX: WDS) shares are having a tough time on Thursday.

In morning trade, the energy giant's shares are down 5% to $22.89.

Why are Woodside shares sinking?

There have been a couple of catalysts for today's selling.

The first is another pullback in oil prices overnight which is weighing on the energy sector.

According to Bloomberg, the WTI crude oil price was down 3% to US$66.24 a barrel and the Brent crude oil price was down 2.5% to US$69.26 a barrel.

This was driven by concerns over a planned increase in production from OPEC in April, as well as US President Donald Trump's tariffs on Canada, China and Mexico.

What else?

Also weighing heavily on Woodside shares is the fact that they are trading ex-dividend this morning for its final dividend of FY 2024.

When this happens, it means that the rights to an upcoming dividend are locked in and new buyers will not be eligible to receive it. As a result, its shares have dropped to reflect this.

Last month, Woodside released its full year results and revealed a 6% decline in operating revenue to US$13.2 billion and a 13% reduction in underlying net profit after tax to US$2.9 billion.

This led to the Woodside board cutting its fully franked final dividend by 12% to 53 US cents per share, which reduced its full year dividend by 13% to 122 US cents per share.

It is the final dividend that Woodside shares are going ex-dividend for this morning. At current exchange rates, this equates to an 84 Australian cents per share fully franked dividend, which represents an attractive 3.5% dividend yield based on yesterday's close price.

Eligible Woodside shareholders can look forward to being paid this dividend early next month on 2 April.

What's next?

According to a recent note out of Morgans, its analysts expect Woodside to pay dividends of approximately $1.33 per share in FY 2025 and then $1.45 per share in FY 2026.

This will mean dividend yields in the region of 5.8% and 6.3%, respectively.

Morgans also sees plenty of upside for investors over the next 12 months. It recently put an add rating and $30.25 price target on Woodside's shares. This implies potential upside of 32% from current levels.

Combined with dividends, this would mean a total potential return in the region of 38% if Morgans is on the money with its recommendation and estimates.

Motley Fool contributor James Mickleboro has positions in Woodside Energy Group. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Energy Shares

A young man looks like he his thinking holding his hand to his chin and gazing off to the side amid a backdrop of hand drawn lightbulbs that are lit up on a chalkboard.
Energy Shares

The ASX energy shares that surged ahead of the rest this year

Why did these energy shares outperform this year?

Read more »

An oil refinery worker stands in front of an oil rig with his arms crossed and a smile on his face as the Woodside share price climbs today
Energy Shares

Woodside shares lift off amid big news out of Turkey

Investors are bidding up Woodside shares on Tuesday. Let’s see why.

Read more »

A male investor sits at his desk looking at his laptop screen holding his hand to his chin pondering whether to buy Macquarie shares
Energy Shares

Guess which ASX 200 stock is rising on big news

Origin's investment in Kraken has proven to be a very smart move.

Read more »

rising asx uranium share price icon on a stock index board
Energy Shares

Up 119% since April, 3 reasons to buy this newly-minted ASX 200 uranium share today

A leading investment expert forecasts more outperformance from this surging ASX uranium share. Let’s see why…

Read more »

Gas share price represented by a rising share price chart.
Energy Shares

An "unexpected" gas discovery has this company's shares rocketing higher

Gas has been discovered off the Victorian coast in a second win in as many months for this junior company.

Read more »

Hand of a woman carrying a bag of money, representing the concept of saving money or earning dividends.
Dividend Investing

Guess which ASX 200 stock has the highest dividend yield?

Yancoal tops the charts for the ASX 200 dividend yield, although future payouts will depend heavily on coal prices and…

Read more »

Business people discussing project on digital tablet.
Energy Shares

Prediction: Here's where the latest forecasts show the Woodside share price going next

Is the energy giant a buy, hold, or sell? Let's find out.

Read more »

Image of a fist holding two yellow lightning bolts against a red backdrop.
Dividend Investing

Better dividend stock in December: Woodside or Whitehaven?

Woodside and Whitehaven both pay dividends, but a closer look shows one offers far more reliable income for investors.

Read more »